Don
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Posts posted by Don
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Looks as though this July could well be more similar to July 2002 or 2004 rather that July 2005 as I originally thought. Therefore my CET punt will be around 1C too high. Still, would be nice to have an 'average' month temperature wise for a change, although I don't want to speak too soon.
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winter 95-96 was no great shakes!!! :lol:
No, it wasn't any great shakes in my area either. We barely got a decent covering of snow all Winter. Still pretty damn cold though, especially going by todays standards!
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Will July be the first month of the year to have a below average CET? Must have the best chance so far.
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Yes lets have a cool wet september for a change I can't remember the last time we have had one of these, then I would like a sunny frosty october followed by a cold november. I feel like it is the end of august at the moment and we are looking into autumn not early July..
September 2001 had a CET of 13.4C and was a fairly wet month if I remember correctly, so quite a while. However, look at the Winter that followed that
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One piece in the puzzle...correct, and a decent Piece too. I agree with IB that an Indian Summer this year is not on the cards anD indeed I think [problematically] that a wet autumn beckons...after a wet summer!!!!
BFTP
I sincerely hope that we get a cool and wet September this year, although it probably won't be any cooler than average, but that would be much better compared to what we got last year. IMO this would be another good piece of the puzzle.
To be honest, I'm quite enjoying this wetter Summer so far, it makes a change! As long as it doesn't happen every year, I am missing those long warm dry evenings I have to say.
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I think we'll get 30C sometime during the second half of July, although not much above.
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I cannot believe this thread has been started in June for crying out loud. :lol:
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I did indeed :lol:
B)
Sorry Stu!
Those figures for the rest of June look like they'll be pretty accurate.
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It's all down to personal opinion. I hate hot weather, but I don't call 25C hot, unless you are talking about night time temps.
I agree. I wouldn't call 25C hot, more in the 'very warm' category for June. That said, we have got used to higher temperatures generally over the last few years.
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I went for 15.7 right at the beginning as well- and stuck with it in the midmonth update to the forecast as well; I'm still happy with my estimate. I think 15.7 will be around the mark by 26 June; what happens in the last few days will then decide the final outcome.
I was pleased you went for 15.7C, TWS. It gave me some comfort about my estimate!
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Well, my punt of 15.7C for June doesn't look like it will be miles off this time after two very poor attempts at April and May!
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My update should be available on the 21st as usual, however i am pleased to say, that September is looking absolutely dire according to my predictions with a CET of no more than 0.5C above average.
I so hope you're right about September!
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From the chart for that day, u can see that there was a lot of low pressure about which meant low heights and showery weather over the British Isles, unfortunately, Bostcastle was cought out.
I was in Cornwall when Boscastle flooded about 20 miles down the coast near Newquay. Amazingly the weather there was fine. Infact I was on the beach at the time! That said it was a pretty rainy two weeks in Cornwall we just happened to miss that Particular storm.
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The Met Office Winter 2007/08 NAO forecast should be due out sometime in the next few weeks shouldn't it?
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Yes, i expect August to be the coolest and wettest month relative to average.
The month when I'm away in Cornwall for two weeks would have to be wouldn't it! Much like last year infact.
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The trouble with these promising signs is that we always see them every year and when it comes to the crunch Winter tends to end up being a damp squib. Always interesting to see though. Things will be far clearer come the end of September.
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I think a CET between 15 & 16C is quite a safe bet at the moment, pretty similar to Junes of recent years.
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Although I've never been, I've always liked the sound of Canada's climate i.e hot in Summer, cold and snowy in Winter.
Have always wanted and will visit one day, hopefully sooner rather than later.
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Well, who would have thought that Heathrow would record its 2nd coldest May day on record in 2007? After so many records falling during the last year for warmth, amazing indeed! Just a pity it wasn't the coldest day on record really. Perhaps we'll get some record cold days later in the year like in December!
A chilly night tonight certainly but with widespread 16's tomorrow and even a 19 or 20 (using latest GFS) with nighttime temps of between 6 and 10 I would expect the CET to start climbing again for the last two days.I should the think the May CET will end up at 12. Colder than expected but still above average.
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Certainly very close to the Spring record and the 4th season in a row to be exceptionally above average! How long will it continue?
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For all those punting, I would wait a few days yet. There is considerable model uncertainty in the Euros as well as the GFS for the months end....all of which could have consequences for the first-half of June imo.
Too late!
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im going for a searingly hot June to make up for the rank May ,and pray to the lord it comes true
just to send the coldies packing ,im going for
a CET of 18.5 and yes remember i got the April one right........................................
many nights above 70f and a max of 36 degrees on the 26th
I hope it's not that warm, although it wouldn't suprise me that much I have to say!
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I'm going for a June CET of 15.7C.
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Do we know when this forecast is due out?
The Met Office Winter NAO forecast is normally out around mid June I think.
:lol: 
Met Office winter NAO forecast...
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Ah, those were the days! Not that we got much in the way of snow in down in Surrey, but a nice cold traditional Christmas period nevertheless.
:lol: