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Everything posted by london-snow
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
london-snow replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I’m in agreement with both statements tbh, let’s be honest most of us that do hibernate through spring summer and autumn are only here during the winter to focus and discuss the possibility of cold and subsequently snow which let us be honest if theirs no snow theirs no point. Granted Matt their will be chances going forward the longer this current spell extends, however those who have called it a 2010 repeat are way wide of the mark. We had early snowfall that stuck around for days before any so called breakdown. Let’s see what happens i like you feel get the cold in place and the games will begin, hopefully sooner rather then later. -
Hi Fred hope you are doing well, Its not worrying about 1 op output run with the ecm, ukmo very dubious also, however as i did state earlier their is no agreement beyond +96 or even lower imo because once the cold sets in even little minuscule features that pop up unforcasted could have a large effect on the mid to long range pattern going forward .
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I just have a sneaky suspicion that after the cold spell hits tomorrow that things going forward will become that bit more clearer. I’ve seen that happen before, once the cold sets in the pattern ahead becomes that bit more clearer going forward. Let’s hope that’s the case otherwise we’ll be importing drugs from nick sussex.
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
london-snow replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I’ll take your point mate however raise you to say if nothings certain mid term how can things be right towards the back end. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
london-snow replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Quite a spread in the extended, and let’s be honest landing point for any real chance of snowfall has not really been touted until mid week next which gives us all a good 48-72 hours before anything beyond can be firmed up on. Beyond that which we are all focused on it’s a case of roll the dice and see what churns out. -
Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn
london-snow replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just a quick question, how can you read charts and comment ‘bad run’ ‘great run’ then ask for advice? -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
london-snow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Depending which way or country part you live in. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
london-snow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
correct me if i am in the wrong but was their any substantial evidence for a prolonged countrywide cold spell post Christmas? And when I mean prolonged cold spell it’s +5 days of below average temperatures countrywide that if precipitation is to fall it is of snow? No not as I can see. All this talk of wedges make sledges (My Personal Hate) is grand for those favourite up north from where I currently am and unfortunately unless those in the south going forward unless their is a substantial cold block pattern situated in the south then law of averages goes against. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
london-snow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Exactly all this talk of huge upgrades etc is highly dependent on your specific location. No consistent output has ever shown snow possibilities south of the m4 nor has the output shown a decent chance post Christmas to bring in a sustained uk wide cold spell. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
london-snow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If you are referring to the met update they are as much use as a chocolate fire guard. Three days ago it was stated ‘Colder in the south’ ‘Milder in the north’ now flip. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
london-snow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Such a shame that the extended outlook post Boxing Day is not looking very favourable. That said we cannot see the outlook by day 5. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
london-snow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Still waiting for you to post those charts after your comments this morning.. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
london-snow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I wouldn’t get our ‘Local’ hearts up regarding Christmas and a day after it is after that really gets my attention. Can we pull in e/ne winds with a cold block. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
london-snow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All is done thanks to the mods and members for the advice -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
london-snow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Got you guys thanks so much -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
london-snow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is that on iPhone mate as i am struggling to find this.