lewis028

'The low pressure looks set to take the english channel route and if it does that, then we are set to miss most of the winds but potentially gusting to around 60mph in the channel islands. So if the low is tracking more of a southerly route, then the cold air from the north is going to engage with the deepening are of low pressure. So we are then going to start off with rain over the southern area but this will turn to snow. The snow will start to develop into Wales then part of the midlands then into southern England. The rain could turn to snow in the south east in the rush hour. Then as we head into the afternoon the rain/sleet and snow will move away.' I think its more of a 'nowcast' scenario, so will be window watching tomorrow, snow is very difficult to pin point exactly where its going to fall in this situation so just keep some fingers crossed to see a flake in this set up

as gottalovethisweather has just said in the atlantic storm thread, an update from the bbc... http://www.bbc.co.uk...atures/16201006

something like this?.. Only a bit of banter, i couldn't criticise the met office, there responsible to give out weather warnings for the UK's safety, and I know we all would rather a warning and it does not happen, appose to no warning and BAM. Tomorrows potential has been very excitable to the point of watching the models. Loads to look out for as there is a possibility of an easterly next Friday.

just seen the latest bbc forecast and it does show rain turning increasingly to snow in the south east, I think its going to be a 'nowcast' event with lamp post watching early in the morning. Happy iv got tomorrow off but will be in Leicester square around lunch time on the beer for works xmas due Will be interesting to see the local forecast coming up in the next 10 mins or so..

Thanks for that coast, very interesting to see what the top man has to say, and I would of thought there would be an update in the next couple of hours..

I agree, they could come out with there view and end up a hero or with egg on there faces. Very difficult to call and thats what makes our Brittish weather so interesting. We are currently 12-18 hours away and there is still no certainty. The 12z should nail this....exciting times ahead. I'l be happy just to see a flake in this set up, still a long way to go this winter But hey what do I know, If i worked in the met office, this would probably sum my forecast up..

The snow event tomorrow is very marginal and is going to be more of a 'nowcast' but the GFS 06Z does look good and goes on into the the night aswell. I'm not too sure how accurate this will be but I suppose its just for some fun http://hw.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20111215/06/27/prectypeuktopo.png http://hw.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20111215/06/30/prectypeuktopo.png http://hw.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20111215/06/36/prectypeuktopo.png

Netweather have there own one, http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=lightning;sess=

All eyes on the pub run...

Friday looking very interesting, as the low moves further south, could see some snow Friday, still marginal, just dont want that low to move anymore north..

Wind is really starting to pick up now, looking at the radar it's going to get very wet very soon. Exciting weather for the south east tonight

We have a ring around the moon tonight and when I researched this, it said that folklaw has is that when there is a ring around the moon, it signifies bad weather is coming. Eg a low system aka storm. I found it interesting with what is currently showing on the models next week. Who knows ey Source http://home.hiwaay.net/~krcool/Astro/moon/moonring/

Yay we're back for business again, although nothing to cheer about yet. Have been glued to the model thread since early November but nothing of interest for us southerners, only had one night of frost so far. Hope everyones good!

You beat me to it :lol: I was just going to Say that..fingers crossed for tonight

Evening all, So it sounds like it's going to be an interesting night with loads of coffee and radar watching, good luck to everyone in the S/SE bring on the beast..

Currently got a down pour here but no thunder, best we have had for a few weeks

Let's hope something develops, very dark here now and just started to rain, should be a no fly zone tonight as every plane I here sounds like thunder! :lol:

Have got cb's forming all around my location looks amazing, the radar is also intensifying as we speak..

Strike of lightning followed by big crack of thunder whey!

Well a brilliant run from the ECM, let's hope tonights GFS follows suite, fascinating stuff in the model thread, Mr Murr post is an interesting read with his summery of tonights run so far

Could be busy by the end of next week.. Maybe time for a little ramp .. All eyes on the models for the next few days..

Very surprised it's quiet in here this morning with the 06z GFS in dreamland, glued to the model thread, if it came off then we won't be moving anywhere fast meto also going with the cold spell in there update, looking good at the moment, but still a long way off, fingers crossed!

Just got home and snow grains have began to fall, very dark all of a sudden Looks like it's gone bit quiet now, no showers showing up on the radar, was good to see the odd grain or two

Snowing at work in erith nice to see

Il be more than happy just to see one flake Lol I'm currently at work in erith, Kent can't see anything coming this far in,..would love a Thames streamer to start..