Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Anvil Crawler

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    169

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by Anvil Crawler

    Us Chase Day 4 Discussion - Wed 3rd May

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    You would not believe this but we can see the developing CU Field to our North West at present, things looking up, we have decided against the Guthrie Storms as they look high based and we have a nice clear slot to our North West from here, great road options in the Caprock area.

    NetWeather Team

    Well it looks like things are looking good and patience is paying off as MD had just been issued for where we are http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0743.html

    Us Chase Day 4 Discussion - Wed 3rd May

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    The Following from Paul Sherman

    Now we have a decision to make. An MD Has been issued for Northern Oklahoma which is 300 miles North but not in the Moderate Risk area, we have an electrified cell now 80 miles to our South near Guthrie. Sat here drinking a few buds talking and chatting with Ryan Mcnamara (SkyWarn Spotter) from Arizona and a few US Chasers all swapping data. So do we blast North or head South East???

    Net Weather Team

    Us Chase Day 3 Discussion - Tues 2nd May 2006

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    SPC Have Updated the Risk to our First MODERATE Today :):)

    Looks like we are just in the Moderate Risk area so when things go boom today we could have some spectacular Structure Shots and possibly my first ever Supercell!! Paul & Matt are grinning like Cheshire cats at the Mo!!

    ...SRN PLNS...

    BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SPREADING NWD FROM MUCH

    OF TX INTO OK TODAY AS WEAK FRONT NOW IN NW TX/SE OK LIFTS NWD AND

    WEAKENS. THE FRONT APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN TEMPORARILY REINFORCED BY

    ONGOING ELEVATED STORMS INVOF THE RED RVR AND NWD. BUT SFC DEW

    POINTS SHOULD RISE WELL INTO THE 60S AS THE FRONT WASHES OUT OVER

    CNTRL/NRN OK.

    LARGE SCALE FORCING OVER REGION SHOULD BE WEAK. APPARENT IMPULSE

    NOW OVER AZ MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SRN HI PLNS LATE TODAY/EARLY

    THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THE FEATURE IS NOT WELL-DEPICTED IN THE

    GUIDANCE. IN FACT...THE GFS FORECASTS MINOR SHORTWAVE RIDGING OVER

    SW TX THROUGH THE DAY. AT BEST THIS MAY ENHANCE UPR DIFFLUENCE OVER

    AREAS FARTHER N AND E INTO OK.

    AT ANY RATE...COMBINATION OF STRONG HEATING...IMPLIED UPR

    DIFFLUENCE...AND LOW LEVEL ASCENT ALONG LEE TROUGH/DRY LINE AND

    AFOREMENTIONED FRONT SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO BREAK CAP AND PROMOTE STORM

    DEVELOPMENT FROM THE ERN TX PANHANDLE INTO SW KS BY LATE IN THE DAY.

    40+ KT DEEP WNWLY SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS...SOME OF WHICH MAY

    INITIALLY BE HIGH-BASED. VERY LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND

    SHOULD ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS. SETUP COULD ALSO YIELD A TORNADO OR

    TWO GIVEN HIGH SBCAPE /AOA 2500 J PER KG/ AND LIKELIHOOD FOR

    BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS/BACKED LOW LEVEL FLOW INVOF REMNANT FRONT.

    THIS THREAT WOULD BE GREATEST FROM THE ERN TX PANHANDLE/NW TX INTO

    WRN AND PERHAPS CNTRL OK. THE STORMS SHOULD ORGANIZE INTO SEVERAL

    CLUSTERS AND MOVE GENERALLY EAST TOWARD THE LWR PLNS DURING THE

    EVENING...AIDED BY STRENGTHENING LLJ.

    Paul Sherman & Ozzie

    USA Severe Weather Discussion

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

    TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 260

    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

    1110 PM CDT FRI APR 28 2006

    THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

    TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

    FAR SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS

    FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

    EASTERN TEXAS

    EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 1110 PM

    UNTIL 700 AM CDT.

    TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND

    GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE

    AREAS.

    THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE

    MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF DE

    QUEEN ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES SOUTH OF COLLEGE STATION TEXAS. FOR A

    COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

    UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

    REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

    TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

    AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

    THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

    AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 258...WW 259...

    DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO

    OVERSPREAD ERN TX INTO FAR SERN OK/SWRN AR TONIGHT WITHIN EXTREME

    LOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR. LARGE SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF POTENT

    MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NOW APPROACHING TX WILL OVERCOME CAPPING AND

    ENHANCE CONVECTION WITHIN MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. A FEW

    STORMS WILL LIKELY REMAIN QUITE ORGANIZED IN THE FORM OF LONG-LIVED

    SUPERCELLS AND BOW ECHOES...WITH AN ATTENDANT ENHANCED THREAT OF

    SEVERE. TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE ALL POSSIBLE

    WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.

    AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

    SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE

    WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO

    500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.

    USA Severe Weather Discussion

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    SEL4

    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 254

    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

    1255 AM CDT WED APR 26 2006

    THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

    SOUTHEAST TEXAS

    COASTAL WATERS

    EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1255 AM UNTIL 700 AM CDT.

    HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60

    MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

    THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65

    STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTH

    NORTHWEST OF HUNTSVILLE TEXAS TO 70 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF

    ANGLETON TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE

    ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

    REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

    FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

    AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

    THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

    AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

    DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 253...

    DISCUSSION...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST AND SPREAD

    EWD ACROSS SE TX THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TO THE NW OF A

    SURFACE COLD FRONT. MUCAPE OF 2000-2500 J/KG /BASED NEAR 850 MB/

    AND RELATIVELY STRAIGHT HODOGRAPHS ABOVE THE FRONTAL SURFACE WILL

    SUPPORT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AND ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL.

    AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

    TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50

    KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

    MOTION VECTOR 29025.

×
×
  • Create New...