NL

Have to agree simply a legend... He gave an interview on breakfast tv a while back, apparently he worked a lot on American tv......... Explains quite a lot then;his attitude towards tv weather broadcasts... and i love his facial expressions especially right at the end off his forecasts after he's said "And thats the weather for now"

I would say it was a white stork... dont know what it was doing that far north Photos: The group of ten White Stork Ciconia ciconia was at the Huleh Reserve, Israel, on 26 Oct 1981.

Here's hoping 2007 is as crazy as 1974 mixed with 1999!! Happy chasing...

Very lucky young man!! http://www.usatoday.com/weather/storms/200...-survivor_x.htm

A photo of the above storm.

8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR APR 12 - 18 2007: THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DISAGREEMENT AMONG THE VARIOUS MODELS ON THE MEAN 500-HPA CIRCULATION PATTERN IN THE 8 TO 14 DAY PERIOD. THERE IS A LARGE SPREAD AMONG INDIVIDUAL MEMBERS... WITH THE ENSEMBLE MEANS INDICATING A VERY BROAD TROUGH OVER THE CONUS EXTENDING FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN AND THE 06Z GFS HIGH RESOLUTION RUN PERSIST AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE EASTERN CONUS... AND THIS POSSIBILITY ELEVATES THE CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. OTHERWISE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE QUITE UNCERTAIN WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES MOST LIKELY FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE CONUS. THE CHANCES OF ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION IS ELEVATED FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES DUE TO AN ACTIVE STORM TRACK ASSOCIATED WITH THE ENHANCED WESTERLIES PREDICTED OVER THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE THERE IS NOT MUCH AGREEMENT AMONG TOOLS FOR THE 8 TO 14 PRECIPITATION AMOUNT INDICATING THAT PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES WILL MOSTLY DEPEND ON SHORT WAVES NOT PREDICTABLE AT THESE TIME RANGES. WITH THE STORM TRACK WELL TO THE SOUTH... ALASKAN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW MEDIAN EXCEPT FOR THE PANHANDLE WHERE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AT 500-HPA MAY BRING ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR NEAR NORMAL AMOUNTS. Looking very quiet up until around the 15th, with some states still below average precipiation. 8 to 14 day Outlook Table OUTLOOK FOR APR 12 - 18, 2007 STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN WASHINGTON B A OREGON B A NRN CALIF N A SRN CALIF A N IDAHO B A NEVADA N N W MONTANA B A E MONTANA B A WYOMING N N UTAH N N ARIZONA A B COLORADO N B NEW MEXICO A B N DAKOTA B A S DAKOTA N A NEBRASKA N N KANSAS N N OKLAHOMA N B N TEXAS N B S TEXAS A B W TEXAS A B MINNESOTA B A IOWA B N MISSOURI N N ARKANSAS N N LOUISIANA N N WISCONSIN B A ILLINOIS B N MISSISSIPPI N N MICHIGAN B N INDIANA B N OHIO B N KENTUCKY B N TENNESSEE B N ALABAMA N A NEW YORK B N VERMONT B N NEW HAMP B B MAINE B B MASS B N CONN B N RHODE IS B N PENN B N NEW JERSEY B N W VIRGINIA B N MARYLAND B N DELAWARE B N VIRGINIA B N N CAROLINA B A S CAROLINA B A GEORGIA N A FL PNHDL N A FL PENIN N N AK N SLOPE A B AK ALEUTIAN B B AK WESTERN A B AK INT BSN A B AK S INT A B AK SO COAST A N AK PNHDL A N LEGEND TEMPS WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL PCPN WITH RESPECT TO MEDIAN A - ABOVE N - NEAR NORMAL A - ABOVE N - NEAR MEDIAN B - BELOW B - BELOW The next forecast is out on the 19/April.

Tornado warning out for south west Nebraska.... Statement as of 5:42 PM MDT on April 02, 2007 The National Weather Service in North Platte has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Keith County in southwest Nebraska... this includes the city of Ogallala... * until 615 PM MDT * at 541 PM MDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado near Lemoyne... or about 11 miles northwest of Ogallala... moving east at 40 mph. * The tornado will be near... 9 miles north of Ogallala by 550 PM MDT... Keystone and 7 miles north of Roscoe by 555 PM MDT... Sarben and Paxton by 610 PM MDT...

Think i'll start from Cherokee Okalahoma and travel east through to Springfield Missouri, capping will be evident but should be broken hopefully early afternoon due to surface heating do i go south to Arkansas and risk difficult chasing conditions or continue North east to South West Illinois..???

Yeah Paul And Nick (as many others on NW) are well knowledgable in storm creation, activity,etc so you'll be in safe hands... Tell em NO COREPUNCHIN'...!!!!

