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Iceni

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Posts posted by Iceni

  1. Who's got an invitation to stay with some very old friends in Pratteln Switzerland then? MEEEEEE :yahoo:

     

    At least I'm going to get some snow action in the Northern Hemisphere in the near future. Haven't even looked it up on Google Earth yet — daren't in case it's going to be a disappointment. So if anyone knows the place is ok tell me now. Otherwise ignorance is bliss.

     

    Can this be snow?

     

    http://www.gga-pratteln.ch/ext_cams/augst.png?1414775990821

  2. The 12z gfs is not brilliant as it is bound to do some damage to the fresh snow cover in the European side of Russia and even further east by the month's end. The Arctic high becomes a Russian high and gradually sinks south allowing a westerly/southwesterly. Let's hope it doesn't verify.

     

    The ECM also takes a turn for the worse and couldn't be different to yesterday's 12z! Worrying times for the snow cover!

     

     

    Oh please God not another winter like last year (and this year) we can't have that much bad luck.

  3. Mixed day bright warmish sunshine then almost horizontal rain… and boy is that wind cold now. I needed gloves. Just hope there's no powercuts, but heard on the news a woman has been killed in Central London. Which surprised me — yes I know there are more people around, but thought trees in London were fairly well-maintained. Unless their roots have been disturbed by road works and telecoms digging.

     

    Poor lady.

  4. Emm... how much melting from below? You have to be careful in making assumptions about the contribution of geothermal, especially when you don't take time to look at the actual figures.

     

    "Rignot, also the lead author of a study out last month that documented widespread retreat of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, said geothermal heating contributes to a few millimeters of melting annually, compared to rising sea temperatures which can trigger rates of up to 100 meters each year."

    https://news.vice.com/article/no-volcanoes-are-not-the-primary-cause-for-the-melting-ice-caps

     

    Yes the sea ice is increasing, nobody is ignoring that, but the ice sheets, both in Antarctica and Greenland, are melting at an accelerating rate. No falsified scaremongering required.

     

    Velicogna-2013-fig2.png

     

     

    Oh give it a rest. THERE HAS BEEN NO GLOBAL WARMING FOR 17 YEARS, 11 MONTHS.

     

    http://www.climatedepot.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/1711years-300x168.png

     

    Just stop insulting our intelligence.

    • Like 4
  5. Predictions of a collapse were in reference to the ice shelves and sheets. The Larson B ice shelf did collapse recently and several others are sufferring strong melt, especially from belowhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Larsen_Ice_Shelf

    The melt predictions were for the ice sheet, and have been entirely accurate. Recent studies have suggested a collapse of the west Antarctic ice sheet, which is suffering from accelerating melt.

    http://www.awi.de/en/news/press_releases/detail/item/record_decline_of_ice_sheets_for_the_first_time_scientists_map_elevation_changes_of_greenlandic_and/?cHash=40fbf2d15cbc909996cc02458d8cd973

    http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/05/140515090934.htm

    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL060111/abstract

     

    Especially from below…

     

     

     

    Thwaites-Glacier-geothermal-flow.jpg

     

     

    "This map shows the locations of geothermal flow underneath Thwaites Glacier in West Antarctica that were identified with airborne ice-penetrating radar. The dark magenta triangles show where geothermal flow exceeds 150 milliwatts per square meter, and the light magenta triangles show where flow exceeds 200 milliwatts per square meter. Letters C, D and E denote high melt areas: in the western-most tributary, C; adjacent to the Crary mountains, D; and in the upper portion of the central tributaries, E. Credit: University of Texas Institute Geophysics."

  6. Certainly can I have witnessed the effect where a Chinook has not made far enough to reach the eastern part of the city..the west can be +5c and just 3 or 4 miles to the east it stays at -15c

     

    Not quite as much of a contrast, but I've phoned friends in Cambridge 20 miles away and told them about the 6" of snow out in the countryside and they've gone "What snow?"

     

    When we make the trip into the city, the snow's vanished about a 1 mile radius all around it - the Urban Heat Island effect in action.

  7. We can still get a cold winter without the help of a Daily Express scare story lol! Just wondering  whether cold winters come in clusters or not! If they do, then do mild winters do the same! Is there a pattern? :unknw: Still cool damp and breezy out, I thought it was October whilst out in the rain!

     

    The DE is perfectly reasonable. It's not scaremongering to say that billions of ash particles in the atmosphere will block out what sunlight there is in the NH over the winter months.

