nanu
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Posts posted by nanu
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Ollllllah!!!! Feeling hot hot hot!! See not all too bad buddy
more to come too later on (hopefully)blow some more this way... but dont take an extra strongs mints, or it will just be of rain!!
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well well well,, just had heavy downpour here,, and everything is covered in snow pellets (or frost hail)
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Usually with every single model showing that, it's been pushed into france or not happening at all... So I'd rate it at 10%
Knew it!! Same buggers that pinch our thunderstorms as well, but lets hope its our year for a change
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% of that happening steve??
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thanks, but def wasnt pink over me.. more of the blue color
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can somebody show me a map of where this bloody snow line is at the mo everybody is mentioning about? knowing my luck its just down the road at tesco's picking up some tea bags
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Tonight's snow doesn't sound up to much. Quote Alex Deakin "a little bit more snow, especially over hills". Seems to sweep through quite quickly too
yeah i aint gonna bother looking out anymore, dont think anything this side of the river is gonna be much whatever falls out of the sky
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I said "into" London does not class South london where it would suggest you are.
but would of thought if the snow line is THAT close i would of seen some flakes in the heavier stuff on this side, cant be that much of temp contrast?
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Like I said earlier...
Told you so.
Snow line now into London... Anything from now till tomorrow midday SHOULD be off snow
Nah.. its raining here as well,, let me update that,, chucking it down with rain, no flakes in this either
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Just cycled home from work with lovely dark clouds overhead, unfortunately it was a rain shower, not 1 flake or sleet in it
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Raining here,, so no change there then.. still got feb/march to go, oh and easter
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First flurry 1015 snow,second 'flurry' 1030 rain! It can't get much more marginal than that.
see it crossed me... sorry mate!! lets hope an easterly kicks in then il have more luck from your way
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Radar says yes
Reality says no
Not even any rain here
Enjoy your snow those folks that have it
I bet those people in up state New York, or even Turkey and Italy would be in hysterics over us and our excitement over a dusting .....
huh if the weather says a dusting of snow in new york everybody carries on and dont even look out of the window, here its an event!! now imagine if this event turned to major onslaught of snow in this forum, with no end in sight on the models?? Maybe one day it will happen..
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yeah can see that.. will most likely get hit first. il post what falls
Rain with mixture of big flakes in pulses
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perhaps a little more elavation here? Just shows how marginal things are...another black cloud approaching,will keep you posted as radar looks promising.
yeah can see that.. will most likely get hit first. il post what falls
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Snow flurry here in SE London.The first flakes since 2013.
hmm.. just had a little rain here, no snow flakes in that.. strange?? and your just a mile or so from me?
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@Nanu
Pretty much anything after Monday should be treated with great uncertainty at the moment. The first front which pushes in on Tuesday might lose it precipitation as the trough disrupts and weakens over the UK. Beyond that the current form trend is for low pressure to sink through the UK into Europe midweek with another low following a similar track at the end of the week and into next weekend.
ECM ens show this nicely.
Overall the pattern is cold with the potential for frontal snow, also the risk of rain falling on frozen surfaces causing black ice which is another potential hazard.
Thanks for that mr captain!! so frontal looses, we stay in cold, couple of sliders happen 50/50 snow or rain,, black ice.. have not seen black ice down here since i was in school,, and that was fun seeing the teachers on there backsides!!
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As posted by fergie in model forum >> sorry but had to take a peak.. and got out alive!! << which just shows what a bloody mess it is,, and also could somebody explain some of this in english!! would be somewhat helpful
Seeing as it's nice and early in the day, perhaps we can see the remainder of Saturday through without the hysterics expressed on the forum yesterday?
Critical points of note are simple:
1. Amplified upper pattern remains favourable for (two) trough disruption(s) early-mid next week
2. Scope of how and where these may occur will NOT be correctly resolved in ANY model at this lead time
3. Ergo, any over-analysis is pointless at this lead time given great uncertainty and variance/volatility in model handling
4. Likely erratic and eventually weakening E'ward progress of occlusion into cold air Tues means uncertainty on areal spread of snow: GFS PPN phase charts to be viewed with due caution.
5. Risk of rain onto frozen surfaces even where no snow. Varied wintry hazards look inevitable but no compelling evidence for a 'nationwide snow event' in strict defined sense. However, threat of disruptive snow for some areas (starting in parts of NI initially under frontal mass ascent; then W Scotland and Wales) is quite obvious, although no regional detail is reliable for now.
6. The potential for some easterly flow later into the week could not be *wholly* discounted yesterday (despite some claiming so); nor again in this morning's output, albeit still considered a lower probability outcome (ca. 40% support for some easterly component in 00z MOGREPS-G)
7. Attempt to resume westerly mobility later in the week (Weds-Thurs, powered by strong jet) may threaten further snow with second trough disruption. Importantly, the transition/timing and evolution of this switch will inevitably be messy and poorly resolved in all models currently.
8. Further swings in output are a given, as models struggle with upstream driving developments in W Atlantic/US.
9. Thus, can we desist from further forum freak-outs today...! :-)-
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forget later this week what about today
cold sunny odd flurry thats crossing country at mo,,looks like its fizzling out tho. http://weerslag.nl/minuutradar#?x=1212&y=730&zoom=1&imagetype=minuutradar
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well bbc still going with the cold to stay in the future with an easterly (a cloudy one) setting in at end of week, mild atlantic not winning, shall check again later to see if its still that way
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So more specifics tomorrow
The showers look like moving through during the middle of the day
Associated dew points
At or below freezing in the north of the region, higher in the south, these are tending to rise during the day.
The models have generally trended to see snow showers north of London, with a mix of rain/hail/sleet over and south of London.
So I would think that Cambridgeshire, Bedfordshire, Northamptonshire, Suffolk and Norfolk would be in a chance of a dusting. Things could change though as the scenario looks marginal. If the showers survive the trip across the country then maybe other areas could see snowfall as evaporative cooling could turn showers to snow in any spot which sees them.
also how elevated the clouds are if heavy enough. many a time ive seen heavy rain showers turn to snow and give a covering
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Bbc news 24 8.57 kirkwood
Had a weather front coming up from the south with snow north of the m4
What is it with this frickin bloody north of the M4 quote!! Is like "sorry southern lovers, but due to the consistency price rise of all property values and concrete greyness color of all your buildings and due to the fact that fibre optic is a lot faster down there then in leeds, we would like to stick a quote in everytime that a snow band comes from south to north/ west to east/ or north to south, that is North of the M4, unfortunately you have us when it comes to an easterly or a thames streamer, but were working on it!!"
Just wondering what is it with that bloody road,, some special heated tarmac??
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Exactly what I expected really, happens 80% of the time with easterlies... This cold spell/snap isn't looking that great tbh at least from a general viewpoint
Didnt this happen 2 yrs ago and then we got it all in early feb down here?? Anyway who cares, you should be all used to it by now if you been here quite awhile like i have. And always read the posters who know what there talking about never the ones who like sticking posts of something happening 2 weeks from now!! And especially the idiots who think 1 wrong chart is the doom of existence
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We have thunder here,, wish storms wouldnt sneek up on me like that tho!!
more to come too later on (hopefully)
Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat
in Regional
Posted
Snow falling here now,only light as most of that shower has now passed thru, but alas i can join in with the other bragging snow people on here now