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    Atlantic hurricane season/invest thread

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by cookie

    91L

     

    Special Tropical Outlook 

     

    PECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    430 PM EDT MON JUN 30 2014

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Special outlook issued to update discussion of the area of low
    pressure east of Florida.

    Updated: An Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft is
    investigating the area of low pressure centered about 110 miles east
    of Melbourne, Florida. While the low is well defined, the
    associated thunderstorm activity is just below the organizational
    threshold required to initiate tropical cyclone advisories.
    Environmental conditions continue to be favorable for development,
    and only a slight increase in the organization and persistence of
    the thunderstorm activity would result in the formation of a
    tropical depression.

    Data from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that peak sustained
    winds with the low are about 30-35 mph. The low is moving
    southwestward at around 5 mph, but is expected to turn westward
    tonight and northward by Wednesday when it will be near the east
    coast of Florida. If this system becomes a tropical cyclone, a
    tropical storm watch could be required for portions of the central
    or northern Atlantic coast of Florida. A turn toward the northeast
    near the southeastern U.S. coast is expected by Thursday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Franklin

    Posted Image

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