     

    Yes of course they all exaggerate to sell newspapers but it's better than the MetO forecasting a BBQ summer or saying that A/W 2010 would be unusually mild. Councils base their seasonal planning on the MetO, not the DE and we ran out of salt.

  8. I don't know about that, I think this Bank holiday Monday has plunged to new depths. Heavy rain all day long, must have had well over 50mm of rain total.

     

    Complete garbage :(

     

    Not really. I remember lots of family outings on August Bank Holidays where we sat in a steamed up car grimly munching sandwiches while the rain slashed down. In fact, most of them were like that.

     

    One of them was a trip to Arundel Castle in our little woody mini traveller. It was packed and we'd parked just off the drive through the parkland. A LandRover passed and stopped and this elderly gent got out and it was the Earl himself. He said he had some stables where we could eat our picnic and to follow him. So we sat on straw bales watching the rain.

  9. It's finally stopped drizzling/raining here! :clapping:

    Icelandic volcano could trigger Britain's coldest winter EVER this year

     

    BRITAIN could freeze in YEARS of super-cold winters and miserable summers if the Bardarbunga volcano erupts, experts have warned.

    Nobody panic, the article was written by NATHAN RAO of The Daily Express! :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes::laugh:

     

    Oh well. Whatever.

     

    It has definitely been AUTUMN here for the past couple of weeks. Even the post lady remarked about it this morning. Leaves are turning, berries are red. Maybe people in more urban places don't realise, but out in the sticks, it's like late September. We had to have a fire last night in the living room.

     

    And Nathan Rao is quite right. After a massive volcano eruption in the Philippines, the Selbourne naturalist Gilbert White recorded the famous 'year without a summer' in the early 1800s.

  10. Pea sized ones Lol! I Only managed to grow one the size of a orange once, all other times the plant has shriveled and died! :cray: I think it was that year when we hit 37c in the SE, forget what year that was!

     

     

    That would have been 2003. Got to 38C here.

     

    The trick with melons is to use a 'hot bed' to grow them in. Basically it's a compost heap which heats up and keeps the roots warm.

    • Like 1
  11. Did we have a short summer?

     

    mine is still chugging on here, berries still yet to fully ripen and have a rowen in the back garden.

     

    Perhaps it's our altitude... which is quite high for E Anglia. None of the blackberries are ready but we were picking lovely ripe ones when we visited Sutton Hoo on the Deben estuary.

     

     

    I looked on here http://www.weatherhq.co.uk/weather-station/lyneham but can't see anything below 5c* for any of the stations. Quite cool enough for August anyway. Iceni, We have a Euonymous in the garden which has wonderful autumn colours and is beginning to turn already, a good few weeks before usual. The bumper blackberry crop is also ripening off early, though we could do with some sun and warmth to finish it off. 

     

    (Edit: *Benson went down to 3c at 4.50am 21-Aug)

     

    Don't know about ground frosts but noticed heavy dews at sunset on the lawn. It just feels like late September and usually the rowan berries only last a few days because the birds are hungry by the time they're ripe. But they've been red for a week or so and look lovely - perhaps we'll be able to enjoy the sight of them for another few weeks.

     

    I hope we have a lovely winter with lots of snow and frost.

  12. It's definitely a whole month forward here in Suffolk. Looks like late September — the hawthorn and rowan berries are all red, but this year lasting as the birds haven't stripped them. Poplars are beginning to yellow and fall off the trees.

     

    Another strange thing was my Autumn raspberries were over by the end of July. They're supposed to be late August/September.

     

    I'm wondering whether we're in the early stages of another Little Ice Age — it was characterised by short summers.

    • Like 1
  13. Hi everyone, Not been on here for a while. Was searching the posts for anything winter related and stumbled upon this one.

     

    Just spent 2 weeks in searing 45c heat in Turkey.

     

    Having come home its incredible to notice how we seem to have switched from Summer before I left to autumn. Cold, blustery and I have even notice a tinge on red in some of the leaves!

     

    Could we be shifting seasons a tad early? or just my imagination??

     

    Jake

     

    It's not your imagination. I live in Suffolk and have never known such early red hawthorn and rowan berries. Usually they don't last long because by that time the birds' other food has dried up, and they get eaten, but this year they're still on the trees looking lovely. Noticed quite a few yellow poplar leaves beginning to fall and the chestnuts are loaded with conkers.

     

    And I've had to wear a jumper for my dog walks for the past week.

  14. Big booms and forked lightning as the storm passed right over, now heading off east. Poor dog wet himself in the kitchen luckily not on the carpets.

