Coast
-
Posts
31,396 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
72
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Coast
-
-
I’ve just come off the phone from one of my partner companies in Michigan USA. After exchanging the usual pleasantries, my opposite number out there started the conversation with the statement that he is "fed up with trying to shift the 3-4 ft of snow from his drive, most mornings before he gets into work". I almost put the ruddy phone down on him – you know that stuff can really get to a snow-starved Brit....
-
7
-
-
The bright reds have disappeared from radar now though - it's like the M25 is a big wall sucking life from it
And 5 mins later they're back! Stopped for a coffee at the new services at Cobham? :unsure:
Which means that winter is yet to arrive.
If we wait until December 2014, there will surely be another one along at some point
-
Anyone else having radar problems again? The 13:15-13:25 images are rather wetter than they should be!
Big blob of rain coming down the M4 at the moment almost at the M25.
Alternative sources would suggest it is getting heavier as it enters our region:
-
This is pretty much what is going to happen over the next 48 hours while this low just sits and takes a chill..
SatRep latest for comparison:
I was very satisfied with the T&L on Saturday evening.
I think mine is still to come later Grace
-
Wow that low sun is lovely, but it's so low it's blocking out vision of the monitor and everything else in the office. Might have get the shades on!
-
Now Britain faces ice, eight inches of snow... and more flooding too
BRITAIN will be gripped by the big chill this week – with up to eight inches of snow expected in some parts of the country.
Storms hit the Midlands on Saturday night and there were reports of “mini tornadoes†in Surrey and Warwickshire.
Oh Nathan, for someone who professes to be a keen follower of the weather, this latest stuff is beyond funny now.
UK weather: Chobham tornado ‘lifts cats into air’ as storms and rain sweep across country, bringing further risk of flooding
As heavy rain and strong winds continued to cause disruption across the UK and experts warning of an ongoing flood risk into next week, one eye-witness said the extreme weather had claimed some unusual victims – a group of feral cats. Residents in Chobham, Surrey, told BBC News the storm which swept across Kent, Sussex and Surrey yesterday afternoon whipped up a tornado so powerful that “shattered†buildings.
The Met Office issued an amber warning ahead of severe weather across the southwest today, and a band of heavy rain has now moved across the country to the east. UK Power Networks said yesterday’s storm left around 13,000 homes without power, and stable owner Shirley Blay described a “mini-tornado†which was lifting roofs. “My granddaughter went to make some food up for the pony and the shed she was in lifted,†she told BBC News. “She jumped out of it and it just shattered, it was thrown backwards and broke into four pieces. “We've got four feral cats in the yard and they were being lifted off the ground, they just went round like a big paper bag.†Ms Blay added that none of the people or animals involved were injured during the storm.Meanwhile, Somerset County Council has declared a “major incident†for all areas affected by flooding in the county. The Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) said Environment Secretary Owen Paterson would be visiting the Levels on Monday morning. The chief forecaster for the Met Office said: “More heavy rain will spread east across the area on Sunday. Given the current disruption on the Somerset Levels, the public should be prepared for further flooding.â€They added that rain across the UK would be accompanied by strong winds, and rainfall accumulations of 10 to 20mm were expected. The Environment Agency said that communities across southern England should prepare for possible flooding tomorrow through to Tuesday. A spokeswoman said: “With the ground already saturated, rivers and groundwater levels remain very responsive to rainfall, particularly on the Somerset Levels. “Environment Agency teams continue to operate up to 62 pumps 24 hours a day to drain an estimated 65 million cubic metres of floodwater off an area of the Levels spanning 65 square kilometres.â€There is also potential for further river flooding across the south west and southern counties. The risk of flooding from groundwater continues in parts of Wiltshire, Dorset, Hampshire, West Sussex, West Berkshire and Surrey into next week. In Somerset, boats are now the only method of transport between some villages, which residents have dubbed “islandsâ€. Tina Backwell told The Independent: “It started out as a nuisance for the adults and a bit of fun for the children, but it really has gone on far too long now. “Other towns have built new homes or got flood defences. Where has all that water ended up? Here, that’s where.†The council said it was campaigning for an “effective long-term solutionâ€. -
