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craig1uk

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Posts posted by craig1uk

  1. MD issued :

    MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1029

    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

    0140 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2011

    AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL NEB/EASTERN SD INTO SOUTHEAST ND/WESTERN MN

    CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

    VALID 301840Z - 302015Z

    SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH LATE

    AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...PERHAPS INITIALLY ACROSS

    WEST-CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL NEB INTO SOUTHEAST SD. ONE OR MORE

    TORNADO WATCHES WILL BE NEEDED BY MID AFTERNOON /LIKELY BY 20Z/.

    18Z SUBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS REFLECTS A 996 MB SURFACE LOW ACROSS

    EASTERN SD BETWEEN HURON AND ABERDEEN...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING

    SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE LOW INTO WESTERN NEB NEAR/WEST OF NORTH

    PLATTE...WITH EARLY AFTERNOON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REFLECTING

    AN INCREASING SURFACE BASED CU FIELD NEAR/JUST EAST OF THE COLD

    FRONT /ESPECIALLY ACROSS NEB/. WITH STRONGER DPVA/IMPLIED ASCENT NOW

    BEGINNING TO OVERSPREAD THE NORTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...AN INCREASE

    IN DEEP CONVECTION IS EXPECTED IN VICINITY OF THE FRONTAL ZONE BY

    MID/LATE AFTERNOON...WITH AN ASSORTMENT OF NUMERICAL GUIDANCE

    /INCLUDING EXPERIMENTAL HRRR/ INDICATIVE OF DEEP CONVECTION AS EARLY

    AS 20-21Z.

    AFOREMENTIONED ASCENT COUPLED WITH AMPLE PRE-FRONTAL HEATING AND

    MIDDLE/UPPER 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WEAKENING

    CINH AMID MODERATE INSTABILITY. IN CONJUNCTION WITH A

    STRENGTHENING/BUT LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND FIELD...INITIAL MODAL

    SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF SOME TORNADOES/LARGE HAIL ARE LIKELY. STORMS

    SHOULD ULTIMATELY CONGEAL THROUGH EARLY/MID EVENING...WITH MORE OF A

    WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND THREAT EVOLVING AS WELL.

    ..GUYER.. 05/30/2011

  2. Nice one :good:

    Can I ask how close you were to the storm when you took those pictures? I was wondering because those bolts of lightning look rather dangerous

    Thanks mate, we were pretty close, we were between two storms really, trying to keep out of the precip, Tom and Ian did a great job putting us in the right place to catch the action without being in the firing line, and avoiding the odd burning building :shok:

  3. well i believe my dreams........u can all throw what ever u like at me..LOL..

    BUT THIS IS GOING TO BE ONE OF THE BEST YRS.. 8)

    Some huge surprises coming..and some killers!!...

    my dreams come true... :air_kiss:

    charts updating now

    Great vid Pat, that gets u in the mood for it eh !!!

  4. Can I just ask what flights and what day do the following land on Tour 1

    Craig

    Will

    Mark

    I am pretty sure everyone else will be there a day early (Thurs 28th April) think Craig might be as well, just need to know who to collect from the airport as the others will probably meet us on the Thursday night for a meal etc

    Thanx in Advance

    Paul S

    Hi Paul, I land at DFW at 1.40 PM on the 28th on AA flight 51, stayin at the best western

    Craig

  5. You dont want to see the New CFS USA Charts Netweather has access too, had a peek and would love to tell you what the 30th April to 9th May shows but Ian Michaelwaite has told me to keep stumm!

    He said he might post some charts up in the next few days before his skiing trip.

    Good or Bad........Hmmmm I wonder :pardon:

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