tinybill

take a boat, wellies, water gear, looking for a very wet week sorry

well i watched country file this moniing the weather for this week was tearible , and as for summer will can forget it this week he said!!! loads of rain and more floods to look forward for

interesting band of thunderstorms in the north of france http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/radar/index.html

there is a line now of thunder storms in the midlands area http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/wm/...test_radar.html just got the cams up looking very dark there

now 5 thunder storms in the birmingham area Tracking 5 thunderstorms ------------------------------------------------------- Thunderstorm ID W-948 detected 14:28 Storm location bearing 334.2 dgr distance 163 mi Last recorded activity 15:22 Intensity class Weak Intensity trend No change Current strikerate 4/minute Peak strikerate 5/minute Total recorded strikes 52 Cloud-Ground strikes 35 - 67.31% Intracloud strikes 17 - 32.69% -- Strike type distribution -- Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 7 - 13.46% Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 28 - 53.85% Positive Intracloud [+IC] 14 - 26.92% Negative Intracloud [-IC] 3 - 5.77% ------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- Thunderstorm ID F-5470 detected 13:57 Storm location bearing 347.8 dgr distance 160 mi Last recorded activity 15:21 Intensity class Weak Intensity trend Weakening Current strikerate 4/minute Peak strikerate 7/minute Total recorded strikes 125 Cloud-Ground strikes 84 - 67.20% Intracloud strikes 41 - 32.80% -- Strike type distribution -- Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 28 - 22.40% Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 56 - 44.80% Positive Intracloud [+IC] 34 - 27.20% Negative Intracloud [-IC] 7 - 5.60% ------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- Thunderstorm ID G-129 detected 14:15 Storm location bearing 11.0 dgr distance 133 mi Last recorded activity 15:22 Intensity class Weak Intensity trend Weakening Current strikerate 2/minute Peak strikerate 12/minute Total recorded strikes 169 Cloud-Ground strikes 102 - 60.36% Intracloud strikes 67 - 39.64% -- Strike type distribution -- Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 25 - 14.79% Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 77 - 45.56% Positive Intracloud [+IC] 64 - 37.87% Negative Intracloud [-IC] 3 - 1.78% ------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- Thunderstorm ID A-5187 detected 13:52 Storm location bearing 0.8 dgr distance 223 mi Last recorded activity 15:22 Intensity class Weak Intensity trend Intensifying Current strikerate 4/minute Peak strikerate 12/minute Total recorded strikes 215 Cloud-Ground strikes 124 - 57.67% Intracloud strikes 91 - 42.33% -- Strike type distribution -- Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 55 - 25.58% Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 69 - 32.09% Positive Intracloud [+IC] 83 - 38.60% Negative Intracloud [-IC] 8 - 3.72% ------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- Thunderstorm ID T-3085 detected 15:04 Storm location bearing 201.3 dgr distance 170 mi Last recorded activity 15:20 Intensity class Weak Intensity trend No change Current strikerate 3/minute Peak strikerate 3/minute Total recorded strikes 16 Cloud-Ground strikes 9 - 56.25% Intracloud strikes 7 - 43.75% -- Strike type distribution -- Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 2 - 12.50% Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 7 - 43.75% Positive Intracloud [+IC] 4 - 25.00% Negative Intracloud [-IC] 3 - 18.75% ------------------------------------------------------- *** TRAC Report end - NexStorm V1.32.0.2211:PCI

on met check reports of huge storm and flooding with huge hail in Halesowen

people near birmingham area better look out as there looks like their are storms now brewing in that area

more showers now brewing up in the south should get going this afternoon http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/radar/index.html

i agree next week is looking horrible

just been reading a report saying l large parts of scarborough under water ie flooding

been looking at the latest radar by the end of the day i will not be the surprised if their not reports of damage in york, and a lot of places in the north of england

dont about that met office has annoced 100mm of rain expected in the yorkshire later!!!

radar showing large mass of very heavy rain now leaving france its very near kent http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/radar/

dont worry yours is coming later !!!!!!!!!

very dark and its pouring down ;ooked on the isle of wright radar not showing any thing but on the upminster link showing a storm just off the east coast http://www.upminsterweather.co.uk/test/ll.htm

not to worry you to much but the bbc weather said all the bad weather will be coming from the westat the end of the week fingers crossed for you

nice reading if you take any noticeof the up and coming hurricane season which is thoiught to be more attive this year and 3/4 of that come our way ,with all the talk of a heatwave this summer i got a horrible felling that with the ex, Pacific ,alantic. weather we could very easy have a higher then normal rain fall , not with the weeks of hot and dry summer weather some whants!!

