[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

Wind rising and veering NNW now, and pressure rising...so the low is off and moving in a generally eastward direction.

Temp still above zero, with dewpoint at freezing. That should drop as the low moves away east. My sense is that the low is perhaps a little further north than the compooters reckoned on their last runs.

I don't think it is all over for Somerset...if the low moves more eastwards, as Richard Angwin just suggested, then the southward wrap could hit Somerset harder than Devon. And, anyway, looks like there will be further snow as the low eventually sinks south tomorrow afternoon.

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

The technology defeated me first time, but here is the latest NW radar with isobars. BA9 is Wincanton.

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

Looks like the centre of the low is about as shown on the attached. 999.5mb here at present, and falling, with wind from the NW, so it might be that it is slightly further north.

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

Of course, if the whole show does move further east than expected, one of the consequences would be that the impact of the wrap would move eastward too, meaning the Somerset/Dorset area might get a dose on the rebound tomorrow morning.....

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

Its called bristol missing out locally which im gutted about but if it doesn't snow then it doesn't.

I reckon you'll get a fair bit....not least as I need to use the airport tomorrow, so Sod's Law says that it will be knackered!

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

Maybe NAE has overegged it eastwards? GFS might be the winner on this one.

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

Not sure if it makes any difference to the eventual outcome, but the low pressure centre seems to be forming now over Somerset/Wiltshire, and very in line with the GFS noon prediction. NAE had it all slightly further south and east at the same time.

Temp here slowly (very) falling at 1.2 C, DP 0.6 C.

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

Here's the latest prediction of snow depth at midnight on Thursday.

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

Certainly not seen the main event yet. Models now suggest the snowfall amounts will be less, further east (and north - so Bristol/Gloucestershire should get a bit) and it will all be a bit later than suggested - early hours of Wednesday. Dorset looks like getting off pretty lightly, and I am going to put away the shovel and broom I got out earlier!

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

I wouldn't be surprised if this all ended a bit further east........

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

Asking the question again only because i wanna know where to look at on the radar. But is it the rain on the radar in the channel that will join in the show?

On the radar, the lump between Brest peninsular and Lyme Bay is the bit to watch. That's the developing low.

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

Temp dropping off now - looks like we've seen today's high.

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

Snow very light here, and not settling at present.

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

Just started to snow here. Temp 2.1, DP 1.5; temp rise seems to have stalled now - steady at that level.

[South West England Cold Spell Discussion]

Awaiting the main event with interest, but currently still very cold in SE Somerset. Temp -4.6 C, DP -5.3 C, having been down to -9.5/-10.4 C overnight. Currently temp rise has stalled, and is momentarily dropping again (from a high of -4.4 C).