milomolly123
-
Posts
50 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by milomolly123
-
-
as the world warms up we will start getting more hot air in the uk id give it till around may 20 to june 1st before we get any real heat thats my look on it
-
1
-
-
1 minute ago, Quicksilver1989 said:
Thunderstorms can be notoriously fickle to forecast and often details won't be resolved until much closer to the time. I've seen many scenarios in the UK were there is plenty of energy for thunderstorms in the atmosphere but no spark helps them develop and it becomes a bust. In terms of maps, you'd want a red-orange-yellow palette I think and probabilities of any one area getting hit will have a reduced element of confidence about them (especially wind details).
Are you new to the world of thunderstorm forecasting? The two scenarios that often deliver a widespread threat are the breakdown of a Spanish plume or an area of low pressure over the UK with relatively warm air at the surface. The best scenario I can remember in my lifetime was late June 2012 when we had both and there was some nasty storms going through the East Midlands and Lincolnshire (a few other areas too) .
Leicestershire Tornadic Supercell Storms of 28th June 2012 | hinckleyweather's Blog
HINCKLEYWEATHERBLOG.WORDPRESS.COMEvery so often a weather event occurs that is so extreme and so sudden, that it can’t possibly be forecast or expected to happen in any particular location. The 28th of June 2012 was such an occasion when Hinckley...There is a guide here for thunderstorm development in the UK if you want to learn more (attached below). Plenty of other members that know more then myself will also be posting on here when the next big round of thunderstorms potentially come along!
Thunderstorms in the British Isles.pdf 861.27 kB · 0 downloads
ive been doing thunderstorm forecasting for 10 years i no what im doing it sometimes my maps don't work because how the uk weather is lol
-
it was crazy yesterday we even had lightning in them really heavy showers around 8pm last night in macclesfield and we had hail too
-
1
-
-
17 minutes ago, Quicksilver1989 said:
Ah no worries
ye what u think of it i think it would be informative
-
1 minute ago, Quicksilver1989 said:
Wait..... so you are going for 90-80mph winds from severe storms in 21 days across a large swathe of central England?
The things people do these days for likes and clicks....
no sorry this is a example its not valid im just showing of some new concepts and i just wanted some feedback on them theres no need to panic
-
hi guys I've made a severe thunderstorm warning map the image attached is a example i hope u like it tell me if u think i could improve it anymore
-
17 minutes ago, jtay said:
Here's the netweather sister site with all the details. It's great fun.
Weather Holidays - Storm Chasing - Weatherholidays.com
WWW.WEATHERHOLIDAYS.COMJoin WeatherHolidays for the trip of a lifetime storm chasing in the USA or Canada to witness the most incredible storms and tornadoes on planet earth.it looks amzing is covid affecting it and how much would it cost im really instrested in this
-
something really nastys devloping were i am theres a crazy looking shelf cloud theres been reports of golf ball sized hail comeing from it it looked crazy on radar theres rotaiton on its leading edge im currtley in the macclesfield area its crazy
-
Just now, B87 said:
I just made a quick tally of which month was the sunniest each year during the 1991-2020 period, the result is quite surprising. July (the sunniest month of the year) is the summer month with the lowest number of 'wins'.
Apr: 3
May: 4
Jun: 8
Jul: 6
Aug: 9
wow i would of thought June and August would be the sunniest
-
like i think that this summer will be a decent one with around 5 major heat events and some decent thunderstorms thats my views guys pls tell me what u think
-
1
-
-
the position of the above avarage hights is crucial to determine whether the south of the uk gets the warm dry air of if its more north then then south will get the warm moist air well the north may get the hot dry humid air.hot humid air = the chance of higer instability there fore meaning u have a better chance of devloping severer more violent thunderstorms
-
2 minutes ago, Freeze said:
I'm right on the coast most of the action usually happens to the north of here. I'm sure I'll get one this year.
if we get warm air advection then u will be ok it just depends what side of the ridge of above average hights your on then u will be good to go but if the ridge is on the south east side or centered more towards france then u will pull more warmer air of the English channel
-
1 minute ago, Freeze said:
We had the heat but no thunderstorms here last august unfortunately.
i hope u get u turn this summer mother nature was very kind to us lest year we had about 12 thunderstorms 5 of them were severe all it takes is all the right ingredients to makea decent storm u need cape lift and a good level of deep layer shear then ur good to go mate
-
1 minute ago, Freeze said:
August 95 was the hottest on record though you cant seriously be saying we're overdue that? I'd happily have a repeat of last year, it was very good here.
last year was good we had lots of decent thunderstorms thats the kind of summers i like and the extream heatwaves = severe thunderstorms so anything that includes heatwaves and severe thunderstorms im in
-
11 minutes ago, B87 said:
Last August was very cloudy and wet here, if very hot during the 7-12th. The rest of it was nothing special (a bit like a cloudy version of 2003, which was fairly average outside of the heatwave).
August 1995 had sustained warmth throughout, rather than any insane heatwaves. The average high was 27c with a hottest day of 34c (9 days above 30c but only 3 days of 32c+). Sunshine was just shy of 300 hours, with no rain.
You have to go back to August 2005 to find the last very sunny August. Since then, only 2007, 2013, 2016 and 2019 have been slightly sunnier than average.
yes i remember them very well 2018 was a shocker for me but last year was the winning one for me with that thunderstorm on 12 august 2020 it was epic more summers like that and i will be a happy chappy
-
omg jo i love storm chasing im a 20 year old thats mad over weather id be happy doing storm chasing with ur team it will be fun
-
what do u guys rekon about starting a storm chasing group or club id be up for that
-
1 minute ago, Timmytour said:
Worth remembering at this stage after a cold April and a cool outlook for the start of May, that 1983 provided us with an equally cold April and a cool May as well as a cool June.
But boy how it made up for it in the July and August of that year!!!
ye as long as we get a decent thunderstorm season then im happy
-
10 minutes ago, Alderc said:
Next week looks horribly cold, GFS 06Z doesn't have anything above 12C for the entire country Monday-Friday!!!
all i want is some decent severe thunderstorms
-
all i want is a summer that brings high humidty and some severe and decent thunderstorms u rekon we can get that
.png.3dbf43bc9b2d749759c8f991bc9e5c97.png)
Model output discussion 9th April onwards
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
i feel bad for ur dad hope he gets better