AmericanIceman
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Anyone's guess :o
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This thing has me scared #$&(%less for the people I know over there. :huh:
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Well once the outer eyewall reaches the inner eyewall it should overcome it and the EWR cycle will then be complete. Then Rita will have time to restrengthen before landfall. It's bad news if you're in Louisiana I'd suggest.
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Damnit, What's the chances of another EWR before landfall?
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294
URNT12 KNHC 222219
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/22:11:00Z
B. 25 deg 58 min N
089 deg 39 min W
C. 700 mb 2326 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 054 deg 124 kt
G. 312 deg 019 nm
H. 913 mb
I. 9 C/ 3065 m
J. 19 C/ 3049 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. OPEN E
M. CO14/35
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF306 WX18A RITA01 OB 11
MAX FL WIND 132 KT NE QUAD 21:24:10 Z
Just two hours ago it was C018-48
The outer eyewall seems to be contracting fairly rapidly.
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Don't hate me, but is that good or bad?!
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I found out that one of my friends was with his brother and heading more North to get away from the storm (since it was supposed to go in South of Houston)...And now the storm looks to be hitting more north. :/ I'm scared they might get stuck in the worst part...on the road.
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000
WTNT33 KNHC 220241
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005
...CATEGORY FIVE RITA CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST
FROM PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING
MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA THURSDAY
MORNING.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA... FROM EAST OF CAMERON TO GRAND ISLE
LOUISIANA... AND FROM SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST
OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE RIO GRANDE.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE RITA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST OR ABOUT 570 MILES...
915 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 670 MILES...
1080 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.
RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 175 MPH...280 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RITA IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES...295 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 897 MB...26.49 INCHES.
THIS MEANS RITA IS THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE IN TERMS OF
PRESSURE IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN.
TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING NEAR NORMAL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND
LOUISIANA COASTS IN THE AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA. TIDES IN THOSE
AREAS WILL INCREASE UP TO 3 TO 4 FEET AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
WAVES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND RESIDENTS THERE COULD
EXPERIENCE SOME COASTAL FLOODING.
HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH RITA ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN TO AFFECT THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL TO UPPER TEXAS COAST. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 2 TO 24 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...
INCLUDING THE NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA. AFTER RITA MOVES
INLAND...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN TEXAS... AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
DURING SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...24.6 N... 87.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...175 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 897 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
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175 MPH Winds...
897 mb pressure...
Supposed to get stonger still...
Track moved north just south of Galveston Bay..
Worst possible thing that could happen.
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That was what I've been thinking today. Some of the posts this evening seem more optimistic than earlier today.
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What do you mean, exactly?
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All this stuff>
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Well, I'm in awe and sorrow. I feel bad for all the folks it's gonna affect, and even know a few of em, that live just south of east Houston. I've talked to part of them, and they're in Austin now. But, I still don't know about the other people I know there, and have no real way of contacting them. So, I just hope they stay safe. Overall though, this thing is quite breath taking. It's amazing how something so....mystifying....can be so cruel. God speed to Texas!
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What doyou rekon AmericanIceman?
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About what?
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BAHH! Katrina has already knocked the power out for some here in South Georgia, and we're not even anywhere near this damn storm! My power was out for about 10-15 minutes and has blinked off about 3 times sense they finally came back on. GR!
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Bahh! Satelite is out. Some of Katrina's far outter bands are causing a little rain here in Southwest Georgia. Lost my coverage.
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Anyone feel that this might not be the last big storm we compare to the 'greats' this year? Got a feeling this is just a tale of what's to come...
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New Depression Formed!!!
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FEMA in Louisiana (and Florida, Mississippi Alabama and Texas, for that matter) are past masters about hurricane drills - I wouldn't be surprised to see the National Guard on the streets of New Orleans (and Baton Rouge, Lafayette and a few other places) this time tomorrow night.
Still, one hopes for the best, but it appears that the Metro evacuation is going to be awfully tight.
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Last I heard they already ahve 4,000 national guard ready to go in. President Bush has already declared Mississippi & Lousiana a disaster area. First time to ever do this before the storm. Goes to show how bad it's gonna be...
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196 mph sustained speed now
Outer rainband with hail now approaching: http://www.duats.com/graphics/reg15loop.html
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On the SURFACE?!
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On WDSU, they said that 902 is the lowest ever in the Gulf?!
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This is now quite phenomenal. Infra red imagery below. Perfect storm in some sense..unperfect in many others...
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Hard to believe something so beautiful and mezmorizing is so hateful and destructive.
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160 knots is 184 mph according to this
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pub/metcon.php
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The 160kt is Flight Level though, i think which are usually stronger than the actual winds down on the surface.
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Latest recon
000
URNT12 KNHC 281825
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 28/1755Z
B. 26 DEG 20 MIN N
88 DEG 39 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2242 M
D. N/A
E. N/A
F. 140 DEG 160 KT
G. 050 DEG 22 NM
H. 902 MB
I. 14 C/ 3050 M
J. 29 C/ 3064 M
K. 6 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C25
N. 1234/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA3 1812A KATRINA OB 05
MAX FL WIND 160 KTS NE QUAD 1743Z
EXCELLENT RADAR PRESENTATION
160kts FL winds = about 165mph surface winds
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So the pressure dropped a good bit, but the winds also dropped?! When the pressure drops isn't the wind force supposed to pick up?
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Hi i see that most people are heading for Houston is this wise? the pressure is now droping and the winds are up to 180. Imagine being in the plane that is in the eye at the mo rather them than me.
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Winds are up to 180? Where is that from?
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They have every right to believe in NO's impending doom. I would if i saw that storm heading straight for me, especially if i'm below sea level.
EDIT: If the animals have a god, now would be an excellent time to start praying
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Would be interesting to see how the animals are reacting right now. You always hear about how the animals "sense" disaster before it happens with the Tsunami(SP) or Torandoes. Wonder if they are acting up and heading north with this...
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There are now pipers playing Amazing Grace in NO according to FOX
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That gave me Chill Bumps. Amazing Grace is one of my favorite songs ever. Shows just how sad this is....
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There's another area besides that one down there....
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that wouldnt be the only problem rixxxgolf
As American iceman pointed out to me, NO is below sea level and it looks like it will be flooded terribly unless the Hurricane were to be massively diverted.
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Lots of people think that New Orleans might be sitting under about 20 feet of water in a few days. Wouldn't surprise me if everything plays out like it's looking it might. It was also said that about THOUSANDS upon THOUSANDS of people in New Orleans don't have transportation and are basically trapped in the city. So, they're gonna open the Super Dome as a huge shelter with pickup stations around the town to get people there ASAP. Lots of news crews are setting up at the Super Dome also...Let's hope it holds.
PS...They also told the residents to not stay below 2 stories.
:unsure: 
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rather them than me.
Hurricane Rita.
in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Posted
I'm not really sure. Not been watching the news about this one. Quite strange since i'm normally glued to the TV for these things.