A walk on the mild side... winter, 12 months on: Photos show the difference after warmest December for 25 years
- The Met Office confirmed it has been one of the mildest winters for years
- Last year winter months averaged 3.3C compared to 5.1C this year
- The warm and wet weather is set to continue with more rain expected
- The Met Office has issued a yellow warning for parts of South West England on Friday
With raging storms causing widespread flooding and power cuts, this winter did not make a quiet entrance. But as far as the thermometer is concerned the season has barely arrived at all. Last month was the warmest December since 1988 and the unusual temperatures have continued into January. The conditions are in stark contrast to this time last year when much of the country was blanketed by snow.The Met Office confirmed it has been one of the mildest winters for years, with barely a frost in most areas since November. The warm and wet weather has seen daffodils and snowdrops already flowering in southern England, birds beginning to nest across the country and hedgehogs and bats waking up early from hibernation.Barring a dramatic change, spring is already on its way. Last year the three months of winter - December, January and February - averaged 3.3C (38F). With the exception of 2011/12, which averaged 4.6C (40F), every other winter since 2007/08 has been colder than the average. The winters of 2009/10 and 2010/11 were particularly chilly, with average temperatures of 1.6C (35F) and 2.4C (36F) respectively. But January temperatures this year have so far averaged 5.1C (41.2F), 1.5C higher than expected. December was even further from the norm at 5.7C (42.3F), 1.8C above average.If there is no cold snap before the end of the month, January is on track to be the mildest since 2007, placing it in the top ten warmest since records began in 1910. Met Office spokesman Laura Young said: ‘It has been mild because most of our weather this winter has come from the West. 'The air comes across from the Atlantic and it warms up as it blows across. It is the same westerly wind that makes it stormy and wet.’She added that an area of high-pressure cold weather which has been sitting above Scandinavia for the past three weeks could later bring a cold spell to the UK – but so far it has shown no sign of moving. 'It has been very mild,’ said Laura. ‘But we are so far only half way through winter and that could all change. ‘Just a few weeks of cold weather will really bring the averages down.‘Over the last few weeks we have returned to a pattern of colder nights and warmer days, whereas in December there was little change overnight.’Matthew Oates, wildlife specialist at the National Trust, said the mild weather is playing havoc with wildlife.Animals that should be hibernating are being woken by the warm temperatures, using up their energy supplies, birds are nesting and preparing to breed, and plants and trees are flowering early. ‘Where is Winter?’ Mr Oates said. ‘We need some cold weather to slow everything down. ‘The problem is that everything is getting going already, but if there is a cold snap later it will not be prepared for it.’ -
so far. But there are 5 weeks left. That's quite a long time
and even then nature doesn't always work to our calendar/definitions eh?
-
Sunshine and showers today - kind of the theme for this winter (more showers than sunshine though).
As Winter proper is looking increasingly unlikely in the shorter term, my attention will go to convective possibilities for a couple of days and maybe even as soon as tonight again:
Lapse rates wiggling up all over:
A bit of CAPE coming up through The Channel too:
An outside chance, but a bit more so than snow at the moment I guess.
-
2
-
-
Don't go in the MOD thread this morning. I'm renaming it the Model Output Depression thread.....
-
7
-
-
A spokeswoman for UK Power Networks said by Sunday evening only "one or two single premises" were still waiting to be reconnected. In Surrey - one of the counties hit by power cuts - eyewitnesses in Chobham reported a "mini-tornado" so strong it lifted feral cats into the air like "paper bags". There were reports of a second tornado further north in Warwickshire where some families had to seek overnight shelter at a community hall. The weather caused some travel disruption in parts of the UK over the weekend.The heaviest rainfall was in Wales, where about 22mm (0.9in) came down in 12 hours. Arriva Trains Wales say the line between Machynlleth and Pwllhelli, remains closed until 10 February following recent flooding. And Southern says a recent major landslip means a very limited service is running between Horsham and Dorking - and is unlikely to open until early February.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-25908098
-
1
-
-
UK weather: Ice and more floods expected
Temperatures are expected to plummet later with the Met Office warning the UK to prepare for icy, frozen surfaces. Parts of the country are also braced for snow.