     

    Must say this has been the perfect summer from my point of view — when it's rained, it's been mostly at night or early morning and I haven't had to get the hose down to the veg garden once. I'm not going abroad at all and don't need to as it's been sunny most days.

    • Like 1
  15. Good grief really ? The official meteorological definition of  the start of Autumn is still 3 weeks away  ( September 1st ) and the same definition of the start of winter is December 1st....over 3 months away. Hardly just round the corner is it ?

     

    Id say that Autumn is quite advanced. Just noticing all the flowers and berries feels more like LATE August and early September.. The buddleas are completely over and we've got butterflies hibernating in the house which is definitely early.

  16. Good morning fellow SE/EA folks.

     

    Yesterday was a day that will live in my memory for quite a while.

     

    My wife and I had agreed to drive up to Huntingdon yesterday afternoon to meet my son, girlfriend and their little boy after my son left work for the day.

     

    We left home at about 14.15 to sunny intervals and a temperature of about 23C according to my car thermometer, although it felt a lot hotter than that, as well as sticky and uncomfortable due no doubt to the high humidity. By the time we were passing by the village of Takeley it had started to drizzle and when we had reached the large roundabout at Stansted it was sheeting it down in biblical proportions. It was so heavy that I considered it to be too dangerous to progress onto the M11 and so we made for the Birchanger Services just off the roundabout along with many other motorists.

     

    Having parked there for about 20 minutes until the deluge relented a little I then had to queue up for some time to exit onto the roundabout as everyone else had the same idea! The M11 was very slow from the moment we joined and was at gridlock by the time we reached Cambridge. By this time the rain had intensified again and I decided to leave at Junction 13 as I know a route when one can join the M11/A14 junction near the crematorium later. We stopped in a Cambridge side road for about 10 minutes as it was difficult to see the road ahead as it was raining so heavily. On rejoining the main route the traffic was still heavy for some miles but gradually thinned out after the Biggleswade exit. Water was however pouring off the fields onto the inside lane of the motorway. 

     

    When we arrived at the first exit for Huntingdon (80's Weather will know where I mean) taking the road to Godmanchester and at the traffic calming measure that narrows the road by the allotments we had to queue for some time as drivers approached what must have been about 2 feet of floodwater.

     

    The rest of the journey was fairly straightforward but instead of taking about 75 minutes on a good day it took about 3 hours 20 minutes.

     

    Our return journey home was not as bad, although we encountered torrential rain for the vast majority of the journey and the road into Godmanchester had remained flooded. We did note that even at after 10 in the evening there was still a queue of traffic northbound in the vicinity of Cambridge for several miles.

     

    Kind regards

     

    Dave

     

     

    We told our nephews to avoid the M11 and take the A1 down into London. Hope they followed our advice as they set off going the other way about the same time as you.

  17. The rain has stopped and my cousin has FINALLY gone home! 15.7c

     

    Do you think there's a connection?

     

    We had my husbands nephews (one lives in Australia) and the weather behaved perfectly all Wednesday and Thursday. We even went for a dip in the North Sea which was incredibly warm. And the farmers were frantically harvesting wheat.

     

    But Friday morning when they got packed up to leave was dull and it was damp all afternoon with a big rumble of thunder around 4 pm. Today's been lovely.

  18. All clouded over after another glorious day.

     

    It's what I call perfect summer weather, hot sunshine with a decent breeze to take away any stickiness or humidity. I'm really nasty because it's probably going to rain most of the w/e, but I'm retired so can enjoy the sunshine all week. Ho ho.

     

    Just picked 3lbs of Czar plums which will be bottled to enjoy one dismal day in December.

  19. Mid Suffolk - occasional thunder and lightning to our east for some time, moderate rainfall here. Now some distant lightning flashes and rumbles to the south - Ipswich or thereabouts.

     

    Could be a bit wet at Latitude and the lightning map has some strikes in the general area.

     

    Actually I'm a bit spooked. It's a long story but my sister gave us her dog Ludo when she had her second baby - she couldn't handle the walks and a new baby. Ludo settled down really well and everything was fine, but he would never ever go into a room with an open fire in it. No reason at all for his phobia. We just accepted it as part of his nature. But 6 years later my sister's house burned down when a lit log rolled onto the carpet. We all remembered Ludo's premonition.

     

    My dog hates lightning, it's the lightning not the thunder as he's ok when he hears it in the distance.... hope we don't have another dog prophet.

    • Like 1
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