keithlucky
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Posts posted by keithlucky
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50% Chance of a white Christmas
White Christmas Forecast Issued: 2009-12-04 19:15:00
Next Forecast: 2009-12-07 19:00:00
Synopsis
The last few days has seen the charts give a real trend for quite a significant cold spell around the Chrsitmas week. It keeps it quite prolonged aswell. Should this set up come off, precipitation would be rather showery but perhaps frequent in places. We are still likely to be Dominated by LOW pressure but in this setup it shouldnt be too severe. With widespread showers possible in a cold setup then snow cover for much of the UK seems likely. The South and South West will occasionally be more prone to brief milder spells but the charts seem to display a pretty firm cold spell. Obviously this could all still change easily. The current outlook in summary is for a a fairly prolonged cold spell with wintry showers quite likely.
Weatheronline seems to say this is the best chance of a white christmas since 2003
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Well, after Darren Bett did the January Monthly Outlook and getting pretty much every detail wrong,im dubious. I really hope it will play out like they are saying though. If it does, it will be a very interesting month and ANOTHER below average CET!
Heres hoping...Say goodbye to winter if they say its going to be cold ,they wrong all the time with there monthly outlook!
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Two weather warnings out for monday and tuesday,for south of uk lets hope they get this right?If you actually read my post you will realise your error. -
Just had a quick look on the Traffic Wales cams and there is a covering of snow from Junction 47 to around junction 43, have they not gritted the motorway even.
2inc of snow in swansea swales nothing on met office radar?
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IT must be said well done to people on netweather ! There model out put predictions all winter have very informative , people like eye of the storm glacial storm etc have been accurate and informative john homes thanks again (are you sure you dont work for the met they need your help)
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Still think the track of the weather front hiting south wales.it does, but i expect it to change and miss us -
Nearly all of that is for Ice overnight.
Both
Both the GFS and UKMO models the band effecting SE Wales, and at this stage SW looks like missing out, but if the band is further west than originally thought then you never know.
Currently NMM has the band nowhere near Wales even, so it will be interesting to see this update later.
Looking at the met office radar seems to be heading smack bang on swales.
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I looked at the front approaching from the south seems to be heading to s wales not the s east, any opion any body?
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All the snow has gone here.so i will just have to Waite till i fly out to the alps on Friday to play in the snow.
Heavy snow swales 5inc lying in swansea,
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I don't like the way the charts on the BBC totally play-down how widespread the snow showers could be.
Anyway, why are the forecasts talking about snow showers, when in fact there
will be more-organised bands of snowfall, associated with weather fronts?
Alex deacon just on bbc news with a weather warning for the next two days, seemed quit concerned on the ammount of snow we will have in the next 2days leading to major disruption .
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Met office update heavy snow showers monday tues,sleet rain wednesday in south of uk.
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I dont know about snow for carlisle, but for the met office to announce next week cold spell so far in advance it must be a sustained bitter spell of weather coming up in the next few weeks.I think the server might slow slightly when there is a possible snow event on the way due to the number of people wanting to know if it will snow in Carlisle :lol: -
Amazing scenes! Thanks for posting that footage. I remember it well, I was 17 at the time and the school choir's Transit van got stuck in a snow drift on the way back from a concert!
Those were the days when we had proper winters.........Mind you I'm looking out of the window with heavy snow falling atm..... Ha, ha!
I remember it well started snowing 6pm saturday finished 6pm sunday!
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Met office latest forecaste heavy wintry showers sunday /monday heavy sleet or snow especially ,western areas of uk.And here it is in context:To be critical though, he did not mention any specific location for the 'white stuff' but looking at the graphics accompanying his forecast, north / western areas are favourable.
ffO
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Vlight snow shower swansea swales 1300 hrs
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Nice to see good old fashioned pressure charts hoorah!!please remember its not a forecast of snow for Monday, I simply used that day as it APPEARED to have something to talk about using the 06z data output.So as Paul says its a test to see what is possible so please comment on the technical side not the forecast side.
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http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/7800869.stm
"UK wildlife is struggling to cope as erratic and unseasonal weather has taken its toll for a second consecutive year, the National Trust says."
"After two very poor years in a row we desperately need a good summer in 2009 otherwise it's going to look increasingly grim for a wealth of wildlife in the UK."
Do these people even bother doing reasearch?
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A cold week ahead
Snow showers in north
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/rep...;MENU=weekahead
Unusually metcheck weatheronline both agree sleet and snow saterday sunday morning.
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You wont accept that the world is cooling down to the el nino affect doom and gloom .:lol: -
Piers morgan puts money where mouth is, Today piers corbyn placed 1500 pound on white christmas on various locations in the uk on there being snow on xmas day. Snow to hit uk on the 24th and the 25 of december plus 31st of december further snow.Nice if it comes off!
Model Output Discussion
in Forecast Model Discussion
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