Truely an amazing supercell, lets hope you encounter a few of those before the end of your chasing holiday Stewart..

Have a safe and memorable time you lucky people... Hope you hit lucky on every chase.(I'm sure you'll recieve plenty of help and suggestions from NW members!) Just one question Paul, "When you go to hire your vehicle, do you have to pay more if you tell them youre stormchasing?.. NL..

Cheers.. just read a post on stormtrack and one member points out that after such a pattern the US usually experiences large outbreaks and hints that models are showing a strong pacific jet straight west to east around the 15th... lets hope this pattern remains for the remainder of the season...

Amazing stories... If they hadnt reached the safety of Mrs Olson i think she'd have surely perished as she was totally unaware a half-mile wide tornado was knocking on the door!! Sure hope you and Nick dont come back with similar stories this year,,, An omega block expected.. so how long can these sit around and what synoptics are needed to shift it...(just so i know what to look for).

Weired that was Paul.. i was reading the very same thing !!! Yeah had a lucky escape.. he mentioned that the tornado was water wrapped, suppose it dont really matter at night i'd expect.. Not a situation i'd like to find myself in, but does make a great one to tell the grandkids!!

Fantastic thunderstorm now in Houston texas.. http://www.westchase.dst.tx.us/wdwebcam2.htm

Essan wins for me... Could use that for an anti-smoking poster!!

There it is now Nick.

Sadly that even with todays technology people fall victims to the awsome power of these storms.. If i lived out there i'd make it my business to follow the storms using the tools available even if i didnt have an interest in weather!.. and when i thought its gettin a bit hairy i'd be straight down into my foxhole..

That area does really well from Supercells, in fact the road to Amarillo from Plainview is Straight North. Paul Sherman

Incredibly slow moving cells.. Giving readings ov 68-70dbz.. and like u said Paul so early too!

Great footage there Paul.. Can't help but chuckle when the warning says" Exercise extreme caution, you are approaching a twisting storm!" as if you had'nt noticed!!

Has now been upgraded to a Tornado warning!!! Statement as of 6:48 AM CDT on March 30, 2007 ... A Tornado Warning remains in effect until 715 am CDT for north central Schleicher and south central Tom Green counties... At 647 am CDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar continued to indicate a tornado. This tornado was located near the intersection of ranch Road 1828 and ranch Road 915... or about 10 miles north of Eldorado... moving northeast at 35 mph. The tornado will be near... US-277 near the Schleicher-Tom Green County line by 700 am CDT... In addition to the tornado... this storm is capable of producing baseball size hail and destructive straight line winds. The safest place to be during a tornado is in a basement. Get under a workbench or other piece of sturdy furniture. If no basement is available... seek shelter on the lowest floor of the building in an interior hallway or room such as a closet. Use blankets or pillows to cover your body and always stay away from windows. If in Mobile homes or vehicles... evacuate them and get inside a substantial shelter. If no shelter is available... lie flat in the nearest ditch or other low spot and cover your head with your hands. Lat... Lon 3101 10074 3085 10065 3107 10025 3125 10042

Severe storm forecast continuing today.. ...CENTRAL MN EWD INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES... ALTHOUGH CLOUDS/PCPN MAY BE IN THE REGION EARLY IN THE MORNING... SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME PREVALENT BY MID/LATE MORNING AS WARM FRONT LIFTS NWD INTO THE AREA AND LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION SHIFTS INTO ONTARIO. SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT...55 TO 60 DEGREE DEWPOINTS SHOULD SPREAD NWD INTO AT LEAST THE SRN HALF OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA BY MID AFTERNOON. THIS INCREASE IN BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE COMBINED WITH MID LEVEL DRYING/STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AND DIURNAL HEATING ARE EXPECTED TO YIELD MLCAPES OF AT LEAST 1500 J/KG. STRONG TROPOSPHERIC WINDS...INCLUDING LOW/MID LEVEL JETS AT 50-60 KT AND A HIGH LEVEL JET AT 100 K...WITH STRONGLY VEERING PROFILES IN THE LOWER 3 TO 6KM WILL BE VERY SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...THOUGH STRONGLY CURVED HODOGRAPHS AND EFFECTIVE INFLOW LAYER SRH AROUND 300 M2/S2 WOULD ALSO FAVOR TORNADOES...SOME POSSIBLE STRONG...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK AREA. AS THE SUPPER SYSTEM LIFTS NEWD INTO WI DURING THE EVENING...THE WINDS ALOFT SHOULD BECOME MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL AND SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LINEAR SYSTEM...WITH WIND DAMAGE BECOMING MORE LIKELY AS THE STORMS MOVE EWD INTO ERN WI/WRN MI.

Thats one 'ell' of a hail storm " Bonkers!" Good find ..Hope this season is a good one for ya annual storm chasin' Paul..