ANYWEATHER
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Posts posted by ANYWEATHER
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Downburst yes Albedo effect......
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It's not very often you find colder 850s moving from south to North from gfs ,but it's modeled towards the weekend ,and winter looks like greeting us once again from day ten!!! Models are determined not to let the weather settle down any time soon!
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Given the high level of Shannon entropy for next week ,perhaps stay clear of illusive details at the moment! Bank holiday weekend ,could well see sizable dry periods even though pressure is fairly low. My advice is to keep tuned to the rainfall radar, much better than the vague rainfall predictions from all models.....!☺
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Beautiful sunrise, accentuating the Alto-Cumulus clouds at 5:30 this morning.
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danm well it was yesterday on the week ahead forecast from the BBC
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Looking at this range for the Bank holiday, it don't look too good! Hopefully it won't be as cool and potentially wet as models show.
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ChannelThunder UkV is total rubbish
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danm yes. Day 7and 8 , unreliable time frames. Especially given the high level of Shanon Entropy.
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danm yes good by day ten! Where have I read that before
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Alderc 2.0 ecm is now the poor man's model. It's performance is dwindling all the time , Gfs is the king now out of the two. EC paints a poor bank holiday weekend, although given its performance stats ,I won't take any notice of it! BBC week ahead forecasts use the 00z ecm run in there forecasts ,must be very embarrassing for the forecaster who said yesterday , high pressure will be in charge, now they will be saying the opposite
! Need to be taking more notice of the gfs IMO .
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Don met office , don't believe any of their forecasts, short term or long term....
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TwisterGirl81 well ,hoping Ecms output is correct! Ive had enough of looking at low pressure, fronts, whether ,warm/cold/ occluded , 200 mph + jet stream ripping across the country at 30,000 feet,tight isobars and enough of depressions to make me depressed! And fed up with looking at the rainfall radar, and completely Pxxxxd off with emptying my rain guage, which is on the brink of plastic fatigue! Just want some ridges now ,Ecm please ....?
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Maxing out at around 8c/46f today, so another cold like January day ,second time in a week! It can only get better from here ,after all its May in a few days time:::::::::::
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Well looks like we may be seeing some sunny intervals tomorrow afternoon. Fingers crossed and toes and every thing else
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1 hour ago, jy said:
still we can do with the rain,drying out so quickly.
You're the only person in the country ,who says we can do with the rain! My oh my, sometimes I can't believe the things people write on here......
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CoventryWeather the UKV ,struggles to get precip right 12 hrs ahead, let alone Wednesday
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Another very cold day for the time of year for some , on Sunday ,under cloud and rain, hopefully its wrong ......
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richie3846 ok , not going to get in a debate over it , I’ve had several air frosts in my location over the last few weeks, so yes it’s been cold but not unprecedented
In Absence of True Seasons or perhaps the Seaweed will forecast better
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richie3846 there’s been an air frost in Benson , south Oxfordshire a number of times lately including this week. I certainly would call that the south….
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I personally don’t think the grape industry will flourish in time to come, assuming what our climate will be in the future is simply a fools game . Nobody knows , that’s all we know
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Oh, for the expansion of the Hadley cycle ,
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MP-R more to come as well. Where’s the expanding Hadley cell
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted · Edited by ANYWEATHER
A bit premature to be thinking the predicted settled spell next week will be plain sailing without out any twists and turns! I like everyone else need some warmth and sunshine, and no rain for a few weeks, but anyway looking forward to something of a settled spell , without the caveat of overcast and chilly weather which still can plaque many in early May.