Tropical Storm ALVIN Forecast/Advisory Number 11 Issued at 1500 UTC TUE MAY 29 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 400 AM PDT TUE MAY 29 2007 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ALVIN...LOCATED ABOUT 765 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTHWARD. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT THE SYSTEM BECOMES A TROPICAL CYCLONE...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD SPREAD OVER COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND ACAPULCO LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

lucky old you its belting down here again !!!!!!!!!!

horrible been rainning now for 29 hours here in suffolk present rain reading is 22.07 and its still poring down if i did not know better its jan out side, and looking at the radar no sign of it stoping yet!!

just something posted on our local uk radar reg the usa Iowa flooded after heavy rain 26 May 2007 The US state of Iowa has experienced flooding after it was hit by thunderstorms, reports the Des Moines Register on May 21st. According to the newspaper, western and central parts of the state were affected by strong winds, thunder and hailstones. Local authorities issued a hazardous weather warning for the region, as accidents such as a truck being overturned had taken place. Carroll County was also issued with a flash flood warning after persistent and heavy rain in the area. The National Weather Service stated that the stormy weather was likely to continue until the end of the week at least.

looking at the isle of white radar looks like their some thunder storms brewing up over south of the uk http://www.isleofwightweather.co.uk/live_storm_data.htm

The latest forecast which was issued on the 3rd of April 2007 by Philip J Klotzbach, William M Gray and assistance from William Thorson of the Colorado State University, brings some significant concern. Below is the current forecast with the numbers in brackets being the averages and the second set of numbers signaling what is currently being forecast. Number of; Named Storms (9.6) - 17 Hurricanes (5.9) - 9 Hurricane Days (24.5) - 40 Intense Hurricanes (2.3) - 5 There is also a 74% probability for at least one major hurricane (category 3 or higher) to make landfall anywhere on the US coastline. The above information is just a general guide and it is very difficult to specifically say how active the hurricane season will be. Overall however it does make for worrying times, because with the recent reduction in the intensity of El Nino, the signs are there for quite an active season!.

Subtropical Storm ANDREA Forecast Discussion -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Home Public Adv Fcst/Adv Discussion Wind Probs Maps/Charts Archive US Watch/Warning -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 000 WTNT41 KNHC 100831 TCDAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007 500 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2007 ANDREA CONTINUES TO APPEAR RATHER UNIMPRESSIVE...WITH LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR INDICATING SOME WEAK PULSATING CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER WHILE THE WESTERN HALF REMAINS NEARLY CONVECTION FREE. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE DECREASED TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD CONSERVATIVELY TO 35 KT. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM LATER THIS MORNING TO PROVIDE A BETTER ESTIMATE OF THE INTENSITY. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS VERY DRY AIR SURROUNDING THE CYCLONE IN ALL QUADRANTS EXPECT FOR THE NORTH. LATEST SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM CIMSS SHOWS 20 KNOTS OF NORTHWEST SHEAR IMPINGING UPON THE CYCLONE. THIS COMBINATION OF SHEAR AND DRY AIR IS INHIBITING CONVECTION AND DISPLACING THE CONVECTION THAT DOES EXIST TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. BOTH THE SHIPS AND GFDL GUIDANCE SUGGEST POSSIBLE STRENGTHENING. HOWEVER GIVEN THE CURRENT NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND THE ABUNDANCE OF DRY AIR...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION IN 96 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER. THERE IS A CAVEAT TO THE INTENSITY FORECAST...IN THAT A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OVER TEXAS MAY INTERACT WITH ANDREA IN 72 HOURS. THE CYCLONE HAS DRIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTHWEST...AS A RESULT OF BEING EMBEDDED IN A LARGE DEEP-LAYER TROUGH. THE TRACK FORECAST IS A BIT COMPLEX. MOST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE TAKES THE CYCLONE GENERALLY SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS...AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH THAT THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY EMBEDDED IN OPENS UP AND MOVES EASTWARD...AND THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING REMAINS WEAK. IF ANDREA STILL EXISTS AFTER 72 HOURS...THE UKMET...GFS...AND ECMWF FORECASTS A FRONT EXITING THE EASTERN U.S. PUSHING THE DISSIPATING CYCLONE EASTWARD. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS UNCHANGED AT THIS TIME. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0900Z 30.4N 80.0W 35 KT 12HR VT 10/1800Z 30.2N 80.1W 30 KT 24HR VT 11/0600Z 29.9N 80.2W 30 KT 36HR VT 11/1800Z 29.7N 80.2W 25 KT 48HR VT 12/0600Z 29.5N 80.1W 25 KT 72HR VT 13/0600Z 29.3N 79.9W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI

reg Andrea is it early in the season for something like this looking at the its heading for the keys track looks like it could go into the GULF OF MEXICO or am i reading it rong ! OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT WED MAY 09 2007 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 7N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W AMZ080-092130- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 1130 AM EDT WED MAY 09 2007 TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 29N W OF 77W THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT N OF 29N W OF 77W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT LATE TONIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N W OF 74W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT NE 5 TO 10 KT W OF BAHAMAS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NE SWELL EXCEPT 2 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS N OF 28N W OF 77W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF 74W. THU AND THU NIGHT N OF 30 W OF 78W E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. N OF 27N W OF 75W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT NE 5 TO 10 KT W OF BAHAMAS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS N OF 29N W OF 75W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF 70W. FRI N OF 29N W OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. N OF 28N W OF 78W S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 25N SE TO S WINDS 10 KT EXCEPT NE 5 TO 10 KT W OF BAHAMAS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 26N E OF 76W. SAT AND SUN N OF 25N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 25N SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS OR TSTMS SE PART. FORECASTER BERG/CHRISTENSEN