Supercell Hunters

Saturday 15th November 2008 Weak storms On previous day forecasts went for ‘wet’ thunderstorms across north eastern New South Wales. However they turned out weak thunderstorms after 4:30pm. They produced moderate to heavy rainfalls across the populated areas of Northern Rivers such as Lismore, Casino and Ballina. I have been watching these groups of thunderstorms for several hours during the afternoon. It was exciting earlier because of intensity was strong enough to be severe. However they died out before reaching us due to lower instability and windshear. Have recorded 12mm of rain at North Lismore at the time of series of thundery/showery periods after they hit us overnight. Sunday 16th November 2008 Heavy rainstorms The set up of thunderstorms are similar to previous day but it has deeper instability and convective level. After an early heat and humidity as conditions maxed out 31/23! Then the southerly change hit us and lowered the temperature. Low level junk cloud developed after Tabulam multicells. This became very annoying due to less photogenetic! After 2pm, series of thunderstorms has died before reaching us and missed out the same area yesterday. Main thunderstorm went through Kyogle and Bonalbo areas. South east Queensland reported the best severe storms of the day due to position of southerly change. Finally, we had series of thundery rain, some sorts of torrential bursts and some lightning displayed fainted behind low level junk. Recorded a nice 20mm of rainfalls and shortly next day have series of light to heavy showery periods tending to rain areas. It was great start of the season. It was the best time for rain locally and that made the land so much green as you colour with textas! Enjoy!

Getting far more interesting now! Two main cells about to collide and moving towards here at North Lismore! STW is out now and it missing Casino and Lismore on list!

Woot and wow its 29.6/23.1 feels like 34.6! Sounding going nuts!!! http://soundings.bsch.au.com/skew-t.html?s...3&mixop=usr Better storms today, certainly one or few supercells or real intense severe storms.

Geeze more storms tomorrow? Currently it felt like going to pour in next minute lol! Nice super updrafts and anvils in westsouthwest views.

http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDN65043.gif?foo...he=200811151433 Black core appearing both on Grafton and Newcastle radars. The sky now is like a shock absorber!

Thanks Mac! Stormcast updated. Instability has deepen since this morning update. Li's skyrocketing. Its currently 27.5/20 72%.

Storms forecasted today. Good soundings. Li down to -6 and CAPE 2000. I can do lightning shot by my 15sec shutter! Lets hope!

Looks like storms everyday from Thursday!!! Another outbreak? Thursday Windshear improving alot better on Friday with more norther'y to northeaster'ly directions and turning more easter'ly direction on Saturday. Instability is a little crooked on Friday but improving on the weekend. Good heating on surfaces especially from Thursday. I would expecting to see lightning bolts. So i can use the shutter and take them!

Had 35mm out of storms yesterday. Nice heavy rain so far and currently over 2,400mm for year which is about 700mm over average aswell.

Nice thunderstorm we just had. Lovely 8mm out of this one. Massive line of storms on radar, current exiting towards the sea. Plenty more to come. Hopefully to get some lightning shots today! But the real issue is i have Physics exam tomorrow morning. Not sure if we going to see high 20's temperatures? Because its very cloudy like yesterday.

Warming up again and storms from this weekend onwards!

Hello all My thunderstorm pics will be up around tomorrow or Saturday depends what i'm doing. The weather is starting to be real summery from Saturday onwards with max between 28-35 and min 15-22 with some thundery action from Monday onwards.

