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Everything posted by NorthYorksWeather
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This is getting silly now. Met Office often are quite conservative with their minimum temperatures from experience and they are going for 2 nights at -12c in Dalwhinnie. Wife thinks I’m an absolute nutter for bringing a weather station, we’ve been together 15 years so I’m surprised she didn’t expect it already.
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Good afternoon, I’m getting rather excited about my annual week trip to Dalwhinnie on Sunday. Looks like I couldn’t have timed it better, there is a possibility that the temperature may not rise above freezing for my entire 6 days there. Snow wise Dalwhinnie is quite sheltered from northerlies compared to the likes of Aviemore so will require some larger showers or bands to get a good amount here. Met Office has us right on the southern edge of the yellow warning for snow on Sunday and Monday. The one thing I don’t have to worry about is elevation as the house is a whopping 370 metres above sea level. Here’s hoping to a proper cold and snowy week and look forward to contributing to the group.
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You’ll be coming up to meet us at Lion Inn on North York Moors again if that comes off Kasim. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Quite a shift north for cold air on EC this morning for day 6/7 when comparing with yesterdays 0z EC run. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
0z GEFS Short Ensembles for North Yorkshire show good agreement for the plunge arriving late on Sunday and mean staying below -5 throughout. Once again the operational is at the top end of the pack so potential for some further cold upgrades across the GFS today. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
0z GEFS 168 mean Slightly better than the 18z when comparing heights into Greenland from the Atlantic. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Snow/wintry mix moving down western areas with a renewed push of cold air following from the North of Im reading that correctly. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ideal scenario would be that shortwave over Iceland move south eastwards giving some snow in places followed by a renewed northerly blast. 168 will be interesting anyway. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GEM looking more like GFS with that low just off the coast off Norway pushing everything a bit further west. It is however a slight improvement compared to the 0z when comparing the same timeframe at 120hrs -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
UKMO 850s for day 6 (next Monday) -12 into Scotland and -10 down to parts of the South Coast for a time. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
UKMO 168hrs, looks similar to last nights EC, cold air already entrenched. Shortwave to our NW looks like it should move SE and open the floodgates to further cold air. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GEM is a tad slower bringing the cold air southwards at 168hrs but the main course is not far away to our north. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthYorksWeather replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion