Simonl
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Posts posted by Simonl
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Morning Peeps
According to the mod thread all we can expect is light grainy snow....nothing significant either! I can't see that tbh. They are saying it is the wrong type of cloud,,,Thought it was the wrong type of snow? lol
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Yep I agree.
However like I keep saying it isn't until the end of the week into the weekend when snow showers could become heavier and more widespread. My fear though is if whats been predicted at +144 also trends S!
The biggest problem which has been consistent throughout is the HP is centred around Scotland. Ideally for the UK we want this to be centred towards Iceland. That is one hell of a shift N we need to see and unlikely now.
So this isn't going to be a classic E,ly but enough interest for those in the SE and E Anglia and especially for members in Kent.
Do you think so? I guess right now, I am in a prime position for snowfall still.....That would, I take it, depend on no further shifts south by the High? Or would that still not affect the SE? It looks like an eastern coastal affair throughout...IF positioning stays the same.
Cheers.
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Too much drink and snow never a good idea lol
Hi! Yes, I can see where you might slip lol! Looking good for us in our corner of the world. The model thread is whinging already. I only hope the high doesn't move further south or the greedy french will get all our lovely white snow...
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Hello everyone.
I am new here. But have been a member of Netweather for some time. I do sometimes post in the Model thread (when brave enough!)
Seems you have a nice community spirit going on here, which is very nice.
Looking at the charts they look amazing for us in the SE. All we need is sustained easterly for a couple of days then I think snow eh?
Be gentle.
Simon
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Good to see the NAE at +48 supporting the 06Z GFS.
http://expert-images...021706_1506.gif
Im going to keep my eye on this chap over the next 24hrs.
TEITS
Would you be kind enough to briefly (!) how you read/interpret this and what are you looking for? I am not a novice per se at reading charts but I don't understand the NAE ones at all! lol. Also, Isn't GFS still playing catch up with the euros? If this is the case and it appears so isn't it like looking at history already? the NAE charts (If you see what I mean?!)
Thank you
Simon L (formerly known as Snowfish)
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Well all I can say is the Gfs Ensembles don't seem to support any Arctic outbreak 850's wise , I was surprised When I just looked at the ECM , although I haven't seen any of the other runs for the last couple of days so don't shoot me down, I would suggest the GFS is going for High pressure over the country with 850's around +2 , And ECM is going for an Undercut with pressure rising further North.. The battle starts at +144 so UKMO tonight may also give some indication.
GFS is on its own with that scenario. ECM and UKMO go for cold from what I can see...
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A few things to note this morning .
The ECM again has the PV dropping toward to us from the pole , it looks vicious , and with it associated very very cold air .
The other thing, the gfs ens , are now hinting at mojor cold outbreak , the op was an outlier for Gloucestershire Throughout , and there is some ens now dropping through the roof . This happens in the past leading to something big.
I'm becoming more confident by the day.
I like those charts too. But doesn't the GFS look tame in comparison or is that just my novice take on things? lol
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sleeting now with big flakes in the increasing wind
Don;t know if you remember me, I was Snowfish lol! How's it goin,? Hope we in for a pasting tonight!
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Very Quiet here....the calm before the snowstorm lol!
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There's plenty of Kent slappers out there your not looking hard enough
Anyone see look east or bbc London? What did they say?
bbc south east saying we are going to see very heavy rain....boring. you can keep that. It's always us lot isn't it. Boo! The best bit is the presenter looked pleased about it - is she on commission?
TYPICAL, TYPICAL, TYPICAL.
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It is awkward to say the least....
Coast is it curtains then for me in north kent..AGAIN? Or do you think we may still be lucky?
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Still time for it to change, not looking good tho for our Kentish lot, again! We have had no luck this winter, lets hope it changes
I am sick of missing out every flippn time. why is it ALWAYS us? You can keep cold rain...YUCK.
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Just to highlight the potential , and in my opinion a step to a much colder outlook.
Here is last nights 192 chart
And this mornings
As you can see a much better positioning of the high pressure allowing the cold air to stay over us , the Atlantic has no chance .
I have had a look at the charts and would agree as a novice to chart reading, that the atlantic looks 'blocked out' for pretty much all of the run. The UKMO and the ECM look very nice, with a strong easterly element developing on BOTH models. GFS quite good too. Is that a fairly accurate reading?!
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No you are right. Today's output suggests the SE is the only place in England (barring Cornwall) to miss out on the snow. Sleet at best, probably cold rain. Higher ground may get a bit. Still could change though.
I hope so. We are the most 'snow starved'. That would be absolutely TYPICAL. The areas that have had plenty getting more.
