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Highland Snow

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    Scotland Regional Discussion - Autumn 2013

    in Regional

    Posted

     

    He He......Nice to see them disagreeing over 1984ish charts:

    Paul_1978, on 26 Nov 2013 - 00:01, said:Posted Image

     

    Gaz1985, on 26 Nov 2013 - 00:13, said:Posted Image

     

    And your point is?

     

    This period was characterised by depressions coming down from the north west over the period of a few weeks, and there were some very snowy periods in Scotland and the north of England. However I'm not sure we're far enough into the season for us to be having the same effect at the moment.

     

    Looking at the models today, it just strikes me that we are seeing a similar pattern as we were then.

     

    http://www.meteociel...=0&map=0&mode=0

     

    The above is a good example of where you can have high pressure to the south/south west (a 'Bartlett' if you like), but still have memorable weather

     

    SKEPTICAL INQUIRER:

    Maybe I'm viewing the output incorrectly but I see the potential of another January 1984 developing from around the first week of December, maybe not the longevity of that spell which around these parts gave us over two weeks of cold and snow.

     

    I was at University in Belfast in '84 and it was an amazing Winter - no deep cold but lots of snow so yes THAT Polar Maritime setup would do fine.

     

    Very deep high latitude depressions characterised January of '84 with storms and heavy rain and then as the depressions moved east the snow showers or longer periods of snow set in behind the cold front as Arctic air was sucked southward to us.

     

    Remember sitting glued to the TV and Radio 4 for weather updates and being really envious of my Kilted cousins who were getting more severe conditions than us in Ulster!

    • Like 4

    Scotland Regional Discussion - Autumn 2013

    in Regional

    Posted

    would like to say apologies to all for my little rant last night and hope I didn't cause any offence to anyone I just tend to get a little head strong about things and with all this talk floating around the threads that we aren't going to see much meaningful till the end of January just kind of got to me a little as spending all summer and autumn waiting for the colder times to come around and to have the chase/hunt for snow come again then to be getting told before winter has even started we're looking towards January just takes all the fun of the hunt away if your being told theres not much hope.

     

    again apologies if I caused any problems as its hard to judge when posting just how things come across and how different people take your posts so if I have came across badly and a bit harsh i'm sorry.

    Takes a BIG MAN to say sorry BUS. You are an asset to the Kilted Thread so keep up the good work.

    • Like 2

    Scotland Regional Discussion - Autumn 2013

    in Regional

    Posted

    it is a bit tedious waiting for something to come in cold wise but remember the GFS was showing blocking around the 5th then kind of dropped it and now the ECM is in that range it is giving us possibilities so we might not be far from seeing something.

    BUS you are now the most trusted information source in The Kilted Thread in parallel with Lomond Snowstorm. How did you hone your Model interpretation skills?

    • Like 1

    Scotland Regional Discussion - Autumn 2013

    in Regional

    Posted

    Well fellow kilters I had a trip up the A9 today as far as Kingussie (70 miles North of Perth) and here is my report:

     

    Freezing level this morning (07.30 - 09.00) at about 1500 feet: this evening (17.30 - 19.00) at about 1200 feet.

     

    Snow lying North of House of Bruar at road level but not on road. Snow on road North of Trinafour as far as Dalwhinnie then nothing again.

     

    Hills around Dalnaspidal/Drumochter have appearance of caster sugar so just a skiff really.

     

    Blizzard blowing tonight travelling home especially at Drumochter/Dalwhinnie.

     

    Nice to see and drive through my first snow this Winter but nothing spectacular.

    • Like 7

    Scotland Regional Discussion - Autumn 2013

    in Regional

    Posted

    OK, since I'm currently addicted to the model output thread I'll take a guesstimate at this. Assuming we're talking at low levels, not just on the bigger hills, snow falling currently looks most likely from early hours Tues, through Wed. As for actually hanging around on the ground, I'd say not for that long. It's November, the ground isn't that cold yet and we're looking at it being relatively mild tomorrow & Sat so no help there. Temps Tue & Wed, although low for the time of year aren't likely to stay sub-zero during the day from what I've seen. After that the models are a bit unsure but even if it does stay cold after Wed it looks more likely to be a dry cold than a wet cold.

     

    Basically it's an appitiser, not the main course.

     

    If only the 850's were lower the chance of snow sticking below 300m would be greatly enhanced.

    Scepticism Of Man Made Climate Change

    in Climate Change

    Posted

    Mind you not as strange as that of Archbishop Ussher!

     

    Astrogeophysicist Dr John Eddy, who was at the time Solar Astronomer at the High Altitude Observatory at Boulder, Colorado, made some revealing comments at a symposium in 1978, as reported in Geotimes, Vol. 23, September 1978, p. 18.

    ‘There is no evidence based solely on solar observations’, Eddy stated, ‘that the Sun is 4.5–5 x 109 years old. I suspect’, he said, ‘that the Sun is 4.5-billion years old. However, given some new and unexpected results to the contrary, and some time for frantic recalculation and theoretical readjustment, I suspect that we could live with Bishop Ussher’s value for the age of the Earth and Sun. I don’t think we have much in the way of observational evidence in astronomy to conflict with that.’

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