PEMBS PIRATE

From what i see on the 00z fax is what i have seen for the last 3 or 4 days, the track of the low arriving over Pembrokeshire where they have shown it on the TV, some models have shown it in Cardigan bay to the North, i admit the fax shows it maybe 10 miles to my South but from 4 days out that is a good call, now how deep the pressure will go or the highest wind speeds/gusts is another matter......

and in 20mins its nearly flat calm, conifers just swaying ....but the rain is very heavy, not good for places already near flood. just heard it was 49mph gusting around 73 mph here, it did not seem like gusts at the time just full on for the best part of an hour.....be careful if your out and about.....

wow that was an interesting couple of hours, back to gusts and its raining pretty heavy now, not much rain before the line, hard gusting wind then total blast no gusts just solid full on blast for abt 3/4 to an hour, not really special for this area but intersting all the same. look out if you decide to venture out, the emergancy services flying past here does not sound good, and local radio are reporting roofs gone and roads closed because of fallen trees......

i think the squall line is just going through here now.......no break in the wind at all......very serious blast.....telegraph poles swaying a bit and the lights flickering here......the house has got a low hum to it... ....the ferries are being held outside the port, would not like to be out there now, roofs have been lost in Milford Haven and trees have blocked roads.......

very intense here now, very hard gusts and now the rain, structural damage in the local area. no measuring equipment here but these gust are getting near 70mph and not easing off to much between gusts.

The Met O have down graded the wind here a little to 70mph gusts by 6am......but.......i dont know should i be more worried about the rain it is very heavy now and only going to get a lot heavier.

http://www.eldoradocountyweather.com/forecast/europe/with-controls/europe-infrared-sat-loop.php

this shows the highs v lows battle in the coming week........a lot can change in that time...........but its a good example of the battle that goes on http://magicseaweed.com/msw-surf-charts2.php?chart=2&type=pressure

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ tonights low in action perfectly.............(thunder,lightening and hail here now)

yes the wind speed has crept up to 51mph gusts 00:00 - 03:00 from 41mph, not expecting to much here, but south Lundy (Lands End) have been issued storm 10 on the local shipping forcast.......

well if there was/is 80/90mph winds coming my way (i dont think there are the worst will be south of here) but you would be welcome to them, i dont fancy half a roof and no electricity coming up to Christmas.......be careful where these storms are concerned you may just get what you wish for ...........

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/surface_pressure.html T+0...T+12....T+24 are tonights low................T+48 is 'the' low everyone is talking about

more squalls on the way...... and this shows the low nicely.........http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

wow in the middle of another squall now............never seen the weather change this quick, goes really dark then bang instant 50mph+ wind everything goes nuts outside cars are just stopping on the main road, when it goes through, wind drops blue sky and everyone drives off again.... .............a mix of rain and hail that time

squall just went through here..................really dark the outside security lights came on..then.....all hell let loose, wind from 20mph upto 55mph in seconds,hail, and a flash of lightening, conifers here thrashing about like crazy, hail hitting the windows and doors that hard we had to nearly shout to hear each other...............now wind has dropped back and blue sky.......

this may fill the rivers a bit......http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

very heavy rain here for the last 2 hours and the wind just over 56mph in the last 10 mins

Milford Haven port control update on gales:: S. storm force 10 vearing SW and increasing violent storm 11 soon....

gusting 52kts now 60mph flood water receeding slowly as its stopped raining....

Power on and off, people trapped in cars, flats flooded, poeple rescued,now outside 5ft of water car up to windows,emergency services are flat out.........

The local firfighters already flat out flooded roads, accidents, 4ft of water in bottom of the garden, power outages, wind is now picking up, never known it like this in this property and have been here since 1990, car broke down outside water over the bonnet now and still raining....

I would not say massive downgrade but a few have now changed to 'up to' 70mph

I see xcweather and weatheronline have downgraded the winds for here and most of the Irish Sea but upgraded winds from Lands End to Langdon Bay????

Thames Dover Wight: South 7 to severe gale 9, veering southwest gale 8 to storm 10, perhaps violent storm 11 later. Moderate or rough, occasionally high later in Wight. Rain or squally showers. Moderate occasionally poor. Portland Plymouth Biscay: South veering southwest gale 8 to storm 10, perhaps violent storm 11 later. Very rough or high, occasionally very high later except in Portland. Rain or squally showers. Moderate occasionally poor. Fitzroy: Southwest severe gale 9 to violent storm 11, decreasing gale 8 later. very rough becoming high or very high. Rain or squally showers. moderate or poor. Sole Lundy Fastnet Irish Sea Shannon: South 6 to 8, becoming cyclonic gale 8 to storm 10, perhaps violent storm 11 later in Sole, becoming west 6 to gale 8 later. Rough or very rough, occasionally high in Sole and moderate in Irish Sea. Rain or squally showers. Moderate or good occasionally poor.