Discombobulation Man
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Posts posted by Discombobulation Man
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Just when you think it's all over we get some murr 6 finger action again in E11. What a corker it's been!
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Brighton seein a back build means 6pm London time
Fanf'ingtastic, sniffing 5 inches here now, snowmen built earlier have been plastered and look like snowmummies.
Oh and LOL @ nae 12z offering 2-5mm here.
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Houston we're back below zero
Scientific supporting data: Icicles on metal railings (small thaw on metal earlier) and snow has filled in old car parking spaces.
Still the snow comes from this loving channel finger - just seems to keep on probing
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Radar is still looking great for London and those North and South of the capital... Not letting up yet
Yup, nice, 4 inchs here now, C/E/NE/SE London has really lucked out getting a good finger from the channel today
Must be 4-5 hours of 6/7 Murr snow here (prolly a 5 now mind). Gotta watch the temps for a wee bit longer but looking good for another couple of hours at least I would think.
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Still lots of epicness here in Leytonstone, moderate snow, certainly no signs of grass and roads plastered. . . though temps are around 0.5c here (have an old crappy non-digital thermometer which has crept above zero). Interested to know other temp readings from C/E/NE london?
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Heavy snow bank swelled over East London now, spreading out to engulf central Lonodn too. Turned a bit epic here in Leytonstone!
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Anyone else amazed at how fast the precipitation is moving? it's already reached the NW coast/Liverpool!
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12z NAE. Eastwards adjustment I think?
Yeah looks like it, some bigger totals from that system further north up into NE England/Scotland but still giving 7/8mm over London which is the same as the earlier run (however that may now include totals from Mondays snow finger?)
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Cockcroft always does it and hardly ever backs down till the las min
So many times I have seen him say
" don't know if you were watching a few days ago but now"
I think he just covers himself for longer than other forecasters
The only remotely fathomable reason I can think of as to why Peter Cocksoft is calling for rain/sleet on sat is that he simply only glances at the 850 temperature charts for his forecasts and hasn't yet grasped the fact that pulling in low dew points off the continent means you don't need -10c at 850 to get snow.
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From what I can see - yes. Several hundred J/kg of CAPE, a LI of -4 in some areas and several areas of convergence along with low pressure overhead and (according to the met office pressure chart) an occluded front moving in from the west. An interesting day tomorrow and i'm at work
EDIT: This is despite Darren Bett's forecast
Lol, yeah I prefer your forecast to Darren 'no storm' Bett ( aka Darren 'Mild' Bett)
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Looks like I'm going to miss out but hopefully if something kicks off south of here I'll be able to get some nice shots of an anvil or two.
Is tomorrow still looking decent for most of England?
To be honest I'm not sure at all now that i've just seen Darren Bett and his miserable forecast, looks like a bust now with even tomorrow not showing nearly as much activity as was forecasted previously.
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Agreed, the trough is pushing NE,so close but no cigar for us?
Yeah, looks that way, to be honest I thought I was unlucky but in Romford you just missed the line by a pip squeak!
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It's all started off a bit too far East for my liking, is it possible that anything can develop behind this line now or do you just have to 'lump it' if you're sitting a few miles to the West of it?
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if I had to put money on the areas to receive the best of the storms today I would say the following areas;
East Midlands
Nottingham
Through to Leeds/Bradford
Small chance of something further east in to North Lincolnshrie/East Yorkshire but unlikely.
Goes against the models I know, but it's what I reckon.
I'd love you to be right mate as i'm away in Loughborough at the mo and feeling a bit sorry for myself that i'm not back home in East London for the potential action.
As you say though there's no forecast or model favouring those areas for the best storms, so what pointers are you using to arrive at your prediction?
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What forecast...???...lol
Cockroft has long since gone to bed thinking only a couple of flakes would be blowing around in the breeze, what we just saw was a pre-record with out-of-date crap fed by the Meto.
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There's a small 60mm/hr precipitation rate blob just SW of Birmingham, is that snow there or rain anyone able to confirm ?
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Not bad here in Leytonstone, light to moderate fluff still going and recovering cars, grass and rooftops, patches of concrete starting to succumb too.
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Does anyone 'in the know' have any idea if the stuff over Norfolk and Suffolk on the NetW Radar is real and if it is real, is it Snow ? Reports in EA thread talk of a few flakes East of Peterborough with a bit of sleet,
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Nothing we didn't already know really from Peter on London Weather, dusting for East London, nothing for Essex + Kent, with best chance of a few CM's to West of London. Hope for upgrades near the time and that the blob coming in from the North Sea comes in a bit further South.
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Cocky is imminent, interesting thoughts from the 'Snow Risk thread' in that the current precipitation radar plots dont really tally with the forecasts, very exciting, hope for a twist or two.
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Here's a turn up for the books, Peter Gibbs on News24 said a few cms possible from Lincolnshire down into the London area, a billion miles better than I would have expected and more than enough for a Snowman transplant.
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If you took the NAE as gospel then it's pretty much a Wales only event, as SM says we'll need to luck out big time and hope the near dead Eastern flank of the front can still provide a few showers.
If I can get 2 cms that will be enough for a new Snowman head - I reckon 2cm is the best anyone can hope for in the SE
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Where would you like to put us then?
South East Midands, now get out
Only joking
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New thread for tonights big Snow Event, good job Kold :lol:
London & South East Regional Discussion 20/01/13 18z -------->
in Regional
Posted
Snowfields of Leytonstone e11: 14-15cm of fresh snow fell here yesterday
Speaking with a friend in Edinburgh they have sleet at the moment! looks like it's got a little marginal in places as the system travelled North - we did bloody well all things considered, certainly no marginality anyway in this region - even Central London in the daytime managed to clock around 10cm of snow! fantastic!