whitestuff
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Posts posted by whitestuff
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On 7/10/2016 at 16:11, northwestsnow said:
tomaz shafenakker just aid hints of something much warmer as hit the end of the coming week into the weekend,yaaaaaaaaaay
Ties in nicely with the ECM0z so fingers crossed the trend continues and the red crayon will come out ..;)
BBC must watch the models like us and ramp up and down at each outcome! Friday til Sunday we were going to have heat next weekend, then yesterday they said that it was now going to be changeable. Now they've flipped back again .
These super computers they use......are they any improvement on a sinclair zx spectrum?
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6
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Inch or so settled here in rowley regis(west brum), roads covered and coming down thick and fast
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Anybody know what the Shannon Entropy is and what it's effects are?
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The precipitation does look east of our region which isn't good but the weather forecasts have it moving off to the souh east. Lets hope they're right!
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roads and paths covered and it is coming down heavier now. i don't care what happens now ....winter is here at last!!!! :w00t:
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Amazing how people can predict snow to within 10 miles LOL Just have watch the radar and the lamp posts and see what we get!
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Well! I've seen so many forecast maps now that i think my area..... north westish Brum is going to have a dry saturday night and up to 6" of snow,with rain and frost!
I am reminded of last winter with the last blast of snow that was to come from a storm coming up from france. For two days we were told in the west mids we were to get the brunt of if it, but I sat and watched the rainfall radar as it tracked NE and missed us completely!
So what I'm saying is this, don't take it too seriously if someone says your town is about to get dumped on tomorrow night. We will only know the true position as it happens, this is a nowcast situation! Good luck to everyone who is desperate for a bit of the whitestuff! I think we're all mad
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Hi Midlander's, its nice snow here,,NOT WET rubbish...Instant settling,
On it way to you,but moving VERY slowly
good luck
any depth yet?
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Looks like it has stalled now ...it aint moved for the last hour!
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Snow falling here as well now, light covering on cars. Hope it keeps going for a bit this time!
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Oh my lord, I was about to give up hope and i've just looked outside and it's quite heavy out there! Where has this come from? It's even starting to stick on some cars that's left water from thawed ice...
EDIT:
Slowed back to moderate now but it's left quite a noticeable dusting practically everywhere...
You had me going there ...iwas up the window like a whippet!
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lol i doubt we`ll hear much of them all winter, i mean where is jemtom
I think she changed her name
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STOKE STILL ON MATE
hope your pitch aint too hard or the ball will be bouncing out of the park when you hoof it up the pitch! :lol:
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Yeah, its kinda on and off at the moment, but it looks good for us into this evening i think! Im also in Sutton Coldfield, Im further towards Four Oaks - There was more snow in Erdington though!
Can you tell me how you know it looks good for tonight? Is there another front passing through?
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will the snow showers intensify as the temps fall?
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I hear people saying the snow will get worse about 6 o'clock, but looking at the radar, there is no sign of anything but a weak band stretching from wales across to the north west.
Is this what's going to bring the snow?
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I don't think this is going to happen!
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It'll just miss us to the north south east or west or turn to rain or just not turn up!!!!
Got really upset last week so I'm not gonna let myself get carried away again!
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Does anyone know a site where I can get a fairly local temperature reading from. The nearest I have found on meto is coleshill and that's a bit of a way from me.
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Thanks Brian.
And a HNY to you fella.
Just to add more thoughts again, for Notts, Derbys, Leics, Warks and Staffs.
The band of PPN has decayed over the last few hours, however, the decay 'potentially, looks to have at least stalled for now.
For some indication, have a look in the Yorks/Lincs thread.
Notts is perhaps going to fair best from this, however Leics, if the ppn does not decay further, might also get some showers out of this.
Derbys (North) should also do ok, and showers look like they are starting to fill in, however, South Derbys are unlikely to do as well, with still some risk.
Staffs might do ok, but may be a little to far west, whilst Warks may do ok again if ppn continutes, but the further east the better.
Worcs are perhaps in a less favourable position, and whilst Northants too may also be in a similar position, the potential is slightly better.
So in terms of risk, I would say, with the highest risk of snowfall, as follows:
1. Notts - 50%
2. North Derbs -45%
3. North Staffs - 40%
4. North Leics - 35%
4. South Derbs - 35%
6. South Staffs - 30%
6. South Leics - 30%
6. North Warks - 30%
8. North Northants - 25%
9. South Northants - 20%
9. South Warks - 20%
11. Gloucs/Worcs - 15%
Radar as I say, is looking ok...well...at least holding up to some degree.
TV Forecasts are showing a brief spell for the northern parts of the region, but not so for the southern half.
METO Warnings are now downgraded to Icy Patches, so if any snow, expect it to be light.
But, as we saw today, we really just do not know what is going to happen.
Nothing for the West Midlands then?
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Only saving grace here is if any of the heavy showers in the SW make it here and fall as snow.
you're only about 4 or 5 miles from here' how can it be possible that you have no snow and its coming down really well here?
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Light covering in rowley regis and coming down quite heavily!!!! At Last!!!!
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Moderate rain with big flakes of snow mixed in here.
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Lol the radar is showing by the time it gets here its so weak its almost nothing. Not good news!
what radar are you looking at?
Meto and meteox dont show any weakening.
Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
As far as I can see there is no difference in commenting on day 16 and 26 when the flip about day to day! A week or so people were saying they see a cold run up to Christmas and now it seems winter is over....again.
The models are like a crystal ball and you see what you want to see in them. Coldie and mildie alike!