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BOMBHEADS

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Everything posted by BOMBHEADS

  1. definitely light snow here in Eastry East Kent, probably around sea level or just above.
  2. considering this front is not supposed to make it to east kent until tonight, it seems to have made very early progress to west kent.
  3. just seen this, got to be less than 30 mins away from me. looking like little beefy ones to.
  4. met office is showing only sunday as rain for coastal regions, mean = 6c, inland it is only 1c so much better chance of snow there
  5. it's not showing on the radar but we are getting light sleet showers here, getting heavier and clouds getting darker.
  6. come on, we are only 2 days in to this cold spell, i am confident all of us should see something before it's over. Herne bay should see plent of snow/sleet showers today according to all forecasts.
  7. confirmed from lamp post watch, very light snow in Eastry.
  8. by the looks of it on the 00z the low off the south west of UK at +96 has moved (S) rather than (SE), being a little novice at this, but is this assisting the high in the atlantic to ridge north? in the long run is this not better for UK for cold?
  9. the ECM shows the high in the atlantic ridging north, being squashed then dropping back south and not holding a atlantic blocking pattern. Given what i have been reading on these forums this don't look right to me.
  10. on the 06z GFS there appears to be a trend through most of the run for cold air to try and push in from the north, i think it will just take an atlantic low pressure to take a more southerly / south easterly track pushed by a greeny high and we could be in for a decent cold spell from the north.
  11. there seems to be a trend on each GFS run for pushing the russian block further and further West, I know this is getting nearer to the reliable time frame, but is there any likely hood it will continue to push further west??? we could end up with a nice little battle ground over the UK, with ok the atlantic winning out.
  12. not forgetting TEITS has £10 on a white christmas, i hope your right
  13. the latest GFS run is showing LP after LP sliding under the russian HP, this could produce an interesting scene for the UK if it was to come off, seems to be a reasonable run. best model watching for years, ups and down, better than 2010 for enjoyment.
  14. is the GFS dragging the greenland low up the west side at 102?
  15. is the GFS pushing back the progression eastwards of the LP in to the less reliable time frame each run? would that suggest that it really can't predict what path it's going to take? or am i just cluching at straws.
  16. looks like GFS is struggling as to know what to do with that LP, worryingly it is intensifying it and keeping it static currently. On the plus side we got a better easterly forming at +114.
  17. well the GFS run looks very messy to me, looks like GFS doesn't know what to do with the atlantic, then we look in to F1 and see eye candy again. I think GFS at the moment should only be showing us the current trend, which is for prolonged cold and blocked. I think may be the met office have been spot on with there forecast for a while now.
  18. the UK met 00z at 120 looks to me like the low off greenland is going to be pushed SE in to France / Spain direction, could open the door to very cold snowy outlook. Of course i'm not an expert, but the logical route for that low is down.
  19. to me this cold spell seems to be on a knifes edge as regards to cold enough, all the ensembles tell me a not quite cold enough for snow, am i right in thinking -8 uppers for snow?
  20. i live near Dover, and we only have about 1cm of snow, really missed out so far, i noticed it looks like thames streamer is starting up.
  21. I think the GFS is over cooking the breakdown, it all happens very very quickly, before you know it the whole of EU is warm again, i can't see this coming off, not of course saying we won't become warmer, i think we will, but in the process will see a good dumping of snow. Lets hope though that the METO has got there 16 day forecast right, and that the cold does stick around over christmax, would be nice to see for a change.
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