thetipster
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Everything posted by thetipster
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looking like a snow event starting from Saturday 22:00hrs until sunday midday
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heres the latest ppn chart heres why the metoffice has amber warning out
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hirlam overestimate ppn euro4 the oppersit
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HIRLAM has got to be the worst ppn model ever its a joke
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all down to the topography
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snow showing as early as 07:00 Saturday with up to 12cm buy sunday afternoon for south wales
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PPN LOOKS QUITE GOOD TO ME
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SOME OF THE HR MODELS HAVE SW WALES DOWN FOR 10CM YET OUTHERS HAVE 1-2 CM
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got to keep an look out for Saturday night 22:00hrs
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all that ppn now on south coast wont make much ground but the lates high res model show the main band has upgraded for south wales
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comparison radar and high res model looks good
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wait till 22:00hrs an check with radar and model comparison to see where we at
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yep looks to be holding model forecast so far except the arome whitch has the main band hiting land 22:00hrs and dispersing before it reaches us
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jokeing
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yep rain in Cardiff tonight wash all the snow away be gone in morning
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some ppn pushing up before main band
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should start wraping north fast and soon if were going buy the arome 0.01
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going buy some of the models they show ppn moveing up from the south that's all
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I think that the met office will revise their warnings later as the weather warning for us ends tonight
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the gfs model looks best
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heres hirlam 0.1
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and the new icon eu hr model
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this system over france moves north over night with the model saying 11.4 cm for south wales
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the met office were spot on red zone going from 30 to 50 or more
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OMG the way its going were going over the 50cm