Today was one of my best storms i ever experienced. I have seen two rotating supercells that came past including a large RFB cloud and great souther'ly change roll cloud. Today started out very warm and humid with strong northeaster'ly seabreezes. The conditions maxed out 27.5/18.3 75%. This is certainly great for deep instability. First went to the river watched the storms goes by after 5pm with my fellow mate Dylan. We had great time experiencing rotating clouds and nice mammatus structure. However we watched the first storm comes by across the river with nasty looking rotating RFB. Has scored some nice lightning bolts! The souther'ly change has came with this first supercell. Certainly reported hail and damaging winds at Wardell and Woodburn areas. We missed the first part by about 500metres of the core however at the time we got caught in souther'ly change. It was an hour earlier than expected. So eventually we had another look at the radar and looked in western skies, another STORM! Then we head back to river again and watched the storm growing and became more intense. And we looked up in sky, SO LOW CLOSE MAMMATUS! I never seen that so close ever in my life at all. It was the best. However it died out as the convergence develops, it started rain and we rushed back home. Only we had about 65km/hr souther'ly winds is max gust with total rainfall of 5.8mm. Thats pretty much for our area today. Lismore and Byron Bay scored the best of the day with hail, damaging wind gusts and a bit flash flooding.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING for LARGE HAILSTONES, FLASH FLOODING and DAMAGING WIND For people in the NORTHERN RIVERS, NORTHERN TABLELANDS and parts of the MID NORTH COAST Forecast Districts. Issued at 3:20 pm Tuesday, 21 October 2008. Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce giant hailstones, (hail upto the size of Golf Balls), very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Lismore, Grafton, Coffs Harbour, Armidale, Tenterfield, , Guyra, Casino, Kyogle, Yamba, Maclean, Woolgoolga, Sawtell and Dorrigo. Golf Ball sized hail was reported from Woolgoolga just after 3pm, and large hail from near Crescent Head just after 2pm. Cells firing up locally now! Nasty pulsie updrafts with crisp on tops in west! Better starting up chasing very soon!

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING for LARGE HAILSTONES, FLASH FLOODING and DAMAGING WIND For people in parts of the MID NORTH COAST and NORTHERN TABLELANDS Forecast Districts. Issued at 1:24 pm Tuesday, 21 October 2008. Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce large hailstones, very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Coffs Harbour, Kempsey, Armidale, Woolgoolga, Sawtell and Dorrigo.

In Summary Lifted Index: -10.3 CAPE: 3100 SWEAT Index: 350 TT: 54 (tornadic) SHEAR: E/NE 25-35knots Instability areas Mid North Coast: HIGH Northern Rivers: EXTREME Gold Coast/Darling Downs (eastern parts): VERY HIGH Brisbane/Sunshine Coast: HIGH I would say that most of action may happen south of border at start before moving into SEQld.

Now its on today! BoM's forecasts are now becoming more hopeful for today's possibly supercells. Stormcast for us today at 4pm.

Our forecasts becoming ferocious from severe storms tomorrow into east coast low wet and wild conditions! StormCast has changed a little bit!

Just got home from english paper 2 HSC and the gym workout and i got shocked at the forecasts! Tomorrow would be best setup of massive storms and some supercells would certainly fire up. Stormcast going for strong instability, deep cold temps in uppers and mid levels where no moisture (good for solid updrafts and hail) and solid windshear at 25-35knots easter'ly direction. NOTE: All models at 4pm EST tomorrow. Bring it on supercells!

I'm pretty sure Monday would be stormy for us aswell with post 30 degrees temperatures but ridiculously why the mins are so low at this time of year forecasted? Tuesday is good day for storms.

Yea saw that. Darwin had some ripper storms lately from massive hector cells! So far here is just showery, mild and humid cloudy conditions, but set to clear before the weekend into mostly sunny and hotter weather. I say xmas bettles to come. Over 18mm recorded overnight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING for FLASH FLOODING, LARGE HAILSTONES and DAMAGING WIND For people in the NORTH WEST PLAINS and parts of the NORTH WEST SLOPES, CENTRAL WEST SLOPES, CENTRAL WEST PLAINS and UPPER WESTERN Forecast Districts. Issued at 1:01 pm Tuesday, 14 October 2008. Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce very heavy rainfall, flash flooding, large hailstones and damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Gunnedah, Moree, Narrabri, Walgett, Coonabarabran and Coonamble. Lovely cells firing up almost everywhere in NE NSW district. Its warm, humid and gusty from N here atm with temperature at 26 degrees.

Scattered showers from tomorrow onwards.

This afternoon was one hell of sneakiness! Those cloud formations are like tropical rain free bases with a solid cell near miss us by a mile in its north. Today was first time of the season has dewpoints over 20 degrees! Today was hottest day i experienced this season so far. Was maxed out 32.5/20.3 73% feels like 33.5. Forecasts for mid to late this week going for moisty showery easter'ly winds. Bring that on!

Few showers/storms popping up on radar now. Looks like a stormy weekend ahead with hidden forecasts. Phew its so sticky here now with so muggy northeaster'ly winds. its 30.2/19.5 67% and feels like 32.7 atm