[Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period]

They will closer the time. Public service organisations don't have the luxury of jumping the gun and even panicing people because they get in to trouble if it does not come off.

 

This looks a serious event right now but it may not be quite that way tomorrow. 

It's very unprofessional though, they should at least warn the public of the potential for this storm to develop.

[Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period]

The Irish Met haven't even mentioned the possibility of storm force winds!!!??

 

http://www.met.ie/forecasts/

[Ireland Regional Discussion - 29/11/2013 ----->]

Was at Beltra beach (Co.Mayo) @ bout 6pm, was fairly quiet, but suddenly the wind picked up,( probably funnelled down from Croagh Patrick) and thought my car was gonna be blown into the sea! very scary! had a real adrenaline rush!

[Convective / Storm Discussion - 31st July onwards 2013]

Trying to get someone to chase out west 2moro here in Ireland !!!! #hatenothavingacar !!!! 

You think there's a risk of thunderstorms here 2moro?!!

 

Edit: just saw estofex forecast above, looking good for us!

[Ireland Regional Discussion - Autumn 2013]

Just had a nice surprise there, a thunderstorm developed right over me, heavy rain and thunder claps, wasn't extreme but by my standards it was brilliant!

[Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 17th July 2013 onwards]

Well that was a nice surprise!!!! A thunderstorm over Co.Mayo Ireland! slap bang on top of me! produced much needed heavy rain (the first rain after 15 days). This is by far already the best summer spell for me. I'm so happy!

[Model Output Discussion 12z 08/07/13]

I'm looking down at those upper temps in Spain and Morocco. Crikey!

What sort of temp are they looking at there?

 

i'm guessing mid 40's inland?

[Model Output Discussion 12z 08/07/13]

Epic Ecm! would that little shortwave of the west of Ireland produce instability/thunderstorms over Ireland?

 

[Winter Model Discussion 12Z 15/1/13 onwards.]

ECM T48 850's nice

T72

I think we'll have a very cold run coming up, those lows to the south of GL look like they're gonna shoot SE!

[Winter Model Discussion 12Z 15/1/13 onwards.]

That littlle low just entering the ukmo T144 chart from the left, would that be a spoiler or would it flatten out the Azores high even further? Any hope for ireland?

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1441.gif

[Winter Model Discussion 12Z 15/1/13 onwards.]

That littlle low just entering the ukmo T144 chart from the left, would that be a spoiler or would it flatten out the Azores high even further? Any hope for ireland?

[Winter Model Discussion Thread 12Z onwards 5/1/13]

OMG! STUNNING!

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsecmeur.html

[Tomasz Schafernaker Returns to the BBC and Met Office]

Unfortunately, when he does return, so will the high pressure down south

[Tomasz Schafernaker Returns to the BBC and Met Office]

Really happy he's coming back. Love his personality and of course is excellent eye candy

Ha! was jus gonna say that! At least if the forecast is boring, we can focus our attention on him.

[Model Output Discussion 26/10 2012 >]

Hi CC devoid of + VE heights doesnt = a strong jet, just weak & slow movements-

At day 9 & 10 the ECM has the core of the vortex elongated across siberia, it is not showing a move towards circulating the Hemisphere, if the starting point is siberia at the very worst day 12/13 it could work its way round, however the diameter of its movements is restricted to that quadrent of the pole-

Until I see sub 500 heights moving in an anticlockwise motion around the pole across alaska into canada then I think you are over-estimating the increase in the zonal wind.

S

Hi Steve! I t looks to me like it's elongated across the pole from Canada to siberia? I agree with CC, there is a decrease in heights across the pole, but i've a feeling that it will be just a blip.

Hi Steve! I t looks to me like it's elongated across the pole from Canada to siberia? I agree with CC, there is a decrease in heights across the pole, but i've a feeling that it will be just a blip.

EDIT: http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=ecm;sess=

[Model Output Discussion 12z 18/10/2012]

Now that's what you call perfection! if only it was the end of Nov and not Oct....Ah well at least we'll get some early sharp frosts.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rukm1441.gif

[Winter 2012 / 2013 Part 3]

my god, thats a frightning model. Even as a cold lover, that is extreeeeeme

Take another look!

[Winter 2012 / 2013 Part 3]

Any snow lover should check out the latest CFS 9 month run. CFS tends to find a pattern and stick with it so is always going to go haywire but it's fun to look at just the same.

http://www.meteociel...2&carte=0&run=0

EDIT - Snap for Cooling Climate above, just noticed it myself too.

JESUS,MARY, AND JOSEPH!

[Winter 2012 / 2013 Part 2]

Cheers feb1991blizzard! so they were accurate with the pressure anomalies, but not so much with the temps. I hope we see a positive change in the next update.

[Model Output Discussion 26/08/2012]

I'm liking the trend for a southerly tracking jet, even if it does produce warm and wet weather it's the synoptic pattern that i'm interested in. I don't post here often, but i've gotta good feeling about this winters' weather patterns.

[Winter 2012 / 2013 Part 2]

What were the cfs charts showing for 10/11 in september of that year? were they predicting below average temps? Thanks in advance

[Winter 2012 / 2013]

I think this explains all!?

http://www.splashnewsonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/gaga-wm900.jpg

[Uk General Convective Discussion & Forecasts, 28th August 2012>]

I'm heading to Rome on Tuesday, so i'm watching this low pressure system near Italy. Can i expect some thunderstorms?

[Model Output Discussion - Early October Onwards]

I know it's a long way out, but I can't believe i'm seeing charts like this again!!! Lets hope it's a trend.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Recm2401.gif

[Ex Ts Katia In The UK - Chat Thread 3]

Spray starting to lift off the lake in front of my house!! This usually only happens when I estimate winds to be over 80mph!! Really wild out there now!! Think I might venture out to experience it.