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Everything posted by Andy8472
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i think it's already giving a quick response according to Amy on twitter https://twitter.com/DrAHButler/status/1744842979188330610 Personally i can't see it being a bad thing at all & can't see it flipping the patten the other way but time will tell as always
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Not the most dramatic nor long lasting reversal you'll ever see but the Ecm still going for a technical SSW at 192hr!
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Dr Butler has posted a informative tweet about the current state of the vortex https://twitter.com/DrAHButler/status/1744842979188330610
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Andy8472 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Latest NOAA Blog https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/polar-vortex/cooking-stratospheric-polar-vortex-disruption -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Andy8472 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Andy8472 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Andy8472 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Andy8472 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shortwave_(meteorology) -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Andy8472 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking for patterns & trends really & hope -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Andy8472 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
i was referring to the blocked Atlantic, I'm aware it's the US -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Andy8472 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Andy8472 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yeah it's a grind, will it won't it -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Andy8472 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Yeah true, IF it happens shame it wasn't a hard hitting split SSW but hey "beggars can't be choosers"
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Also shows on this mornings stratobserve zonal mean graph, maybe a close call red herring again or yet again "flip a coin"
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i would say so "a technical reversal of zonal winds is at 10 hPa 60N" also this mornings 0z GFS was similar although a bit later but no reversal on the 6z
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Andy8472 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Andy8472 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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- 635 replies
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Andy8472 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion