Crepuscular Ray
-
Posts
3,824 -
Joined
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Crepuscular Ray
-
-
joy
www.spaceweather.com
A solar flare from a new-cycle area. I much prefer sunspots to snow.
-
3 hours ago, ciel said:
The RSPB Scotland said transmissions from both tags ended on 22 July in areas managed as grouse shooting moors.
Of course it's possible that the transmitters could have failed and in addition neither bird has been recovered from said areas.
Well, they wouldn't be, would they? The transmitters will have been destroyed.
-
Near gaming estates by any chance?
-
1 hour ago, Sharpedge said:
Hi Badgers01
Nice pix of Wisley, I want to go to Kew Gardens to see the autumn colours, when do you think is the best time?
Sadly, a couple of weeks ago, I suspect. The weekend's rainfall took down a lot of leaves. See what their website says
-
3
-
-
On 18/10/2019 at 21:03, feb1991blizzard said:
Not strictly winter but would this run give the coldest March / April period on record.
WWW.METEOCIEL.FRMeteociel propose le modèle deterministe GEMI am not sure that any model is to be trusted 5-6 months out.
Most of them can't be trusted past about three days.
-
2
-
-
4 hours ago, joggs said:
Keep a eye on things in here with nowhere near as much know how with most.
Blank days is obvious but what is the solar flux and its low reading mean?.
Also can someone shed a little light on the thermo sphere?
Thanks in advance.
Basically, we are at a very low solar minimum, as indicated by all three readings.
Some here hope that this means that we will get a very snowy cold winter. It hasn't proved to be the case over the last few years.
Thermosphere - Wikipedia
EN.WIKIPEDIA.ORG Thermosphere - overview | UCAR Center for Science Education
SCIED.UCAR.EDU-
3
-
-
More than 500 people misunderstand climate change « RealClimate
WWW.REALCLIMATE.ORGA consensus is usually established when one explanation is more convincing than alternative accounts, convincing the majority. This is also true in science...
These people have little or no history of climate research and many have links to "think tanks" that are committed to denying the effects of AGW. They are going to start lobbying both the UN and the EU.
-
2
-
-
51 minutes ago, snowrye said:
Quiet in here tonight, at least the wind has died down, watching with much interest to see where lorenzo will end up
Ireland looks most likely, although I am expecting a bumpy ride on my way to western France on Thursday.
-
Lots of lightning and thunder, and heavy rain today.
Weather reports are always welcome. Stuff about the wife's cooking less so.
I am sorry that I have upset you Tom, but this is a weather forum. I have had to learn to abide by the new rules, like everyone else.
-
3
-
-
What the Met Office is calling a "band of organised showers" is now overhead. After about 40 seconds of heavy rain, we now have light drizzle.
-
2
-
-
A beautiful day out in Oxfordshire on a big red "proper" bus. The max of 26 °C was a welcome surprise for this time of year.
Sorry, Ben, but we need rain, and soon. The grass is in an even worse state than it was at this time last year.
I'm less worried about the "Benny Hill" aspects of some posts than by the fact that they are straying away from anything related to the weather and are utterly tedious.
-
4
-
-
A lovely funnel cloud, certainly. Not sure that it reached ground level, though. Nice spot.
-
Um, don't they point to true north anyway?
-
Pardon me for intruding, but there are reports of a tornado near Hale/Manchester airport. Any truth in them?
-
7 hours ago, Catacol said:
It amazes me how often a thread that focuses on less accepted areas of science/debate descends into this kind of bickering. It happened over on TWO years ago and I got sick of reading it - and we have more of the same here. Frankly those who don't want to engage in the possibility that low solar might impact should stride off to another thread, rather than try to sidetrack the debate by pushing it into other avenues of discussion, and anyone looking to post supercilious snipes or engage in oneupmanship needs to be banned.
