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Everything posted by cold snap
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
cold snap replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
People don't let's talk about avoiding cold. There is no cold to avoid. Pattern is to blocked. Everything and always has to be perfect to deliver. We need a Northerly toppler -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
cold snap replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
18z is a mess if your a cold fan. It will collapse If correct. Unfortunately for cold fans you have to be real. Unless the every shortwave is bang on the money it want deliver . -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
cold snap replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A V cold 6z GFS landing here -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
cold snap replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The block has blocked the block -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There's actually to much blocking now -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Context. This is a colder run . Atlantic blocked. Might get a nice easterly past day 10 -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Crewe it's mega blocked but end story will be heights sinking Atlantic back in on that -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
D10 now and there is no Easterly infact Atlantic is gearing up -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I've seen enough. Could be outlier. Good night . -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Word of warning for cold lovers Atlantic looks a little stronger so far -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cold update from Joe -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Very very meh. Blocked but not in a notable way. -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes absolutely. But we need to remember we may never go any further than a high pressured holding pattern. -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sleet at best so far from 12z GFS. -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Rob. I'm a little lost. Blocking or no blocking? Thanks -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ecm isn't that bad from a coldies perspective. By 240 things start to open up with regards to blocking. Lows coming out the states look slow and weak . -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All it takes is one tiny spoiler low to come in from the states and enlarge and then the pattern will collapse. The blocking looks steadfast however . Ps. Where is Nick S ? -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Models keep the attack going on the vortex . Heights still resolute from start to end of 18z. You would say IF we keep seeing this persistent pattern you would think we would be very unlucky not to see snow by years end.2 -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Got to feel sorry for the ski resorts -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Snow showers -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
cold snap replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's not collapsing. This is a very good run. Atlantic going under. Block strength is resolute. Block pinging north. Injecting cold -
Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January
cold snap replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS 18z trying to bring in Easterly -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
cold snap replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is it that bad ? Cold zonality maybe setting up . Western areas may see snow if only briefly. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
cold snap replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Bookmark and bookmark again. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
cold snap replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS looks amplified again in F1. Very similar set up that just busted.