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russell k

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Everything posted by russell k

  1. GP went for this in the winter forcast, we just missed out in dec. and now on the doorstep of a significant event, brilliant, hats off to GP, go back and review, even if it rains snows IMBY many are going to be happy. Thanks
  2. look at the 516b over north wales showed as a dot on the meto earlier?
  3. maybe thats the real question? the NWP cant deal with, is it the chicken or the egg?
  4. All the NWP's are showing it getting colder in the next 5 days, the MO are saying this with the chance of some wintry weather next weekend, it was always after this the chance of a real cold spell would materialise. Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence! Keep looking for the cold.
  5. Looking at the pressure ens for Reyjavic and Oslo. IMO the models (as suggested) dont have a clue beyond T120
  6. I think FI for blocking in the north is around T120. Reyjavic pressure ens. !!
  7. Unusual IMO and if you look at the surface pressure ens the divergence gets greater the further north you go... after day 9 no agreement
  8. Totally agree "Lomond" Just look at the spread on the (midlands) ens, nothing past D5/6 is anywhere near cast in stone...cold or mild await ecm ens with int.
  9. Looking at the latest output, after a great start with lots of snow, skiing in the alps xmas time looks terrible, with freezing levels above 3000m (west) back in the UK some small chances of a Northerly toppler in Fi
  10. Thanks Ian When the "Beast from the East" was almost banked some of ensembles started to go "south" we dont HAVE TO HAVE the right teleconnective synoptics to create a cold snap, just not the 2009/10 & 2010 winters which is unlikely. The potential towards the end of the month still exists
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