For what it's worth - as a historian - I have always felt that history as a discipline is valid here. Accepted science has been around for thousands of years and has NEVER been a constant. In other words - every generation on the historical timeline believes it has the answers....but in reality these answers change and develop over time. We have learned much on the impact of CO2 since the 1970s and are learning more all the time. But anyone who thinks this is the end of the journey is, based upon a sample size of the entirety of human history, highly likely to be wrong. It wasn't so long ago that conventional science rejected any solar factors on global weather - and then in the internet era the language changed, including from our own MetO, and small impacts were accepted. There is no reason to believe that our understanding of the sun's impact has reached the end of the research trajectory.
So - a valid debate. Let's have the debate. Those who don't want to debate and/or don't believe in solar influence, go and moan about it on the moaning thread.
Sorry mate. It's a debate. We're all entitled to our opinions.
-
2
-
-
20 hours ago, jonboy said:
What's Piers Corbyn got to do with this unless you are of course lumping the scientists who's research I quoted into the same bracket as Piers?
You said it.
-
5 hours ago, Gael_Force said:
Did you read the link I posted a few pages back?
The weak quasi-biennial solar cycle is not obviously seen in the eruption data, nor are the two slow lunar tidal cycles of 8.85 and 18.6 years. Time series analysis of the volcanogenic acidities in a deep ice core from Greenland, covering the years 553-1972, reveals several very long periods ranging from ∼80 to ∼350 years and are similar to the very slow solar cycles previously detected in auroral and carbon 14 records.
There is a quasi-two-year solar cycle as well?
-
18 minutes ago, jonboy said:
The 7.8 earthquake in San Francisco of 1906 occurred during cycle 14 which was a low solar cycle and there are many more examples including the recent examples of Christchurch New Zealand and the swarm of over 10,000 quakes that occurred on the germany/Czech rep border in 2011 close to previously thought extinct volcanoes or you could read the following
Correlation of Solar Activity Minimums and Large Magnitude Geophysical Events: John L. Casey, Space and Science Research Center, March 2010
Ivanka Charvatova, Institut of Geophysics of AS CR, Bočni II, 141 31 Praha 4, Czech Republic: Long-term relations between the solar inertial motion (SIM) and solar, geomagnetic, volcanic activities and climate
ToshikazuEbiska, Hiroko Miyahara, Tatsuhiko Sato, Yasuhiro Ishimine: Explosive volcanic eruptions triggered by cosmic rays: Volcano as a bubble chamber- – Godwana Research, November 2010
In future before you use your usual tactic of belittling posts actually read them properly
Despite the claims of Piers Corbyn and others, no serious scientific study has found a clear correlation between solar activity and earthquake/volcanic eruption levels. No 1- or 22-year pattern is visible.
-
2
-
-
12 hours ago, DAVID SNOW said:
How will solar minimum affect weather and climate take 7?
Its an interesting question and one that cannot be destroyed by those with closed minds.
Don't let's start with the personal insults again, please.
There has been no correlation between the current solar minimum and cold winters in this part of the globe. The prolonged chills and heavy snowfalls of 6-8 years ago occurred when solar activity was relatively high compared to now.
Anyway, how do you destroy a question?
-
1
-
-
1 minute ago, LightningLover said:
How am I supposed to sleep in this...? It’s still ~21c out there!!!
A fan might help, to speed up evaporation.
Count yourself lucky; it's 25 °C in my bedroom. I am not counting on getting any sleep at all.
-
2
-
-
And Gravesend, which has habitually been one of the stations that has recorded high temperatures, has been decommissioned, so we were told a few pages back on this thread. Daft cost-cutting.
-
4
-
-
Given that Sky were predicting record temps, I'd say Gravesend 39.8 °C
-
This from a friend in Eastbourne. He said it went on for a couple of hours. Lucky thing. There was nothing here in London.
-
3
-
-
If it snows in
22 hours ago, snowray said:There were a few on there this winter saying that it never snows much in this country anyway until March/April, looks like they were right again with snow likely to fall next week and April looking a lot colder.
Which models? I'll treat you to a pint if it snows in London at any time before the end of April.
Solar and Aurora Activity Chat
in Space, Science & nature
Posted
Still no record-breaking snowfalls and minimum temperatures, though.