'While both of the winters you have recited were weakly positive in terms of the NAO, the 1991 example was a cold winter, the Met Office are predicting a mild winte, therefore 2001 is the most likely anologue' 2001 was actually the last good Winter we had for snow up here. A repeat of some of the North Easterlies that occurred in Feb and early March 2001 would be most welcome.