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Crepuscular Ray

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Posts posted by Crepuscular Ray

  1. Cheers Viking. Nice to see it at a different, more informative, angle than from the volcano webcam from Johnston Ridge.

    What happened to the massive slab that was projecting at one side of the new mound at a near vertical angle earlier in the year? I forgot to look for a few weeks and it disappeared from mention on the web.

    CR

  2. They've done the casual look on Countryfile since the summer, as if their taking their jackets off makes a forecast more relevant to 'countryfolk' (or perhaps the media types in television centre think it does). At least it's not as bad as Breakfast: did anyone else spot Matt Taylor in waders up to his chest in a pond full of floating cranberries at Kew Gardens earlier in the autumn. What a waste of licence fee ;)

  3. SpaceWeather.com are now getting rather excited about this particular region's imminent emergence over the Sun's limb. Given that the new sunspot cycle seems to be sluggish and rather reluctant to get into gear, any activity seems welcome. Although the British Isles are badly placed for seeing aurorae because the geomagnetic north pole is somewhere in Canada(and getting farther southwest each year) rather than in the same place as the geographic north pole, anything that promises really big X-class solar flares, especially if the Sun's magnetic field is oriented to the south (again see SpaceWeather.com for updates) might be promising at this time of year. But don't count on it.

  4. Congrats on your pass Viking, now you'll be able to go a Viking in safety!!!

    Wasn't the last Major eruption of Vesuvius (of the scale being mooted to occur soon'ish ) the one witnessed by Pliny the younger as his Father ?(the elder) choked to death in an attempted rescue on the beach at Herculinium? Isn't Naples built on top of the pyroclastic flow from that eruption? Doesn't look good does it?

    Plinies - think they were uncle and nephew....

  5. In my rented flat in nw London we only lost power for about 10 hours and the wall at the bottom of the garden (which took Brent Council 6 months to replace, naturally), but my parents in East Sussex were without power for about 3 days (even though they had underground power cables) and lost loads of trees, especially evergreens. What was truly depressing was when my boss had to call someone we were working with at Kew, and he just cried down the phone for about quarter of an hour because they'd lost so much.

    What I remember better, because it happened during daytime, was the late January 1990 (?) storm in the southeast. Oxford Street was an amazing sight, with hoardings and bits of shop signs sailing along about 30 feet in the air and just smacking through plate glass windows. Not a good day to go shoe-shopping!

  6. Congratulations on getting your coastguard qualifications, Viking. Well deserved.

    A friend visited Monserrat a few weeks ago as part of a conservation project - even though Souffriere Hills is not now classified as dangerous, he and his colleagues were still very impressed by the near daily 'minor' eruptions and ash-falls, which still get pretty near to the inhabitable parts of the island when the wind is in the right (or perhaps wrong) direction.

  7. Oct. 19, 2006

    Erica Hupp/Dwayne Brown

    Headquarters, Washington

    202-358-1237/1726

    Anatta

    NOAA, Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colo.

    303-497-6288

    RELEASE: 06-338

    NASA AND NOAA ANNOUNCE ANTARCTIC OZONE HOLE IS A RECORD BREAKER

    NASA and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

    scientists report this year's ozone hole in the polar region of the

    Southern Hemisphere has broken records for area and depth.

    The ozone layer acts to protect life on Earth by blocking harmful

    ultraviolet rays from the sun. The "ozone hole" is a severe depletion

    of the ozone layer high above Antarctica. It is primarily caused by

    human-produced compounds that release chlorine and bromine gases in

    the stratosphere.

    "From September 21 to 30, the average area of the ozone hole was the

    largest ever observed, at 10.6 million square miles," said Paul

    Newman, atmospheric scientist at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center,

    Greenbelt, Md. If the stratospheric weather conditions had been

    normal, the ozone hole would be expected to reach a size of about 8.9

    to 9.3 million square miles, about the surface area of North America.

    The Ozone Monitoring Instrument on NASA's Aura satellite measures the

    total amount of ozone from the ground to the upper atmosphere over

    the entire Antarctic continent. This instrument observed a low value

    of 85 Dobson Units (DU) on Oct. 8, in a region over the East

    Antarctic ice sheet. Dobson Units are a measure of ozone amounts

    above a fixed point in the atmosphere. The Ozone Monitoring

    Instrument was developed by the Netherlands' Agency for Aerospace

    Programs, Delft, The Netherlands, and the Finnish Meteorological

    Institute, Helsinki, Finland.

    Scientists from NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory in Boulder,

    Colo., use balloon-borne instruments to measure ozone directly over

    the South Pole. By Oct. 9, the total column ozone had plunged to 93

    DU from approximately 300 DU in mid-July. More importantly, nearly

    all of the ozone in the layer between eight and 13 miles above the

    Earth's surface had been destroyed. In this critical layer, the

    instrument measured a record low of only 1.2 DU., having rapidly

    plunged from an average non-hole reading of 125 DU in July and

    August.

    "These numbers mean the ozone is virtually gone in this layer of the

    atmosphere," said David Hofmann, director of the Global Monitoring

    Division at the NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory. "The depleted

    layer has an unusual vertical extent this year, so it appears that

    the 2006 ozone hole will go down as a record-setter."

    Observations by Aura's Microwave Limb Sounder show extremely high

    levels of ozone destroying chlorine chemicals in the lower

    stratosphere (approximately 12.4 miles high). These high chlorine

    values covered the entire Antarctic region in mid to late September.

    The high chlorine levels were accompanied by extremely low values of

    ozone.

    The temperature of the Antarctic stratosphere causes the severity of

    the ozone hole to vary from year to year. Colder than average

    temperatures result in larger and deeper ozone holes, while warmer

    temperatures lead to smaller ones. The NOAA National Centers for

    Environmental Prediction (NCEP) provided analyses of satellite and

    balloon stratospheric temperature observations. The temperature

    readings from NOAA satellites and balloons during late-September 2006

    showed the lower stratosphere at the rim of Antarctica was

    approximately nine degrees Fahrenheit colder than average, increasing

    the size of this year's ozone hole by 1.2 to 1.5 million square

    miles.

    The Antarctic stratosphere warms by the return of sunlight at the end

    of the polar winter and by large-scale weather systems

    (planetary-scale waves) that form in the troposphere and move upward

    into the stratosphere. During the 2006 Antarctic winter and spring,

    these planetary-scale wave systems were relatively weak, causing the

    stratosphere to be colder than average.

    As a result of the Montreal Protocol and its amendments, the

    concentrations of ozone-depleting substances in the lower atmosphere

    (troposphere) peaked around 1995 and are decreasing in both the

    troposphere and stratosphere. It is estimated these gases reached

    peak levels in the Antarctica stratosphere in 2001. However, these

    ozone-depleting substances typically have very long lifetimes in the

    atmosphere (more than 40 years).

    As a result of this slow decline, the ozone hole is estimated to

    annually very slowly decrease in area by about 0.1 to 0.2 percent for

    the next five to 10 years. This slow decrease is masked by large

    year-to-year variations caused by Antarctic stratosphere weather

    fluctuations.

    The recently completed 2006 World Meteorological Organization/United

    Nations Environment Programme Scientific Assessment of Ozone

    Depletion concluded the ozone hole recovery would be masked by annual

    variability for the near future and the ozone hole would fully

    recover in approximately 2065.

    "We now have the largest ozone hole on record," said Craig Long of

    NCEP. As the sun rises higher in the sky during October and November,

    this unusually large and persistent area may allow much more

    ultraviolet light than usual to reach Earth's surface in the southern

    latitudes.

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