[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

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North downs this afternoon. 4/5 cms

 

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

Harlow being one of the sweet spots in the SE tonight

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

M11 Harlow junction

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

Coming down thick now in Harlow Essex -2  1 inch so far

[Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn]

55 minutes ago, Andy Bown said:

Good. Too many people want a sudden switch to winter nirvana which simply isn’t going to happen. Particularly on the back of such a hot year and with potential record November temperatures in the next few days.

I was thinking just this. Just comparing the charts with November 2009 and they are similar. Let’s get the vortex into Northern Europe to create the cold pooling over the next fortnight. Then we can hope for some sort of easterly incursion late nov early December. The deep cold hung around Northern Europe for two weeks before anything hitting our shores early dec back in 2009 . Patience is needed. Right now all the foundations seem to be falling into place, hopefully this will continue

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards]

7 minutes ago, Mitch the motorbike storm said:

Hmmm will it cross the channel and live! It’s gone bang 

Was thinking just the same….all eyes on the radar for the next few hours

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Blizzard condition here in Margate. Been snowing most of the day.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Just now, Maidstone marginal said:

That proves it in my mind. If it's snowing in Margate then things are going to plan.

My thoughts exactly, it never snows here.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Full transition to snow complete now here in Margate right on the coast. Blizzard like conditions, very strong winds.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

Visible snow flakes in the rain here in thanet. Wasn’t expecting it so early

[Model Output Discussion - Staying cold into the new year]

And so this bizarre spell seems set to continue. Struggling to remember an Atlantic  shutdown as prolonged as this. We seem to have created our own stagnant pool of cold air which we look to keep well into next week. Just a shame we are lacking any true cold source other wise things could have been more interesting. Still worth keeping in mind we are still in the early stages of winter. All eyes to the north and east towards the end of this coming week.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards]

29 minutes ago, Southender said:

Hope you have a decent boat. Perhaps you can collect snow depths at the various buoys in the Channel?

It barely snows here in Broadstaires let alone in the flippin Channel

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards]

I’m still feeling optimistic for central/eastern Kent on this run. The north downs (lenham heath/Challock. I’m currently planning on chasing this through the north downs around the areas above collecting snow depths. Obviously depending on the next set of runs. Will be uploading pics on here tomorrow night as I go..?

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards]

Looks interesting for folks living south of London/ central Kent Wednesday night. Not only do we have the uppers just about cool enough but the systems seems to be clearing east in the early hours which will help to bring the snow level down. Im guessing the sweet spot on this run would be Maidstone east across to Lenham with 5/6cm not being ruled out across the north downs.

[Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year]

Loving these charts at the moment. Nothing majorly cold in the immediate time frame but mostly a firm agreement from the models that a block shall remain in place to the west. This will allow cold pooling to build across central areas over the coming week. I just hope this will coincide with an icy surprise in early jan

[Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas]

Bags of potential for the start of jan for us coldies. The up and coming cool spell for the  Xmas period simply doesn’t have the right setup with regards to the deep cold pool of air we need to lock us in the fridge. A major tease more many of us.
It’s a case of cold but not cold enough.

At least the Atlantic heater is out of action for the foreseeable future, although I am first to agree we could be faced with a much more depressing scenario than we currently have.

 

[Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas]

Back to seasonal weather from midweek onwards which will be welcomed by many over the Xmas period. Hoping for standard  cold snap in jan/feb. Looking at the remaining models for December, any decent cold spells can pretty much be ruled out now. 
Come on jan 1987 style Big freeze

[Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat]

Chop and change for the next severn day period. Temperatures above average with a continuous Atlantic feed. I’m just about ready now to right December off in terms of a half decent cold spell. Very depressing times for us coldies. January/ feb better deliver the goods is all I say.

[Model output discussion - Winter has arrived]

Temperatures still below as we head the through next week where it looks like a gradual return to a westerly flow is now inevitable. Really itching for a cold spell right now like I’m sure many others are on this forum. The lack of cold across nw Europe at the moment is quite staggering. At this rate it going to be late December moving into jan before our hopes of a cold shot come to fruition.

[Model output discussion - Winter has arrived]

Seasonal weather insight within the reliable forecasting range. No thrills. Anyone expecting to get widespread snow fall across inland areas are going to be majorly disappointed. The cold pooling simply isn't in place. 
In fact we don’t currently have a spell of half decent cold weather insight for the uk. A scenario that becoming evermore frequent in the British modern day winter. Sorry to put a dampener on things but we must remain realistic on this forum and resist any unnecessary ramping up of the situation.

[Model output discussion - Winter approaches]

I can’t understand the reasoning for any negativity on here right now regarding a colder outlook. Seven days ahead and the north of Europe is cooling nicely along with a dormant Atlantic feed. Things are shaping up well. Remember we have not even hit mid November yet. Certainly a moderate improvement on recent years.

[Early run up to Winter 2020/2021 discussion]

38 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Still a bIt too early in the season to be talking about the S word but there’s a possibility at the end of the month, especially on higher ground...

It’s more than possible, I remember snow on the ground 28/29 October in Hertfordshire in I think 08/09.

[Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2020.]

That Atlantic better reawaken come mid November. Certainly in the mood for another snow fest of 2010/11. Already had a two week business shutdown with Covid!!

[Model Output Discussion - Into November 2019]

Very happy with the latest runs. Typical autumnal weather on the way with temps mostly below average for next week. With no immediate sign of a return of the Atlantic, most should be happy. Great start to what I hope will be an active winter

[The Hunt for Cold continues 02/01/19]

This is quite frankly turning out to be one of the worse winters I can remember. We have 3/4 weeks to receive a half decent cold spell and still very little on the horizon.