clangers23
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Posts posted by clangers23
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hurrah, really heavy here (relatively)!!
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I know many feel a disappointment with the fact that if we do receive anything like a heavy snowfall it won't stick around for long however given than many of us haven't seen a much more than a dusting I'm really looking forward to even the slightest possibility of a few hours 'proper' snow. I also don't mind wind and gales, anything even slightly dramatic is fine with me. It's the dull overcast mild drizzle that seems to define most of our seasons I can't cope with!
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In hale too, light snow hopefully will get thicker and last a few hours, seems to angled better than the forecast
Fantastic, hopefully a few hours.
Just wondering if this has all moved more north-west than expected?
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Good lord it's snowing, only small flakes but it's definitely snow rather than rain or sand.
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Looks like a nice big rain shadow right over us on the radar, feels too warm to snow. Not holding out much hope today.
Light drizzle is all we've seen today.
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"A reverse Cheshire Gap" - sounds like something you would find in a top shelf magazine.
Probably with Dianne Oxberry on the front cover, 'She loves a stiff cold one....'. Don't go there, it's a disturbing mental image.
Anyway after the last 24 hours I'll take a skeptical view of any potential setup this far out.
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Oh for gods sake,that is just ridiculous.
I know it really is ridiculous. I'd understand if it was major snow event that hadn't been seen and caused untold disruption. In reality this is just a typical winter setup and event.
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Dianne just used the term 'non-event', she's been reading the forums
Her delight has been tempered by her fear of Sunday's weather.
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Much of the north-west is just a terrible area for snow, granted if you live off towards the peak district or Pennines it's much better but generally trapped between the Irish Sea and the Pennines isn't good.
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Appears to be heading towards north lincolnshire and the Humber
Yep thanks, disappointing. Probably wouldn't have much energy left if got here anyway.
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Is that area of heavier area of precipitation south of Sheffield creeping slowing north-west going to get across the region? Looks like it's going to make it to those on eastern side who've had very little so far.
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So is that it for the day? Looks like the breakdown to the south west of Manchester is well under way?
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Matt was right about the forming of the low that would change the orientation of the front to a NW-SE axis - however what the GFS picked up on yesterdat (from 12z) was the LP edging further North therefore bringing the region into play for the PPN.
So the much maligned GFS (at least in the forecasting thread) has played a bit of blinder then? All I keep reading is ignore the 12z...18z etc?
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Finally a bit heavier here now, flakes have gotten larger too, still quite small though.
How long is this going to last for?
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Just watching the BBC forecast, still only showing the snow reaching my area at 3.00pm. Er, think it might be here already!!
Both the BBC, ITV and Met O forecasts have been caught out by this. I'm just on the edge of the heavier stuff, hoping it might nudge a couple of miles north-east!
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Morning. It's snowed till well after midnight here, very light but decent sized flakes. Seems to be repeating the same trick this morning. Looking at the radar we're certainly being covered by the leading edge of this today and it appears to be further norther than predicted. It also appears to be pivoting over the Irish Sea?
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I basically discount the hourly localised breakdown on the bbc or the met office. I don't see how they can possibly be that accurate for models as complex as this particularly for snow? Nowcasting does seem to be the only accurate way. According to both the bbc it's apparently dry and cloudy outside, although it seems to have been snowing for about the last three hours.
I'm just delighted to have seen some snow tonight.
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Lets hope the GFS 12z is correct,because the graphics on the BBC are poor
PPN just about gets to the southern parts of the region,northen most around
Manchester
C.S
Far be it from me to question the BBC forecasts but I always find them quite infuriatingly neutral, they'll downplay any weather to middling until the event is upon is.
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Well I'm relocating to the south later this year and lack of snow for the NW will not one of the things I miss!
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Southern parts of the region still seem inline for a bit of pasting, hopefully south Manchester and north Cheshire, hint, hint. Wouldn't surprise me to see the amber warning slip south by tomorrow morning.
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Just had a look for my location on the met office and BBC, downgrade on both sadly, should still seem some snow tomorrow but no where near as much.
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Well I don't know what to make of all this? As a novice trying to interpret the output this morning it just looks as if the main event has shifted west and potentially may move south. Forecasts are still showing significant snow but it looks more like we'll see a covering rather than the blizzard I was probably unrealistically hoping for. At this point are the high res models that most of us don't have access to all important?
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I've been out for a few hours and returned expecting the inevitable downgrade but it still looks good!
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Severe weather warning for pretty much the entire region.
All I can say is, mmmmmpppppfffhhhh.
North West England Regional Discussion 23rd January 2013, 12z onwards
in Regional
Posted
It does look like it on the radar, will it turn though?