irish1
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Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
irish1 replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
irish1 replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
irish1 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
06z ensembles for Southeast Ireland and concrete agreement on milder Sunday but cooler after that and then a lot of options, cooler options outnumber milder but really very uncertain beyond 22nd -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
irish1 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
irish1 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
irish1 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
irish1 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM ensembles showing huge support now for milder air from Sunday but could be just a blip for a few days? -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
irish1 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Track of storm firmly South now, chances of frontal snow look to have faded away but will help keep the cold locked in. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
irish1 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
irish1 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
irish1 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
irish1 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
irish1 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
latest ECM ensembles show good support for cold to last up to 18th. The spike in precip for Southeast Ireland shows risk of low bringing some precip but spread shows how uncertain it is. -
Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
irish1 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
irish1 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
irish1 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
irish1 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Latest ECM ensembles show a big increase in the number of milder members beyond the 12th but a whole lot of options there so really impossible to forecast beyond Monday at present. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
irish1 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The ECM ensembles show good support for 850 temps, unusually so right out to end almost and op has colder support at end. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
irish1 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ensembles show 6th to 8th is very uncertain and it really is finely balanced. Be a few more days before this settles. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
irish1 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
irish1 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
h ECM ensembles for Southeast Ireland show big spread from the 5th but more support for milder 850 temps. -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
irish1 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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FWIW the Irish Met Office, Met Eireann have started doing monthly forecasts: Monthly Forecast - Met Éireann - The Irish Meteorological Service WWW.MET.IE Met Éireann, the Irish National Meteorological Service, is the leading provider of weather information and related services for Ireland. Week 1 (Friday 08 January to Thursday 14 January) High pressure is expected to influence Ireland’s weather during this week. A north or northeast air-flow looks set to dominate early in the period before the air-flow becomes variable as high pressure builds in over the country. Mean air temperatures are expected to be below average with a risk of frost, ice and some wintry precipitation. However, it looks set to turn a little less cold later in the period. Soil temperatures are expected to run below the seasonal-norm. As high pressure will be the dominant feature of the weather, is expected to be drier than normal for early to mid-January with only small amounts of rainfall forecast. Week 2 (Friday 15 January to Thursday 21 January) Forecast confidence declines in week 2 but there is an indication that weather conditions will turn more unsettled. High pressure is forecast to decline with some frontal systems moving through. Mean air temperatures are expected to be near-average for January with a reduced risk of frost and ice as compared to previous weeks. Rainfall totals are expected to be higher than in previous weeks with rainfall amounts forecast to be around average for mid-Winter, possibly higher than average in parts of the south. Week 3 (Friday 22 January to Thursday 28 January) By late January, there is lower confidence in the forecast but there is a signal for weather conditions to remain fairly unsettled with low pressure situated close to Ireland. Mean air temperatures are expected to be above average with a reduced risk of frost and ice as compared to the climatological average. As low pressure will quite dominant with frontal troughs nearby, it looks set to be wetter than average across most of the country. Forecast confidence falls lower by the end of the period but it looks set to stay rather unsettled. Week 4 (Friday 29 January to Thursday 04 February) By forecast week 4 confidence is much lower. However, there is a trend towards unsettled weather with low pressure expected to be positioned nearby Ireland. Mean air temperatures are forecast to be slightly above average for the time of year across much of the country whilst rainfall totals are projected to be above average.
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Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2019.
irish1 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A little off topic but not sure where to ask, given High Pressure setting up for next week and some nice settled weather the only real issue is fog which forecasting is always fun, is there any models that have a fog forecast?