Meanwhile, some communities in England and Scotland are being warned to expect more flooding after rain swept across much of Britain on Sunday. The Environment Agency still has 14 flood warnings in place, meaning immediate action is required, with the majority in south-west England. A severe weather warning issued by the Met Office covers much of the country and is due to last until 10:00 GMT on Monday morning. Forecasters said people should be aware of the potential for travel disruption as untreated surfaces freeze. Only some western and southern coastal areas are excluded from the warning.BBC weather forecaster Nina Ridge said: "Our main concern as temperatures dip down fairly close to freezing will be the risk of ice. "As the morning goes on there will mainly be sleet across any higher ground, rain at lower levels." She said the heaviest rain on Monday would be in the northern half of the UK. But flood warnings were in place for the Midlands, North East, South East and South West. There were also 149 flood alerts - indicating flooding is possible - across every region of England.In Scotland, river levels on the Nith in Dumfries continued to rise. The Scottish Environment Protection Agency warned Whitesands residents to remain vigilant. Motorists on the higher routes across parts of central Scotland were warned to prepare for snow and gale-force winds. "The public should be aware of the potential for disruption to travel as well as difficult driving conditions with a risk of blizzards at times," Traffic Scotland said.he weekend weather caused power outages in south-east England where more than 1,000 homes were left without electricity.A spokeswoman for UK Power Networks said by Sunday evening only "one or two single premises" were still waiting to be reconnected. In Surrey - one of the counties hit by power cuts - eyewitnesses in Chobham reported a "mini-tornado" so strong it lifted feral cats into the air like "paper bags". There were reports of a second tornado further north in Warwickshire where some families had to seek overnight shelter at a community hall. The weather caused some travel disruption in parts of the UK over the weekend.The heaviest rainfall was in Wales, where about 22mm (0.9in) came down in 12 hours. Arriva Trains Wales say the line between Machynlleth and Pwllhelli, remains closed until 10 February following recent flooding. And Southern says a recent major landslip means a very limited service is running between Horsham and Dorking - and is unlikely to open until early February. -
Yes, I think a few of us (or possibly more than a few) will hear thunder in the next couple of days. Tomorrow more likely?
I have no real excitement for any wintry precipitation here this week. I just can't see it being a big deal. Still if some of us see some flakes (Thursday?) then it'll be more than anything so far this winter.
Got to try and pull some exciting weather out of the bag Steve. I'm desperate for some real snow like a few here, but what seems to be forecast generally for our region this week is a slight hindrance at best, not the stuff legends (or snowmen) are made of!
Not long now until we see some real snow though - on our flat screen TV's!!!
-
2
-
-
I've just run Met O 5 day and Netweather NMM out to Friday and I'm afraid they back GFS with fleeting moments of wet slush and then nothing in our region. For us snow lovers I think we need to start getting the first ingredient ready in this 'bake off' and that's the colder air later in the week. Perhaps then we can start to mix in the other items and see what comes out of the bowl.
-
Nothing from ESTOFEX this morning, but some thundry activity forecast on GFS for the South:
Into tomorrow too:
-
5.1°C
992.2 hPa falling 0.1 hPa/hr
Wind 7.8 mph gusting 25.0 mph max W/SW
DP 3.3°C
Humidity 88%
10.0mm rain last 24 hours
Cloud base 825 ft
Cooler and cloudy
-
Morning everyone, hope you are all well and not to tired from watching the lamposts last night
Morning CK, morning all.
A twitch-free night of rest for me as I wasn't expecting anything and a quick look at some models for the week also hints at a lack of wintry precip down here. There might be some spells of sleet and wet snow to the North of our region at times later in the week, but it's hardly inspiring and nothing you can build a snowman with eh?
