[Model output discussion 9th April onwards]

Good ecm in the more reliable range (96-144h)

Alot more variation past there, for example here is 192h on yesterday's ec vs todays, this is a good thing as it means its likely going to change again later

Gfs + Ukmo good this morning aswell

[Model output discussion 9th April onwards]

EC wasn't to bad especially looking at the more reliable range. Alot of chopping and changing past 144h recently. 

Lets be honest, we have seen worse over the past few days...

[Model output discussion 9th April onwards]

Another good gfs run 6z. Definitely feeling very positive this morning

[Model output discussion 9th April onwards]

Mean to the rescue

Big difference between op and mean at 168h, Op certainly an outlier 

[Model output discussion 9th April onwards]

5 minutes ago, mb018538 said:

What a horrific 12z gfs run. Surely this is an outlier? Manages to sneak a low through to the uk:

Haven't seen that low on any other model or run from gfs. Almost certainly an outlier, obviously still waiting for mean

Had a quick look at latest GEM to and that shows nothing of that low and is instead

[Model output discussion 9th April onwards]

Big differences suggested on 6z mean between this weekend and next (Wet and windy vs dry and sunny). A much more optimistic picture heading into summer. Best case scenario is for the high to keep pushing east into europe and for a long term pattern to set up

[Model output discussion 9th April onwards]

ECM joins GFS + GEFS mean with a high directly over the UK

[Model output discussion 9th April onwards]

Celestial GFS 18z, more akin to this mornings 0z and stark contrast to both ECM and GFS 12z runs. High pressure stays in control for most of the run

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Is lowestoft still looking good or am I out of the picture?

Need to know if its worth waking up early for

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

How's it looking in lowestoft are we to far north?

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Probably nothing in lowestoft knowing our luck but looking good on the models at the moment ❄