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Anvil Crawler

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Posts posted by Anvil Crawler

  1. I was just reviewing the maps for Monday-Tuesday of next week. Looks like western South Dakota might be the place to be for good storm chasing. Sometimes when you get the unstable weather and the lows as far north as southern Canada, the cold fronts are only active to about the SD-NE border and a strong cap holds back activity in Nebraska at least until well after sunset in some cases.

    Southwest SD is pretty wide open "badlands" country with great scenery in general, F3 tornado activity and large hail being quite common in the southern half of the state. There is a zone in western SD related to the Missouri escarpment where storm development often accelerates in mid-afternoon.

    I'll post some thoughts on severe weather locations as the tour gets under way. It seems that the active zone is shifting north next week but chances are it will return to the Kansas-Oklahoma area later in the week.

    Thanks Roger for your input.

    Todys outlook as follow's

    MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0666

    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

    0319 AM CDT WED APR 26 2006

    AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SE TX...CENTRAL/SRN LA.

    CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 253...254...

    VALID 260819Z - 260945Z

    CORRECTED FOR TYPO

    THREAT FOR ELEVATED SEVERE TSTM DEVELOPMENT PERSISTS BEHIND SFC COLD

    FRONT ACROSS MOST OF SE TX...IN AREA OF FAVORABLE BUOYANCY AND SHEAR

    ALOFT THAT IS ROOTED ATOP FRONTAL SFC. TSTMS N HOU HAVE PRODUCED

    HAIL UP TO 2 INCHES DIAMETER WITHIN PAST 1-2 HOURS. MORE LARGE HAIL

    IS EXPECTED FROM MOST VIGOROUS TSTMS IN LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION

    COVERING MUCH OF TX/LA S OF A LINE FROM 60 WNW HOU...LFK...POE.

    ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE FARTHER W AND SW ACROSS WW...ALSO

    N OF SFC COLD FRONT. MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE STEEP MIDLEVEL

    LAPSE RATES PERSIST ACROSS THIS AREA...WITH BROAD PLUME OF MOIST

    ASCENT ATOP STABLE FRONTAL LAYER. ELEVATED MUCAPES 1500-2500 J/KG

    ARE COMMON IN AREAS NOT STABILIZED BY RECENT CONVECTION. DEEP-LAYER

    SHEAR THROUGH BUOYANT LAYER STRENGTHENS WITH SWWD EXTENT ALONG

    MID/UPPER TX COASTAL PLAIN...RANGING FROM APPROXIMATELY 35 KT AROUND

    HOU TO OVER 60 KT NEAR VCT. THIS INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR ANY NEW

    DEVELOPMENT OVER TX COASTAL PLAIN TO ROTATE AND PRODUCE

    LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL.

    PORTIONS SWRN/S-CENTRAL LA NOW UNDER WW 253 EWD ACROSS PORTIONS

    S-CENTRAL/SERN LA WILL BE MONITORED FOR ADDITIONAL WW. BESIDES MCS

    SPREADING ACROSS SRN PORTION WW 253...ISOLATED SUPERCELL HAS

    DEVELOPED AND INTENSIFIED QUICKLY OVER TERREBONNE COUNTY ALONG

    BOUNDARY BETWEEN OUTFLOW-OVERTURNED AIR INLAND...AND MARINE AIR MASS

    ADVECTING INLAND FROM GULF. LOW LEVEL SHEAR ENHANCEMENTS ASSOCIATED

    WITH MARINE BOUNDARY WITHIN ABOUT 50 NM OF COAST SUPPORT SUPERCELL

    POTENTIAL DESPITE MRGL MIDLEVEL WINDS. LOW 70S F SFC DEW POINTS

    ALONG/S OF THAT BOUNDARY CONTRIBUTE TO SFC-BASED BUOYANCY WITH

    MLCAPES 2000-3000 J/KG.

  2. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 248

    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

    135 AM CDT TUE APR 25 2006

    THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

    SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

    NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS

    EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING FROM 135 AM UNTIL 700 AM CDT.

    HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60

    MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

    THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75

    STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH

    NORTHEAST OF MCALESTER OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF SHERMAN

    TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED

    WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

    REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

    FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

    AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

    THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

    AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

    DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES

    TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 247. WATCH NUMBER 247 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT

    AFTER 135 AM CDT.

    DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS SHOULD PERSIST OVER SE

    OK AND MOVE SEWD THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE

    POSSIBLE TO THE W ALONG THE SURFACE COLD FRONT IN SRN OK...AND

    STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY FORM SWD INTO N/NE TX. A FEED OF MODERATE

    INSTABILITY FROM THE S WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND

    DAMAGING WINDS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

    AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

    TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50

    KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

    MOTION VECTOR 29020.

  3. Wolves we get there Sunday Afternoon looks like the next Severe Weather may have passed by then ;);)

    Paul S

    Paul There is still some hope,Could be when we land mind :lol: O k the risk is low but you never know ;)

    THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF

    NORTH TEXAS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...EXPANDING TO INCLUDE ALL OF NORTH

    TEXAS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS LOW

    AT THIS TIME.

  4. With time ticking away before we go i thought it might be good for possible area's that we could be targeting and at the moment there is a risk for severe storms on 28-29th across the southern high plains into central texas. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/ all we want know is to see some action when we get there.

    DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

    0406 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006

    VALID 271200Z - 021200Z

    ...DISCUSSION...

    LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO AGREE WITH NEXT PACIFIC

    SYSTEM TO EVOLVE INTO A LARGE CLOSED MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW AS IT DIGS

    SEWD TOWARD THE LOWER CO VALLEY/NRN BAJA DAYS 3-4 /WED-THU/.

