ISAAC
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Posts posted by ISAAC
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Heavy Wet Snow in Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Dew point at 0.7c
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18 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
It's Nick Sussex I cannot work out? he says 'we' need this 'we need that etc, and he lives in SW France? always wondered why he is bothered what the weather does in another country?
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5 minutes ago, MattStoke said:
Some of the best snowfalls I’ve seen here are when there have been no warnings but the models have shown a risk.
Moderate snow now. Nice big flakes.
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Light Wet Snow for the last hour or so
Dew point now dropped to 0.8c.
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4 minutes ago, Ryukai said:
We have Sleet, I repeat, We have Sleet!
Even though the temps are still around 1.5C (dp 1C) they were at 2.7C around an hour ago so falling quite fast. I have all my fingers Crossed!
Also one of my mum's friends sent a pic from her home in Yorkshire, It's looking like we did up here a few weeks back, good 2 - 3 inches of snow already there.
All we need now is heavy precipitation, May get a bit heavier before clearing off this evening.
One can hope
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6 minutes ago, Monkeypants said:
visible flakes now here in ST3
Still mostly sleet, although dew points heading in right direction. Looking better now
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3 minutes ago, MattStoke said:
Looks to be turning to sleet/wet snow here even though the precipitation is very light.
Yes hint of sleet now, just need some intensification in the next couple of hours
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Temp at 2.4c and dewpoint at 1.9c here in South Stoke, dropping slowly.
Expecting it to turn sleety around Midday onwards, we could get a slushy mess at best, all depends on how much the west side of the front intensifies in the coming hours.
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Just now, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
down to dew points, and ppn intensity
Heavy precipitation with marginal dew points will give us temporary (slushy) accumulations for sure, we've had a fair few of those spells
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I will be very surprised if MetO dont issue a yellow warning in the early hours, if not tonight.
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3 minutes ago, AppleUK 123 said:
I
That's interesting as MO predict we should be at 8C until 21:00
Temp 3,6c here in Stoke, although Met Office had us at 6c till 8pm
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5 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
Dew poins on ecm seem fine fron 12z last night!!!!shame it didnt happen at night otherwise it would have settled more!!
There will be variations on each run, which makes it more exciting.
From my experience, the best snowfalls come from marginal events. Not sure whether this is the one. My eyes are on the coming weeks
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12z GFS Shows an upgrade for tomorrow evening , Snow risk is increasing for the midlands per each run. However I'm not expecting much to settle, especially if it's Wet Snow with marginal dew-points.
If we can get a couple of hours of the Heavy Stuff then things could take a turn, only issue is with Dew points not looking favorable at the moment. Evaporative cooling post 3pm tomorrow maybe?
Met Office probably will issue warnings regardless, just to be on the safe side.
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8 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
good to see you back ISAAC, remember you from few years ago
Hey, hope you're well Mark
Apparently, the last post i made was over 7 years ago. Has it really been that long .
Feeling quite optimistic for the weeks ahead, battleground snow prospects on the cards.
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22 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
my thoughts too, could see hopefully big wet flakes, but no January 5th 1998 event! don't expect any to settle
Still remember that event, expecting mostly Sleet and Wet Snow from this under current chart projections.
Next week looks interesting with the North/South split, still too early to call.
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Hi peeps
Been a good while since I've posted on here, (good few years to be honest ). Although I must admit i have found it hard to keep away entirely, just a silent observer
Great to see many of the same old members keeping this thread alive, great stuff!
After the recent dire winters i have a good feeling about this one, we've had a decent start here in Stoke, with snow on the ground for almost 2 weeks up until 11th January,
Best of luck everyone
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Hi guys, back for the winter and always following this thread. Some interesting posts regarding ECM vs GFS
I would note the ECM did topple last year for the easterly but that is a totally different setup. The Northerly here has been pretty much been consistent to some degree on both ECM and GFS.
The problem we have as always is may is people taking each of the 4 runs from the global model at face value. For me the GFS 0Z and 12z are the only ones which i take consideration for. The 06z has been proven to be way behind and not as useful as the 12z as Steve Murr would say, and then we have the pub run which loves to bring a bit of eye candy here and there.
Really looking forward to Tonight's 12z runs, but still with caution as the pattern on the MetO t+120 will be crucial come Sunday evening.
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Heavy snow variable depths. Some places around 5 inches. Generaly 2 to 3 inches
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sleet/snow in stoke for the last hour or so. sticking on cars, roofs etc but with a blowing wind accumulations will be variable, more confined to areas exposed to the wind.
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heavier by the minute in stoke. been non stop since 9am but now all surfaces are covered. 2cm-3cm on cars
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This snow event has 4th feb 2012 written all over it. MetO giving us 9 hours of heavy snow
I expect a good 8-10cm out of this
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any update on the pile?
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the huge flakes and wet snow are signs of dew points rising. will be very marginal in the next couple of hours.
dewpoint risen to -0.2c here
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its still rain.. HEEEEELLLPPP
*rings iceman*
Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward
in Regional
Posted · Edited by ISAAC
Nice whilst it lasted.
Hopefully just a teaser of what to expect in the days ahead.
