Hi, long time lurker here.
At what stage would you all consider that the models are unlikely to significantly change? In particular are we at the stage where that awful Icelandic low is a dead cert for next week?
Does this depend on how far out in time we are or the level of agreement between the models or both?
I ask because I'm going on holiday to Cornwall Saturday for a week and this forums has made for depressing reading the last few days.