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john mac

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Everything posted by john mac

  1. john mac
    Yeah i dont blame you TEITS, absolutely knackered after this one, 12z still has things looking good for EA &SE from thursday night into friday
  2. john mac
    you should move to the south east :lol:
  3. john mac
    Enjoy the snow everyone, you are due a good dumping happy new year
  4. john mac
    Blimey even i ave had a bit of sleet mixed in with the rain today, temps 3c
  5. john mac
    Well my last post tonight, i hope i wake up to a nice backtrack from the 00z night all
  6. john mac
    Well i have to say that i am surprised,i thought the 18z would come morwe into line with the euro's, perhaps it will take a couple more runs or may be it wont happen at all
  7. john mac
    No way i dont think the low is going to be that deep. The GFS is over doing the low definately
  8. john mac
    Yep looks like a big rain fest for us in the south east, if the low gets 100-150miles furthur south then bingo
  9. john mac
    The 18z is going to have to be a complete u turn for it to gain any credibility and i cant see this happening in one run
  10. john mac
    With regards to theGFS we have been here before, when we have unusual synoptics the GFS defaults to mild swesterlies
  11. john mac
    Yamkin, i think it will be snowing in london by tuesday if the ECM veryifies
  12. john mac
    Quite simply COLD AND SNOWY
  13. john mac
    Message to all newbies, if steve murr is getting that excited this cold spell is going to be a classic, everything seems to be falling into place at the right time.
  14. john mac
    Dont worry most places will be a riskof snow in the coming week, not my words the beeb
  15. john mac
    Yeah defo, sorry i was speaking for my area, most of the counrty would be in trouble. Timefor the gritters to go on holiday again lol
  16. john mac
    Just seen the bbc london forecast they went for rain for tuesday and wednesdAy, obviously havent seen the ECM yet. Bet the 10pm forecast is all change.
  17. john mac
    WOAH!!! happy days steve lets see if the gfs will come more into line with the euro's. Chaos in London and the SE if that comes off
  18. john mac
    Let the bedlem begin theECM at t72hrs is excellent some serious cold temps for the east
  19. john mac
    Greao see the UKmo coming up with the goods, IMO the gfs has taken a small step towards the euro's as long as the ECM comes up trumps the we will see the GFS moving into line with the other models :blush:
  20. john mac
    LOL covering themselves for every possible outcome, but this was to be expected.
  21. john mac
    Yeah everyone keep their feet on the ground, As i said in an earlier post, we will know alot more later today after the ECM12z. At the moment we cannot just dismiss the GFS, we have done this before and had our fingers burned, patience is needed in this situation and as tamara said the euro's will be the favourites but keep an eye on the GFS
  22. john mac
    The GEM IMO has been consistant with its outputs in this situation, it is giving itself good credibitlity as long as its outcome is correct.
  23. john mac
    I totally agree with you ian, as we have said many times already on this thread there are going to be changes on each run as to what track the low takes. Some further northn some furthur south, either way this is going to boil down to a nowcast, 100-200miles is a very small diffrence in the track but makes a massive difference as to where the snows going to fall
  24. john mac
    Yeah the models have struggled with this unusual set up also they have had problems with missing data over the christmas period we should start to see things ironing themselves out over the next 24hrs.
  25. john mac
    Thats the beauty of model watching my friend, thats why we do this
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