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frosty ground

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Everything posted by frosty ground

  1. http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2013/01/17/basis12/ukuk/prty/13011800_1712.gif This is from the 12z output for midnight tonigh..... this is as far out as it is at the mo.......
  2. The low will pull the systems Westwards on it's northern flank. Because it's in the North sea the systems will pull away from the Northwest region. As the low sinks the systems will sink with it. If the low formed over our region and not the Irish sea then we would be a lot happier.
  3. Just to add to the confusion, the Met raw data (Supply’s the computer generated forecast) has shown a slight shift north east...... Oldham has now gone from 6 hours of lights snow (or 2 time intervals) to all day Friday, Like it was yesterday. The best parts of the region will be the Liverpool bay area in my opinion.
  4. Over the Road in Oldham both Friday and Saturday are dry but -2 below freezing with a 15mph south easterly....... Brrrrr Today its wall to wall sunshine after the early light showers....... Lovely
  5. What about the situations which had model disagreement and still turned out cold....... FYI every cold spell / Snap that has come to pass has had model disagreement in the lead up to such events. The disappointment in missing out what was forecasts is probably remembered more than an actual events coming to pass, who cares about disagreement when the situation resolves itself? Hence the mild always wins argument is clearly snake oil....... PS I've seen the models for the last 10 years also!
  6. Following that logic, any forecaster would miss any upcoming cold spell....... Then again I can't remember too many occasion (If Any) Ian called a cold spell / Snap correctly that went onto occur. There is always an exception to the rule, even when the rule is a made up one.
  7. I would hazard a guess he means less of a west to east flow or more blocked..... but that would only be my guess
  8. Snow in oldham wet and trying to settle.
  9. Just need to bump this back up the list.......... Please note this first hand account, I am not sure how this ties up with the post by Ian Brown.
  10. I don't think the Met office are thinking that(but they are obviously see as it being an end of the line easterly at best.), Their thoughts were summed up by Ian F earlier and while the solution to the problem is twofold they back for now the ECM, but both outcomes are entirely possible?
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