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xerxes

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Everything posted by xerxes

  1. awoken by thunder at 0400. Very heavy rain followed for appx 45 minutes. I expect that caused a lot of local flooding. Still some rain here but currently no thunder. Impressive radar returns
  2. Agree with that. The frontal boundary itself will likely provide an element of forcing. It will again be close to a nowcast event, as in often the way with potential thundery activity Not sure about the "precipitation" in NW France. Could well be anaprop. However some good storms brewing in NE Spain now. They'll be too far east for us I guess but it highlights the instability on the eastern side of the front http://www.sat24.nl/sp
  3. Great videos. I work with a Polish guy and they have no fear. Its the Vodka apparantly
  4. I was quite pleased to reach 20c just ahead of the showers yesterdayafternoon
  5. Just posted about the very heavy squally rain in the current conditions thread. Very organised band of rain now and it lasted 30 minutes with strong gusty winds. I think there was hail but cannot confirm. (from Basingstoke)
  6. An intense line of heavy rain has developed recently across S England. Has been through Basingstoke with strong winds and a lengthy spell of rain so those further S watch out B)
  7. A couple of shots from today. Some very nice waved Altocu moved across this afternoon Later on some very nice dappled Altocu around sunset
  8. Locally, certain birds have already started visiting nest boxes(esp. Blue Tits) to check out nesting sites. Overall its been very mild so its no surprise that its happening. This only really causes early nesters problems if harsh cold arrives later on in March/April when eggs are laid and waiting to hatch
  9. Those butterflies that hibernate seem to choose odd times to re-emerge. You sometimes get random sightings of these species throughout winter. I know that Red Admirals(who it was once thought were not able to survive our winter) appear in January as I saw 3 locally this year in that month :lol:
  10. The Speckled Wood is quite a success story. One of a few butterflies that have expanded range steadily in the last 50 years. Multi brooded to so you can see them from mid spring to autumn
  11. Well I hope you get your snow. I can't help thinking that the lack of zonality could end up in payback bigtime soon and just in time for winter. That may not be all bad as parts of the N may well get transitional snow at least and with all the systems that come along it won't be boring
  12. I agree with that. We've certainly had some "interesting" synoptics and not the usual zonal ride through autumn. If we had I expect that things would have been markedly different. A sudden switch back to full on zonality may ease such speculation though
  13. My winter forecast will be out shortly. Suffice to say that I'm not exoecting great things at the start!
  14. The "safe" call now would be to say something close to average. I think the doom-mongering about this month in some quarters(not on here) has been excessive and although it won't be hot one,average will seem pretty good after the July experience
  15. Absolutely and the price of our poor synoptics was paid in Southern and Eastern Europe where it was bakingly hot at times
  16. Indeed - some stunning faxes Slightly pessimistic........or realistic?
  17. Well the GFS 0z is now rolling. God knows what rollercoaster this'll take us on
  18. Anyone having trouble with the site btw? Says its too busy
  19. Quite a major leaf fall(finally) in the last week. Many trees still holding a fair load though,especially Sycamore and Oak(which is usually late anyway). Haven't quite had the predicted gales here recently so thats not had the effect it might have. I usually find frost is a major factor in sudden leaf fall. No chance of that soon
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