Eyes down for a bit of convection in The Channel for a few days, tomorrow looking increasingly more thundery:
The search for a real Winter continues.....
-
2
-
-
8.7°C
1006.4 hPa falling 0.3 hPa/hr
Wind 11.0 mph gusting 27.0 mph max W/SW
DP 6.8°C
Humidity 88%
0.2mm rain last 24 hours
Cloud base 854ft
Cloudy but dry
-
Just running the Met O 5 day out to Friday and NW NMM to the same range and all they show in our region is some very light dusting in the NE of East Anglia tomorrow morning and sleet in Essex on Friday early hours. I'm still of the mind that most of us here aren't going to see sufficient lying snow to break out the big smiley smiley's!
-
3
-
-
ESTOFEX for today:
Storm ForecastValid: Sun 26 Jan 2014 06:00 to Mon 27 Jan 2014 06:00 UTCIssued: Sun 26 Jan 2014 05:45Forecaster: VAN DER VELDEA level 1 was issued for Ireland mainly for severe convective wind gusts.SYNOPSISA deep low lies off the west coast of Scotland. Cool slightly unstable airmass will contain thundery showers around the British Isles while the tight pressure gradients cause 10-11 Bft storm conditions before the northwest coast of Ireland, mainly toward early Monday. At the east side of the map we find a large cold high over Russia and an eastern Mediterranean or Aegean low. Additionally an upper shortwave trough slides over the Alps to Sicily and the southern Mediterranean.DISCUSSION...Ireland...The level 1 reflects the contribution of deep convection to the wind gust threat, which is minor. The overall threat imposed by the background gale conditions is much higher. -
Morning all.
The BBC forecast just said a few of us are likely to wake up to a dusting of snow tomorrow morning.
Or even hear some thunderstorms out to sea?
-
keep your eye on tomorrows storm
keep safe all
Morning John, morning all.
It's on it's way:
Time to zip up those wet suits.
-
1
-
-
Sorry, just seen this and it stacks up concerns in our region:
Yellow warning of RainIssued at:1154 on Fri 24 Jan 2014Valid from:0400 on Sun 26 Jan 2014Valid to:0900 on Mon 27 Jan 2014Another spell of wet and very windy weather will cross the UK from the west during Sunday. The heaviest rain is likely to clear for a time later on Sunday but will probably return to affect some areas overnight and into the first part of Monday. Heavy snow will fall on higher ground, primarily above 300 metres.The public should be aware of the potential for disruption due to localised flooding. This updates the warning originally issued on Wednesday, splitting off a northern section and extending it into parts of Scotland. Another active Atlantic frontal system is forecast to cross the UK during Sunday, linked to a very deep depression near northwest Britain. Segments of the frontal system look like revolving around the depression to affect parts of the north again early on Monday. Rainfall accumulations of 25 to 40 mm are expected quite widely, possibly greater than 50 mm over the higher ground of Scotland. Gales or severe gales will be an additional hazard: please see separate warning.Hampshire, Isle of Wight, Portsmouth, Southampton, Surrey, West Sussex, Brighton and Hove, East Sussex, Kent
Mine is cuter
-
It's still looking bad tomorrow for areas already under water or approaching it:
With our regional neighbours in Somerset, it must be a big concern:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-somerset-25876309
As for the hunt for snow, I'm going to say anything that does fall in our region will be over in a very short time and leave virtually nothing behind. Flurries at lunchtime Wednesday maybe:
Possibly the same Thursday morning further North:
and a bit more next Friday.
I have to say currently for me, this is not stacking up to be something to get excited about and cold, wet, transient snow is no use at all in my books. The real thick, drier, laying stuff is still not on the cards yet.
My resident Robin is back
Thanks, just been busy!! :lol:
-
3
-
And 5 mins later they're back! 
South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 26/01/14 12z --------->
in Regional
Posted
They just do it to tease us! :lol: