MattS

Had a good 5-6 inches of the white stuff last night! :unsure: Quite a few trees/branches down under the weight of the snow. Looking at the dutch radar http://www.buienradar.nl/ some decent areas of snow pushing in from the NE....maybe a chance of some more clipping east Suffolk and East Essex later today? What are peoples thoughts?

Still moderate to heavy snow here near Ipswich. Looking at the radar and the warnings, is this all expected to clear by about 10pm this evening?

This is all pretty impressive considering i'd switched off from watching the models after the wintry debacle last week! Does anyone know if this is expected to be a notable event? Still moderate snow starting to settle in places now! Current temp: 0.5C and the dew is sitting around -1C

Hi Paul, got some moderate snow down here now, surely you can't miss out on this one?

Fantastic analylsis Paul! Thanks! IMO this is what meteorology is all about. As you promised, the whole event was a blinding unlucky affair for so many down the east coast of EA and Kent. Will be interesting to see if this sequenece of events has ever been replicated in previous winters? From past experiences, everything seemed to be set up so nicely! Thanks again for trawling through the wreckage and helping a rather disillusioned Suffolk dweller to understand that we were, really really really unlucky! Until next time!

Hi Iceni what temp/dew point do you have there at the min?

Thanks for that Mark, Yeah maybe i was thinking of more recent years where the only opportunities of snowfall have come from a short sharp blast from the North or East. For London to be hit quite the way it did was and to get very little in this part of the world is very odd. Theres something very different to this year and almost dare i say it, almost akin to that of the 70's and 80's winters - of which i remember so fondly.

I bet we were Paul! I heard a story from a friend of mine about this guy who travelled from Haverhill to Ipswich to work. He started out in blizzard conditions and several inches of snow, at times he was struggling to keep his car on the road. On his arrival just outside Ipswich (in his words) 'it was almost like someone had flicked a switch!' Needless to say my friend and many of his colleagues did'nt believe him! Also remember some posting up a hi-res satellite image of the SE corner of the UK showing very clearly a snow free zone E Kent, E Essex, E Suffolk, and great swathes of Norfolk - a very unsual sight. Does anyone know hwre i might be able to see this image (sorry lost the link!) Anyway look forward to your findings Paul

Hi Paul Very much look forward to it. I must say it almost seems like that if anything could of gone wrong for us it, it invariable did! Mild sectors, longer sea tracks modifying air, changes in wind directions at the wrong time and the way the systems approached the UK. I don't like moaning about not getting snow myself especially as many many others, who don't live in the usual favourable locations (like Bristol and the west country) got loads of it! As i said before it's seems like theres been so many near misses thats bugging me. Seriously if i was to travel about 20 miles directly west of my location on monday I would of found a serious amount of snow! I can't remember the last winter when we had so many good chances only to continually scuppered!

Yeah it's getting a bit silly in this part of the world now. (a paltry inch last sunday into monday which was duly washed away within 24hrs) Event after event has somehow avoided east suffolk and i'm afraid it's got all the tell tale signs of another cold rain event here. I'm still holding out for a true NE, that seems to be the only way we can get a decent snowfall over here. Even last sunday's ENE seemed to shunt everything too far south. Sorry about the rant but i have never experienced anything quite like this in terms of near misses! :o :o Would be interesting to hear others thoughts on whats going to happen sunday into monday?

Had some real tasty snow showers this afternoon (a really pleasant suprise) which has left a covering i most places, just started coming down again...radar looking good!

The lively cold front passed through here just before 4. Temp has dropped down from 12.9C (pre cold front) to currently 8C. Feeling much colder than that in the wind though!

I've got a penchant for blue skies, being it either in mid summer accompanied by warmth or in mid winter when it's crisp and cold! Can't stand too much humidity. Being born in the mid 70's i've got so many memories of some amazing snowfall events (like the winter of '81 and the easterly of Feb 91) i'm always invariably drawn to anything snow related.

Ahh cool. I assume they don't make the mesoscale details available - apart form the BBC website which is limited!

Fantastic Iceberg! Cheers! Am i right in thinking that they upgraded their mesoscale data recently?

Thanks Paul, thats superb! Although i kind of hoped we were'nt going to need it! I must say your coverage over here on Netweather has been second to none and is very much appreciated. Much better than over on TWO!!!

Would someone be able to point in me in the direction of what the tool for handling rainfall projections at the 24-48 hours range to assist with the glastonbury forecasts . Obviously i'm aware of the GFS hi-resolution section but i seem to remember another mesoscale rainfall forecasting tool from somewhere? Any help would be greatly appreciated!

Well looks like the GFS has been pretty spot on since earlier in the week picking the trend and the placement of that low. It's forecast to be pretty unsettled conditions throughout the festival period but perhaps drying up towards the end. Probably won't feel too bad in the sunny spells between the showers tho. Looks like agreement between the ECM and METO now too....I'm off to buy some additional waterproofs!

Don't lose heart just yet William...I'm reserving judgement until we get towards the end of the weekend. This weeks unsettled weather's is causing all sorts of problems with the model output and timings as ever will be crucial. Keep believing in the ridge!

Yeah, but i did throw in the usual disclaimer about GFS. I've been trying to get what positives i can from the somewhat eratic output during the past week or so. There has been some good runs scattered in there with some decent ridges being thrown over the SW and i would agree that things are finely poised. My feelings are it's all about what happens over the next few days with the advancing slow moving LP's.

Looks like the weather's going to be absolutely stinking for next week if the latest GFS is to be believed. (which at this range probably should'nt!) Seems some backing from the ECM now too, throwing in a north easterly flow for good measure. My only hope is things get pushed eastwards just like they always do in winter!

Yes i'd agree Paul. No need to panic yet! Over the past few days the GFS has been toying with the idea of getting a ridge of high pressure to nose it's way in. Seems like a trend on the Somerset ensembles for a rise in pressure around that period

Thanks for the forecast Paul! At the moment i'd take sunshine and showers, rather than a mudpath! Latest GFS imparticular still persisiting with a more unsettled trend as we move into mid month and just prior to the Glasto period. After this weeks warmth we could get stuck in a more zonal pattern for a couple of weeks - although some hints of a rise in pressure into FI on the ensembles...fingers crossed. Either way it will be