    ALTHOUGH MODELS DISAGREE BEYOND DAY 4 WITH THE EWD MOVEMENT OF THIS

    CLOSED LOW...EACH MODEL INDICATED STRENGTHENING SWLY MID-LEVEL WINDS

    ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS INTO CENTRAL TX DAYS 5-6 /FRI-SAT/. THIS

    PATTERN PROMOTES MOISTURE RETURN INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS ALONG LEE

    TROUGH...WITH ATTENDANT SEVERE POTENTIAL GIVEN INCREASING DEEP LAYER

    SHEAR PER EXPECTED STRENGTH OF MID-LEVEL FLOW REGIME.

    ..PETERS.. 04/24/2006

  5. I knew i would find it.

    Canon EOS 350D Digital Camera

    Sony DV Camera

    Inverter plus 4 way extension lead.

    Delorme Earthmate GPS Unit plus SA 2004.

    WX Landthreat Satellite Radar system plus Holus GPS Unit.

    Lightning Detector.

    Kestral 4000 Hand-Held Weather Station.

    Speed Radar Detection Unit.

    2 Sony Vaio Laptops.

    2 x GPRS enabled mobile phones.

    Image Card reader.

    NWS Radios.

    2 way GPRS radio units.

    1x Nikon D70 + 70 -300mm lense

    1x Nikon D70S + 18-30mm lense

    Polarising filters

    ND Filters

    3x1GB sandisc memory

    3x Batteries

    1xshutter release cable

    1xTripod

    1xSony HC40SE Digi camcorder

    2xBatteries

    10xMini DV tapes

    1XLaptop Accer3003WLMI

    1xPower inverter

    2x4 way plugs

    1x3G/GPRS data card

    1xmobile phone with connection cable

    Also chargers and cables

    Canon EOS 350D Slr Camera

    Panasonic DV Camcorder

    10 x DV Tapes

    2MB Compact Flash MEMORY Card

    Canon RS60E3 Remote Release and Tripod for those luuurvly Lightning Shots

    Brand New Laptop JUST!!! For Storm Chasing

    18-50 & 55-200MM Lenses and Polarising Lens

    Drivers Licence / Golf and Softballs (For Comparing) Frisbee & Playing Cards which wont be used as we WONT Have down days.

    That is what 3 of us have although list was done a while ago so more may need to be added as that is just 3 out of 4 of us.

  6. Cant wait. Do the lads have all the gear like dopler radar. Are they geared up like the way them chaps on national geographic are. Have they LIFE INSURANCE :( :lol: seriously :( :lol:

    I think we should be geared up enough once out there and im sure you guy's on Net weather will help us out and with me being a member of TORRO and UKWW,I am sure we will have all the info we need.

  7. Hi all thanks for the messages and yes as Paul states 13 days to go or should i say 12 for me as i am travelling to london on the 29th to stop over at Pauls.As Paul has said it is my first time going on a chase to the U.S and we have bought what we need and did a check list over the phone as we have kept in contact over the past few weeks with regards of things we need.I suppose some of you would like to know why would i want to go,Well i joined UKWW in july 2004 just after the Daventry tornado just up the road from where i work and what an experiance that was as i was at work at the time and could see this heavy cloud approaching and looking extremely dangerous.I asked my boss if i could have half a day for it and that went down well,Anyway in the end he did and at the time i had to phone for a lift, As i waited outside work i was treated to a fantastic light show as there was CC and CG every few seconds,and one bolt came down in the carpark next to our building at work by then it was hammering down with rain and i got soaked in a matter of seconds it was awesome but missed out on the Nado.I finally got home and i was gutted as the storm had passed and i was left to see uplifted drains and rain gushing out of drains as they could not handle the rain rate.As i joined UKWW i got to learn about things i never knew and also became a member of TORRO.Seeing footage of tornadoes in action was Awsome as well as seeing some of the cloud structures which got me into buying Mike hollingshead dvd's and had to watch Darktimes last night and have to say that is awesome.The Structures are unbeliveable and to see Mike core punch is crazy.I would recommend anybody to get any of his DVD's and to have a look here http://www.extremeinstability.com/photographypage.htm.I would also recommend Tim vasquez books.

    I have wanted to go on a chase for some time now and not had the chance untill recently when i was looking for something on Skew T and came across Net Weather and must thank Paul for the invite and help.Looking forward to meeting the chase team.,What i am hoping to see is some lovely supercells, awesome cloud structures, fantastic lightning display and of course a nado, But that is an added bonus as i am yet to see one but shall not be dissapointed if i dont as mother nature has so much to offer.Thunderstorms have been my passion from when i was around 13. before then i used to be scared of them when i was younger due to a scary flight through a storm in france and hiting turbulance and a dodgy landing with a severe headache as well.I have grown to love thunderstorms and my adrenalin just gets on a high the closer the strike the louder the bang and i just say BRING IT ON.Maybe i am mad and i just keep getting told it but hey you only have one life and make the most of it,As long as you remember to stay safe becareful and use common sence then why not enjoy something that is free.Remember Mother nature is free and to be enjoyed and respected.I also remember one time when i was around 13 when me and my sister was chanting we want thunder through my bedfroom window and guess what yes a blinding flash shot infront of our eye's with a loud crack of thunder.

    Cheers

    Ozzie.

  8. Does anybody know of a good 'beginners' gardening book?

    We have a blank canvas of about 5m x 10m (already grassed), and havent got a clue where to start or what to do. We have ideas, but not sure if they are the best ones for our garden.

    MrsL is good on plants, and what to use, but its the design layout etc that we are not sure on.

    So any recommendations would be appreciated :blush:

    Not sure if this is any help Chris http://books.google.com/books?q=garden+des...=print&ct=title or try this http://www.gardencomposer.com/

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