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DZee

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  1. DZee
    But the categories are changing. This was demonstrated today, then previously in 2019, then previously in 2003, and so on...etc. Note the trend. How many of your 5-10 year exceptional heatwaves have there been in the last decade? 3? 4? 5?,,,
  2. DZee
    There's a sudden rash of them now...
  3. DZee
    Hang on, what's this just popping up?
  4. DZee
    Bets on what time?
  5. DZee
    I think what you are saying is that 1976 was a high variation outlier whereas these events (and we had something similar three years ago) are as much less 'infrequent' and reflect trend as much as variance. This means the statical probability of a 1976 event is very low, but if it happened now, it would be far worse than this. That sounds very plausible to me.
  6. DZee
    Interesting. To be clear, do the models actually have an additional data input series for recorded soil moisture, or do they proxy it through historical data on local rainfall and temps?
  7. DZee
    Sorry for the novice question (I am not a meteorologist), but do the global models factor in local factors such as the dryness of the soil, which would presumably require some 'behavioural' parameters capturing historical input of rainfall and temperatures at various locations. Right now, with everywhere already baked dry, i presume this favours greater heat? Is that factored in?
  8. DZee
    35 in Cambridge at 12.20
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