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Coast

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    Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Scotland weather: Met Office warnings pass 400 mark

     

    More than 400 weather warnings have been issued for Scotland by the Met Office since a new system was brought in less than three years ago. It translates to an average of more than 12 per month since April 2011.

     
    The Met Office said it was "very happy but not complacent" that the system was providing the "best service possible". It said it recognised the risk that the public might start to ignore warnings due to their number but stressed they were only issued when necessary. The system has three levels - yellow "be aware" warnings, amber for "be prepared" and red "take action" alerts.
     
    Most of the warnings issued since 2011 have been at the lowest level, with just three at the top end of the scale. All of the red warnings came within the first year of the system's operation in August and December 2011 and January 2012. The worst month on record was December 2012 which saw 44 weather warnings issued alone. Helen Chivers, from the Met Office, said it believed people appreciated the way the system worked. "We carry out lots of surveys both with the public and the responder community to ensure that it is delivering the best service possible," she said. "All indications are that both the public and the responders find it is an effective and useful service."
     
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    However, the organisation recognised there was a risk people might start to ignore them if they were issued too often. "There is always that possibility but we believe that we only issue warnings when it is necessary," Ms Chivers said. "Also, there is a much smaller number of the most serious levels and our research shows that the public takes these very seriously and takes action upon them.
     
    "One weather event usually results in a number of updated warnings over a period of several days as we get more confident in the detail and severity, so to just look at the literal number is not the full story." She added that it was important to realise a range of factors went into deciding the level of alert issued. "The colour of the warning does not just represent the expected severity of the weather," she explained. "It represents a combination of the likelihood of it occurring and the impacts it may cause. "Obviously the more severe the weather, the more serious the impact but a yellow warning can indicate a very low likelihood of very high impacts as well as a high likelihood of some low level impacts."
     
    Ms Chivers said the Met Office was the only meteorological service currently issuing warnings based on "expected impacts". "It is also worth bearing in mind that the same weather can have very different impacts depending on where or when it occurs," she added. The Met Office carries out an ongoing programme to consult with the public and those in other services to fine tune and improve the service

     

     

     

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-south-scotland-25748797

    Tropical Storm Lingling

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    First storm in the year claims 40 in Philippines

     

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    Lingling expected to affect the southern main island of Mindanao until Wednesday

     

    Manila: The death toll from the first storm to batter the Philippines this year has climbed to 40, officials said on Sunday as authorities in Eastern and Northern Mindanao continue to make preparations for its onslaught. Due to its slow five kilometres per hour movement, tropical depression “Lingling†is expected to affect the southern main island of Mindanao until Wednesday, the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), said.
     
    Lingling, referred to in the Philippines as tropical depression “Agaton,†is bringing 55 kilometres per hour winds and storm signal No 1 continues to be observed in the provinces of Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Sur, Davao Oriental, Davao del Norte, Davao del Sur and Compostella Valley. “Orange Rainfall Alert is being observed in certain areas and estimated rainfall amount is from 5 to 15 millimetre per hour (moderate to heavy) within the 300 kilometres diameter of the Tropical Depression. It is expected to bring moderate to occasionally heavy rains and thunderstorms over Bohol, Siquijor, Northern Mindanao and the rest of Caraga Region,†PAGASA said.
     
    Lingling had evolved from a low-pressure weather system several days ago and now a tropical depression that us threatening to bring more rains and misery to the provinces of Surigao Del Sur and Compostela Valley. As a precaution, the military’s Eastern Mindanao Command on Sunday said its units have assisted local government branches in the area in the pre-emptive evacuation of residents. According to Eastern Mindanao Command spokesperson Captain Alberto Caber, soldiers are helping the Surigao Del Sur provincial government enforce pre-emptive evacuations in the coastal communities of Cantilan and Cortez towns and Tandag City. In its 4pm Sunday bulletin, the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) said the number of people killed from the effects of Lingling had reached 40 in Mindanao while the affected population had reached 590,000.
     
    Meanwhile, more than 10,000 Indonesians have fled their homes in the capital due to flooding that has left five dead, an official said on Sunday, with people using rubber dinghies and wading through waist-deep water to reach safer ground, AFP reports. Many parts of Jakarta were under murky, brown water, while on the vast archipelago’s northern Sulawesi island the death toll from flash floods and landslides rose to 19. Buildings in some parts of sprawling capital, which has a population of 10 million and is regularly afflicted by floods during the six-month rainy season, were half submerged, with roads unpassable in many areas. “So far 10,530 people in Jakarta have been displaced by floods caused by heavy rains,†disaster agency official Tri Budiarto said. Five people have so far been killed in the past week due to flooding, officials have said previously. Budiarto confirmed the toll and said those killed had either died by drowning or being electrocuted. However, the floods were yet to reach the same level as last year when the central business district was left under water.
     
    On Sulawesi, around 40,000 people were still displaced following flash floods and landslides earlier in the week, local disaster agency chief Christian Laotongan said. “The floods have subsided but houses were wrecked, and furniture and belongings were damaged, so people have not been able to return,†he added. Rescuers on Saturday recovered the body of a woman from a landslide in Tomohon city, Laotongan said, bringing the death toll in the area to 19. Indonesia is regularly affected by deadly floods and landslides during its wet season. Environmentalists blame logging and a failure to reforest denuded land for exacerbating the floods.