The low needs to go further south...
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USA Friday, UK Monday........
hey Coast! have you seen the radar just walked the dog down the seafront direct northerly now with showers headed our way! lol!
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Uh huh, but did he say some, loads or none and where did he say it would land, if it does?
Hi ya Coast et Gang
Just cast my eye over the charts they all bring in the easterly element as that slider low heads southeastwards....The ECM is nice as is the UKMO the GFS also looks promising...This latest run is an improvement on the previous for the GFS....Wouldn't mind a few upgrades. One thing, -4 to -12 uppers will FEEL cold! The best day for us in terms of ppn might well be late sunday into monday....Your thoughts?
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Hoy pandemonium , LOOK at this , look at this.
The battle over the UK saga continue s.
Now even the Chinese weather model is knocking on your door.
There will no strong atlantic , only glide lows.
This guy is fun.....That chart is awesome I do agree Sir lol!
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I'm not sure if this is just a new trend that models are picking up or the actual weather that's coming. The hi-res models start to come into range in the next couple of days and will guide us to a more accurate idea as we get closer to anything that the weekend and Monday has to offer.
I'm going to leak some nitrous oxide under the door into there!!
Model thread posters have been 'dislikeing' the GFS simply because it has not shown the slider low that well compared to the others. ECM and UKMO have been calling an easterly for some time now...GFS had started showing the slider low to a lesser degree...This morning, it seems as though all models other than UKMO have backed down on the idea of cold.....Maybe, as someone suggested, this could be the 'wobble' before something better? Thoughts Coast?
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If this does occur I would go as far to say for the South east corner this has been so far the most frustrating winter i can remember with so many failed promising charts, keeping my fingers crossed for a good old easterly to save the day
I have to concur other areas are being spoilt compared to us.....
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morning all
Well, that went out with a splash rather than a bang didnt it. From an IMBY perspective this cold spell rates 4/10. It just never really delivered for us compared to pretty much the rest of the country. Expectations are high after 2010 but even last Feb tops this for me. Still, Winter is not over yet so I'm putting my faith in Feb! I'm going to enjoy these mild days. I know where the cold has gone..Ive flippin got it in my head achhooooooo sniffle sniffle
So I'm going to get rid of this cold and then hoping we have another shot at some Snowy stuff Hi
That sums it up pretty much perfectly. I had a feeling nothing would come of the system. My feeling was like the Friday system that pushed across west to east before snowy sunday? That didn't do anything for us guys in our corner of the world.....We also had a southeasterly wind that friday as indeed we did THIS friday! Stange that! Like you say, I look forward to the next cold spell. I must say though, I don't like wind and rain at all
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Morning regionaires!
It was pelting down with snow between Benny Hill and Lewes on the way home last night and it's nice to see a good dusting on cars and the grass as I came back in this morning.
Now lovely Carol Kirkwood was showing quite a snow event tomorrow morning for our part of the World but will it get to all parts and how long will it remain if at all?
GFS is having none of it this morning:
So what is Carol / BBC / Met O seeing then?
Hi Coast
I thought the low was coming to our part of the world late tomorrow evening??? East coast just prone to a few flurries here and there during the day??!
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Morning all,
All a bit wet here... Still a covering of snow - current 1.1c and -0.7
Morning!
Nothing here, zilch but to be fair it was never meant to get into my neck of the woods anyway! Friday, do you think will bring snow to us here in the SE corner?
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Dont worry tom Se20 even you are to far east-
Im moving to Bluebell hill in 2014-- ive always wanted to live there & im buying a house on the summit...
i will probably miss 2013/14 Winter so stuck here level with the waves-
you never know though feb may throw something up!
enjoy your snow this eve People-
Slightly away from the south coast looks good-
S
Well that's me ***************. enjoy peeps
(Herne Bay)
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Hello....Will I get any snow.... I am in herne bay..looks tantalisingly close and will it be a whirlwind lasting ages.
So I'm going to get rid of this cold and then hoping we have another shot at some Snowy stuff 
South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 21st February 2013 18:00hrs>
in Regional
Posted
Morning Peeps
Looking at the charts a lot of uncertainty about snowfall even at this short range. I looked out and though what is the fuss about...Cold though! My personal take is that we are at risk of snow flurries over the next four days. More especially later today and throughout tomorrow. Hope everyone in my region sees some. The charts are also staying cold looking with an impressive northerly which stays around some time allowing colder air to dig down into our neck of the woods (still to come into reliable timeframe though...don't get excited!!!!) In the mean time, enjoy!