[Cold Weekend Ahead, Chance For Snow Marginal At Best]

As luck wouldn't have it, a LP developed in the Irish sea, which literally deflected the snow away from our region to a more NW over towards cumbria and nw scotland

[Winter 2010 Good Or Bad?]

It's strange because I can remember right back to when we'd get regular heavy snow from the north west and indeed the north. The recent trend has certainly been one of a more Scandinavian orientation, feeding cold polar air over the North East / East Scotland region. Which has produced some amazing amounts of snow.

Just 48 hours after this post, places further south and into the midlands have been catching some very heavy persistent snow, but to the North West, Merseyside, Wirral, West Cheshire have seen absolutely no hint of a snow flake. But this has by and large become normal for us in these regions. Excuse the pun but this fits aptly to our setup, it must be "The Perfect Storm" in regards absolute location of incoming snow, the temperature and everything.

I think we'll be the last to see anything but I also think this year we could be the region that sees the most snow this time around. Looking at the winter forecast and reading between the lines, its looking potentially best for the North West for heavy and persistent snow over December and paticularly January, with most other places being significantly drier than last year, and the south being cold and very dry, where as the further north and west you go, the chances increase for more wetter conditions, yet cold enough for snow.

[Snowy For A Time]

[quote name='Thunder Snow' date='12 January 2010 - 19:30 '] Thanks mate for your comment mate, i still think it going to be very border-line in some places. [/quote]
As I am seeing it, most of the heavier precip and pepping will be possibly to the south of the midlands, and brum possibly getting a light coating, but its still very much touch and go concerning where it will and where it will not.

Still for the NW it will be likely long dead by the time it reaches there, however its conceivable but unlikely (not impossible!) that the irish sea could pep up some heavier showers for the nw..though as I said it's pretty unlikely since as we have both agreed, this system is fizzing out (not really much hope for our region, but you never can tell)

[Snowy For A Time]

Just thought i'd leave a comment. You are a pretty brave guy to try and nail this forecast down, and I think with current indications your going to be right on the ball with this forecast, I would have gone for the same type of forecast