     

     

     

    http://gulfnews.com/news/world/other-world/first-storm-in-the-year-claims-40-in-philippines-1.1279450

    South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 16/01/14

    in Regional

    Posted

    It was actually quite nice to scrape the frozen dew off the car windscreen this morning and although my hands burned for a while, at least it's a bit more seasonal. Hovered around freezing through Sussex and a couple of patches around the back roads saw the big yellow traction control light illuminate while I gathered together a tonne and a half of sideways SAAB and pumped a few extra litres of O+ around the heart! 

     

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    South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 16/01/14

    in Regional

    Posted · Edited by Coast

    Morning Regionnaires.

     

    Please excuse me for using this mighty digital tome to layout a few simple pictures. I guess normally a handful of photos taken at the seaside wouldn't be worth showing, but I just wanted to demonstrate how wonderful yesterdays sunshine was after what seems like weeks of grey skies and rain.

     

    I wasn't alone either as every man, woman, child and dog was out taking in the sea air, the Cafe in one of these shots would normally struggle to see half a dozen people all day in mid January, there were twice that many queuing up yesterday lunchtime.

     

    Happy days.

     

    • Like 15

    Moderate Tropical Storm Deliwe

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

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    The tropical depression southwest of Madagascar on January 16 developed into a tropical cyclone early on January 17 as NASA's Aqua satellite passed overhead and captured its birth.
     
    When Aqua passed over newborn Tropical Cyclone Deliwe on January 17 at 10:55 UTC/5:55 a.m. EST the MODIS instrument or Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer took a picture of it. Deliwe was previously known as Tropical Depression 09S. In the MODIS image bands of thunderstorms stretched west into the Mozambique Channel and south into the Southern Indian Ocean.
     
    Forecasters at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center using multispectral satellite imagery indicated that Deliwe has a well-defined low-level center of circulation.
     
    On January 17 at 0900 UTC/4 a.m. EST, Deliwe had maximum sustained winds near 45 knots/51.8 mph/ 83.3 kph. It was centered near 23.8 south and 42.0 east, about 375 nautical miles/431.5 miles/694.5 km southwest of Antananarivo, Madagascar. Deliwe is moving to the south-southwest. Deliwe is moving along the western edge of a subtropical ridge of high pressure centered east of Madagascar. As a new subtropical ridge of high pressure builds in west of the tropical cyclone, it is expected to turn and steer Deliwe to the northwest.
     
    Forecasters at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center expect Deliwe to move southwest and then curve northwest. Computer models indicate that vertical wind shear is expected to increase after a day, and the tropical cyclone could dissipate in four days or before that.

     

    Tropical Cyclone June

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    Tropical Cyclone June causes winds to pick up in New Caledonian capital

     

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    The New Caledonian capital Noumea is beginning to feel the effects of Tropical Cyclone June.

     
    Weather forecasters in Fiji say Tropical Cyclone June - a relatively weak Category One system - is 325 kilometres west north-west of Noumea.
     
    June is heading south south-east at 22 kilometres per hour.
     
    Duty forecaster at the Fiji Meteorological Service in Nadi, Sanjay Prakash, says the windspeed near the centre of the cyclone is estimated to be around 75 kilometres per hour.
     
    Winds have eased in northern New Caledonia but around the capital Noumea have begun to increase.
     
    Mr Prakash says Noumea can expect gale force winds, heavy rain at times and squally thunderstorms for the next several hours.
     
    "I anticipate the winds to pick up to around 45 knots (83 km/h) close to the centre gusting to 65 knots (120km/h) by midnight," Mr Prakash said.
     
    "After that it will weaken as it goes south and probably declassified as a tropical cyclone by midday tomorrow (Sunday) or afternoon tomorrow."
     
    Ex Tropical Cyclone June, as it will then be known, is tipped to reach Norfolk Island on Monday morning

     

     

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-01-18/an-new-cal-cyclone/5206698

    South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 16/01/14

    in Regional

    Posted

    Right, that's it.

     

    I'm going to shake this Winter up and I'm going to shake it up good! I'm doing a BBQ tonight, ribs in my special sauce (already marinating), home made burgers and sausages. I'm not giving in to a totally out of kilter season and I'm going to defy it with a Summer tradition! 

     

    OK, I'm off to disconnect all the smoke alarms around the house....

     

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    • Like 8

    South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 16/01/14

    in Regional

    Posted · Edited by Coast

    Picking up on the Met O 5 day forecast, we look to have a largely dry day Saturday (well away from the very West of our region) and that continues into Sunday and Monday. Some rain overnight Saturday:

     

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    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/city-of-london-greater-london#?tab=map&map=SignificantWeather&zoom=8&lon=-0.08&lat=51.51&fcTime=1390014000

     

    GFS has light rain on Saturday morning, moving on by the afternoon:

     

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    Sunday is clear, but overcast and cloudy:

     

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    Take you pick out of that lot, I think  we may have seen the worst of it (for now) come Saturday lunchtime, but watch out mid-week as I think it might make a return, staying dry on Thursday before more rain next Friday.

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