Timbo
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Posts posted by Timbo
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me to, i am in lowestoft
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The change of GM feed seems due to a move from GRIB 1 to GRIB 2 datasets last week. It was circulated by UKMO. However I'm awaiting further info on this issue.
if you scroll through the times on the left of the ukmo on metrociel it runs the 12z for 18/11/13 , is that not the one we are waiting for?????????????
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Yeah, don't recall any outages on previous upgrades and presumably they've been running the new version in parallel for a while anyway.
They may be already be using the new data in there current model, and that could be why there outlook is a lot different to the other models!!
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Despite what they are all saying over on the MOD thread, toys out of prams, winter is over ect..
East Anglia could see some surprise snowfall on Wednesday
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Précisions :
Ces cartes présentent les données du modèle GFS 1.0°. Les cartes sont réactualisées rapidement en temps réel à partir de 4h30, 10h30, 16h30 et 22h30. Les cartes d'échéance de 6h en 6h sont archivées depuis Février 2007.
Précaché à 11:45:09
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With the run up to last nights storm, it was an interesting week watching it develop on the models..
It is looking like another storm will hit us next Sunday 10th..
This time it could cause a nasty tidal surge down the Eastern side of the country, with potential storm forge gusts.
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looks like a nasty storm again for next Sunday, this time it looks like severe gales from the North swiping the Eastern side of our region..
do we have high tides next Sunday?
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sun and showers here. if anything the wind has dropped
We are in the eye of the storm..
give it 30 mins and things look to be very bad
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I don't think there will be any red warnings not after the system being forecast to be higher pressure, more shallow and less tight on the isobars meaning less wind.
Even Michael Fish on his latest report on the storm is saying the METO my issue red warnings for the East and SE of our region..
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Eastern parts of our region could see the highest gusts, 90+..
expect to see red warnings for this area later today..
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Trust me. This is going to be nothing like 1987, nowhere near. I can't see a 122mph gust occurring anywhere in the UK this time around!
I said it a couple of days ago and still stand by my thoughts now. The storm will be downgraded from what is forecast now. It will take a more southerly track. NAE has already hinted at this this morning (remember this is high resolution). Expect large changes in the forecast in the next 24 hours with the strongest of the winds being south of the UK. The south coast may still see gusts of 70mph plus but I can't see anything too extreme happening inland.
By all means though, don't take the warnings any less seriously, stay prepared for the worst.
I have to disagree Suffolk boy!!
as the storm exits into the North sea the bom effect will be causing violent storm force gusts on the Western flank.
This will put the Eastern part of our Region in the firing line..
If you take a line from the Wash to Ipswich any area to the East could be in for gusts up to 100 m/h..
Also this area could be prone to tornado activity..
i posted this a few days ago and looking at the projected path i still feel this will happen..
remember when the bom effect takes place in a storm it is able to tap into the jet steam and bring the wind down to very low levels..
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got that horrible feeling that this little beast on Monday will track further North.. putting most of East Anglia in the middle of the zone, and with the beast deepening as it leaves the coast the could be a real sting in its tail for the East and North of our region.. the Western flank of the storm could be worse than the Souther flank!!
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i can see this system moving further North, and in turn the N/E corner of East Anglia taking a real beating..
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has anyone got James Madens winter forecast? i saw it on here yesterday but cant find it now!!!
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when i was a kid, i can remember digging iglos in huge snow drifts ..
the blizzard started on new years eve but i cant remember the year(think it was 78/79?)
anyone have any archive charts or remember the blizzard?
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I want to see the prolonged cold of 1962/3 combined with the massive snowfalls of 1946/47.
since 2010 we have had some epic snowfalls , the last one being March 13 ..
These seem to be getting more intense, we have also come close to some severe snow (close but no cigar)
This winter may be the one when it all comes together and delivers the one to remember..
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Well we have a topic on the warmest winter on record so lets have one on the coldest..
I fell we are about to see some of the most severe and snowiest weather this country has ever experienced..
From Mid December High Pressure to the North of the Uk will dominate our weather, bringing frequent heavy falls of snow, and exceptional low temperatures..
lets see the thoughts of all the members on here..
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No.. Not joking look at the radar, its all heading our way..
Also look at the snow cover now at Ipswich..
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joking?
No.. Not joking look at the radar, its all heading our way..
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Looking at the radar , there is some heavy snow in the North sea.. play the radar loop and watch it slowly move up towards Lowestoft..
I think Lowestoft, Yarmouth and Beccles area are in for some heavy drifting snow later..
By about 12 noon we will be getting snow cover..
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We now have horizontal fine snow here in Lowestoft..
Hope it starts to settle and drift !!!!.
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Morning all.. i still have about 1" of slushy snow on the grass here at lowestoft, shame the heavy snow last night turned to sleet..
At its peak about 10pm yesterday we had a good 2-3" on all surfaces including the roads..
I think later this afternoon and evening is looking good for some convection to set up with heavy snow showers hitting East Anglia, giving a moderatate cover of snow by the morning, and with the wind increasing further expect drifting later..
Current temp 1.8 and a dew point of -2.3..
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Still snowing in lowestoft, about 1.5 inches on all surfaces including the road..
Temp 0.2 with a dew point of -1.9..
looking at the radar a few more hrs to come, then looking forward to heavy showers comming of the North sea..
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Just been informed that its snowing in Lowestoft. Can anyone confirm. It looks close on the radar.,
yes snowing very heavy in Lowestoft..settling nicely all surfaces are white..
Current tept now at 0.4 with a dew point of -1.3..
6h
South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 19/11/13
in Regional
Posted
Look at the squall line developing to the North-West of us!!!!
Some intense rainfall, hail, lightning and also a risk of isolated tornadoes..
May by it will give us some back edge snow for good measure??