Jacob
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Everything posted by Jacob
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Jacob replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Jacob replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Instead of pushing back the slowing of zonal winds to a further date, the EMCWF has done the opposite. This could easily be an anomaly and might not mean anything though -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Jacob replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Since no one else seems to be looking at the new GraphCast model which is apparently the most accurate, I will. By late Nov, we are put under high pressure from the south which brings 850hpa temps above 8C in places. The PV appears strong but had at least weakened over the week before. Sadly, there aren't heights over Scandinavia. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Jacob replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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I wouldn’t personally use BBC weather and I rather AccuWeather since it’s far more accurate
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Jacob replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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I have no idea what this means because im practically a rookie at this kind of meterology First improvement in the chance of an SSW in a long time
- 635 replies
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Jacob replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Jacob replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Jacob replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Jacob replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Looking at CFS charts again, the pattern is SW weather in early winter while the rest has decent chances of cold weather -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Jacob replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well I want that lol -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Jacob replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Looking at the CFS charts, recent runs have been suggesting a mild December with weather coming from either the west or the S/SW and then January getting weather coming from the west and chances of cold weather from the NW and some cold developing in the NE which usually stays in the east or hitting our east -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Jacob replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I decided to look at the recent CFS charts in hope to spot any patterns emerging and the best chances of cold appear to be January and early March For where I was, July and August was just wet and mild weather while the only hot weather was ironically in June and September -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Jacob replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Well done at making what might be the longest post here! -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Jacob replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hmmm that would be nice to get 3 weeks of snow! Not sure whether this would be likely though -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Jacob replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Does this mean better chances of snow in winter? -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Jacob replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Very exciting but worrying at the same time! Wouldn't be very nice to get 120mph gusts in my location lol -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Jacob replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Increased?! -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Jacob replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Let’s hope that it doesn’t happen -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Jacob replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I remember a few years back I was on holiday at the Isle of Wight and there were gusts of over 120mph only a few miles away from where I was. I luckily missed the worst and got gusts of 70-80mph but that was still easily the most windy weather I’ve ever witnessed -
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Maybe there is hope for a snowy winter after all!
- 635 replies
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- 1
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- spv
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(and 1 more)
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Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Jacob replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I would love to see an SSW which mixed with El Niño and current patterns (which might not mean anything lol), could see a big early winter snow!