[Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021]

Cold pool still very much intact in the East .

Are the charts that bad?

Problem is we've have no trigger.  One proper  slider and we're in.

Bad luck right now 

[Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown]

 A epic GFS coming in here after a short mild spell

[Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown]

Ecm 240.

My word 

[Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown]

3 minutes ago, cold snap said:

UKMO looks very isolated to me.. 

Gem GFS. GFS ens. Icon having none of it.

Edit like UKMO Gem trys to get thr cold back late on

[Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown]

UKMO looks very isolated to me.. 

Gem GFS. GFS ens. Icon having none of it.

[Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown]

End of UKMO run  is out !

It's cold 

[Model output discussion - Christmas approaches]

13 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:

First few frames 18.00, then approximately:

T96 - 18.13

T120 - 18.20

T144 - 18.27

T168 - 18.33

T192 - 18.40

T216 - 18.48

T240 - 18.55

Thanks Mike for this 

 

Very handy

[Model output discussion 11/12/21]

GEM is the beast. 

GFS  want let go of UK high . 

[Model output discussion 11/12/21]

Those cold uppers in the east  will come by December 2022. 

 

[Model output discussion 11/12/21]

*IF* we get the high further north. ITS frigid cold to East and North. 

Proper winter possible.

[Model output discussion 11/12/21]

For all  moderators this forum is about to go crazy.  GFS lining up something from the east with rage.

[Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives]

Gfs looks like toying with a cool continental undercut. 

 

[Model Output Discussion - Snow for some, but what else is in store?]

Looking at the  GFS 06z ens towards the end , some are hinting at reverse zonality. 

[Model Output Discussion - Snow for some, but what else is in store?]

1 minute ago, MOF said:

And the Pacific/ Arctic highs merging?

Hard to tell.

Blocking not gone . That's the bread of butter of it. 

[Model Output Discussion - Snow for some, but what else is in store?]

5 minutes ago, TSNWK said:

Hello.. in what way please? I really struggle with those charts and even if could understand did not see previous version.

 

thanks

Greenland blocking looking more structured

[Model Output Discussion - Snow for some, but what else is in store?]

Climate Prediction Center - 6-10 Day 500mb Outlook

WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

Well that's a interesting update 

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

One more chase to go I reckon.

Before we knock it on the head 

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

Got that Euro slug back mind. For new members look at the Northern hemisphere profile 

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

GFS trying to split the vortex here at 180

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

Anybody want to get back on board.

GFS 12Z Trying to undercut here. The differences between 6z and 12z are staggering.

Winter not over yet

[Model output discussion - 7th January onwards]

Just now, winterof79 said:

More energy coming S/E just delayed

Few of these type runs are in GFS ens.

Not a done deal yet 

[Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas]

 

Live Blizzards here for the snow mad crew 

 

[Winter weather chat, moans, banter and ramps]

Mods. 

Can we start a new thread please.

Heading into Christmas? I'm done with it. Thank you 

[Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas]

Happy Christmas. 

Love this time of the year for weather. 

Live snow falling here in Jackson Hole. Who would love to be here? Click here 

 

[The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)]

Remember the winters when you didn't look at the models for days?

What a enjoyable 15 months.