[Storm Isha, Amber ⚠️]

@January Snowstorm

Ireland is getting absolutely hammered. 

Look at the GFS ens for 18z . They are insane ? 

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

Gfs give it a rest. 

Low pressure after low pressure

Constant storm potential. 

No break from wind and rain from Saturday. 

Terrible weather

[Moans, ramps and banter]

This chase has been strange.

It's not like it's failed and we've ended up with south westerlies. 

It's come to fruition but in the most lame way ever. 

It might actually be boring..

 

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

The 168 chart on UKMO has lost me .

Easterly winds? 

Thanks 

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

And it's back on the 18z.

@January Snowstorm.

Snow back into Ireland

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

Heavy snow not far away at 168.

It's set perfectly for someone 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Blocking reforming. Atlantic stopping.

Deep mid winter has arrived at 300 hrs 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

GFS late to the pub tonight.

Frigid easterly setting in 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Better late than never.

Here comes the  beast 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Gfs could.br very good at around day 9 . Looks slider positioning is possible.

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

@January Snowstorm ECM is code red for Ireland if verifies .

You okay ? 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Noaa charts not supporting a prolonged  freeze 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Hot of the press . Thoughts ?

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Blizzards Into Ireland . January snowstorm on 12z GFS

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

10 minutes ago, Polar Maritime said:

The NOAA Anomaly charts will make interesting viewing tonight.

What time do they come our please?

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

-20 upper air temps approaching on 6z . My word.

6z is brutal cold towards back end 

[Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion]

The amplification on this run want be as strong going to Greenland.  Traffic to the north has more pace 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

This has become one off the most interesting nights off model watching I can remember for some years.

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Climate Prediction Center - 6-10 Day 500mb Outlook

WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

What time to these charts update do you know please? Thanks in.advance.

 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

6 minutes ago, nick sussex said:

When does the NW server meltdown? 

The ECM with a much better orientation and placement of the high later . 

Overall an encouraging evening for UK coldies . 

Without sounding like a bore Nick .

I'm a little bit suprised by the emphasis on the ECM.

Again it's at 240 hours that we see it show it's hand.

Might be June time at this rate by the time  there is push from the North.

 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Not trolling but this want have as much space to drop pressure into Greenland .

Traffic to the north is more active. 

A quiet run is my prediction 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Gem has the most serious cold pool I've even seen to are north .

 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Found that GFS run quite amusing .

GFS  was like listening to people on Net weather and by 384 it was like there you go I've put the high further north for you with cheeky smile .

Your so smug GFS. It's to far North now 

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

My take 

Short winter blast with snow flurries in the east possibly widespread . Before the high takes over then back to mobility. 

To much traffic to the north .

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

Where is Mushymamrob ? He's amazing